Using sequences of life-events to predict human lives
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Re: Using sequences of life-events to predict human lives
#2[dead]
Re: Using sequences of life-events to predict human lives
#3I wonder if fine tuning GPT-4 on the records would do significantly better
Re: Using sequences of life-events to predict human lives
#4I have mixed feelings about this. It could be a great tool to help people, but on past experience it seems more likely that HR departments/ financial service providers/ governments would use it to write people off if they have too many negative life indicators.
Re: Using sequences of life-events to predict human lives
#5I tried to build a startup based on a similar idea, but the traction was not good. The squarespace website is still up https://sundialcalendar.com/
It’s stunning how much of our lives are predictable. We are free will surfers on waves of determinism.
Re: Using sequences of life-events to predict human lives
#6I have mixed feelings about this. It could be a great tool to help people, but on past experience it seems more likely that HR departments/ financial service providers/ governments would use it to write people off if they have too many negative life indicators.
This. It would be the envy of every insurance company. How risky are you really? I’m glad I’m not the only one that immediately thought about this.
Re: Using sequences of life-events to predict human lives
#7I have mixed feelings about this. It could be a great tool to help people, but on past experience it seems more likely that HR departments/ financial service providers/ governments would use it to write people off if they have too many negative life indicators.
They’re doing it anyway. Sunlight is the best disinfectant.
Re: Using sequences of life-events to predict human lives
#8I have mixed feelings about this. It could be a great tool to help people, but on past experience it seems more likely that HR departments/ financial service providers/ governments would use it to write people off if they have too many negative life indicators.
I'd like to believe that lives are way too nuanced to properly train and evaluate a transformer this way.
Also, I would wager that upon release, suddenly everybody says they eat healthy and exercise daily.
Re: Using sequences of life-events to predict human lives
#9I have mixed feelings about this. It could be a great tool to help people, but on past experience it seems more likely that HR departments/ financial service providers/ governments would use it to write people off if they have too many negative life indicators.
Every time we get better at things like this, all the power tends to stay with organizations, and individual people are lucky if they get anything out of it.
Amazon, Wal-Mart, MacDonalds, giant banks, insurers, et c., analyze their competition, suppliers, and consumers in great detail with computer data and models. Where’s the widespread automated buyer’s agent for consumers, to balance that power so strongly that it shoves profit margins the other direction, so it’s not just megacorps pushing ever closer to some absolute limit of the last tenth of a cent they can wring out of us? Fucking nowhere, they’d never allow that kind of access to the data we’d need, the best we get is “CamelCamelCamel”, not some Siri-alike we can casually tell to go find the best price/quality intersection on the market for [product] and have that show up a couple days later.
And we’ll never get it. Just an ever-tightening noose of perfect price discrimination and risk calculation that goes only one way. Short of legislating radical levels of availability (and reliability and consistency—standards and minimums) for price and product information, anyway, and I’m pretty sure that’s on nobody’s radar.
Re: Using sequences of life-events to predict human lives
#10I have mixed feelings about this. It could be a great tool to help people, but on past experience it seems more likely that HR departments/ financial service providers/ governments would use it to write people off if they have too many negative life indicators.
This. It would be the envy of every insurance company. How risky are you really ? I’m glad I’m not the only one that immediately thought about this.
Insurance companies are probably already doing something like this anyway