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Stock markets are booming but the good times are unlikely to last

economist.com

1–10 of 71 posts

Re: Stock markets are booming but the good times are unlikely to last

#3
Experts predict 'good times will not last', and yet with a few exceptions like 2008 or 2022, prices tend to go up anyway. There is little evidence to suggest market timing works. Stock prices seemed overextended in 1996 and yet would go up for another 4 years.

Re: Stock markets are booming but the good times are unlikely to last

#6

Experts predict 'good times will not last', and yet with a few exceptions like 2008 or 2022, prices tend to go up anyway. There is little evidence to suggest market timing works. Stock prices seemed overextended in 1996 and yet would go up for another 4 years.

This method seems to work pretty well: https://www.philosophicaleconomics.com/2013/12/the-single-gr...

Unique in that it seems statistically verified. Here’s an up-to-date version of the projection: https://financial-charts.effingapp.com/

Re: Stock markets are booming but the good times are unlikely to last

#7

Experts predict 'good times will not last', and yet with a few exceptions like 2008 or 2022, prices tend to go up anyway. There is little evidence to suggest market timing works. Stock prices seemed overextended in 1996 and yet would go up for another 4 years.

Hey! Those were the last two times I invested in the market, saw my investment diminish and stopped paying attention. For what it's worth, I am putting money in again, so let's see.. lol.

Edit. Oh .. I also invested just before the dot com crash. I looked at the historical charts and can't believe my timing.

Re: Stock markets are booming but the good times are unlikely to last

#8

The performance of the stock market is more related to the money printing by the federal reserve than anything else. Modern economics seems to deny this, and thus will make articles like this.

Which money printing are you referring to?

Re: Stock markets are booming but the good times are unlikely to last

#10

The performance of the stock market is more related to the money printing by the federal reserve than anything else. Modern economics seems to deny this, and thus will make articles like this.

M1 and the Fed's balance sheet are down since 2022, though. What "money printing" do you mean?
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