Spike in short selling in Israeli-company ETF days before Oct 7 [pdf]
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Re: Spike in short selling in Israeli-company ETF days before Oct 7 [pdf]
#2so, when this happened on 9/11 the actual investigation found a stock picking newsletter that had simply called the stock sector for technical analysis reasons
this paper only compares volume to prior campaigns in Israel, and draws a conclusions based on that
additionally it has the bias of saying these are “gaps in enforcement of insider trading laws”, seemingly not understanding that an insider trading law would not cover things occurring outside of a company. nor should it.
its short selling of an ETF over a geopolitical event
so its just as likely any random stock picking newsletter could have called it. there’s even a guy on reddit that says Gaza attacks are based on the moon phase and tried to warn Israel, he happened to be not-inaccurate this time but its totally based on correlations only
Re: Spike in short selling in Israeli-company ETF days before Oct 7 [pdf]
#3For anybody close to the topic and knowing how shocked the Israeli society was on Oct 7th, this paper makes a very strong claim that needs more than just circumstantial evidence (higher short trades). Like any circumstantial evidence, many reasons could trigger unusual trading patterns
Re: Spike in short selling in Israeli-company ETF days before Oct 7 [pdf]
#4From what I've read, even Hamas' own leaders were unaware of the Oct 7 attack planning. Maybe the Israeli equivalent of the SEC can figure out who placed these trades.
Re: Spike in short selling in Israeli-company ETF days before Oct 7 [pdf]
#5so, when this happened on 9/11 the actual investigation found a stock picking newsletter that had simply called the stock sector for technical analysis reasons this paper only compares volume to prior campaigns in Israel, and draws a conclusions based on that additionally it has the bias of saying these are “gaps in enforcement of insider trading laws”, seemingly not understanding that an insider trading law would no…
Even if not correlated, this is diabolically genius for all state sponsors and financiers of terrorism.
Re: Spike in short selling in Israeli-company ETF days before Oct 7 [pdf]
#6so, when this happened on 9/11 the actual investigation found a stock picking newsletter that had simply called the stock sector for technical analysis reasons this paper only compares volume to prior campaigns in Israel, and draws a conclusions based on that additionally it has the bias of saying these are “gaps in enforcement of insider trading laws”, seemingly not understanding that an insider trading law would no…
Even if not correlated, this is diabolically genius for all state sponsors and financiers of terrorism.
Not sure if it's diabolical genius, it was literally the opening plot point of the bond film Casino Royale
Re: Spike in short selling in Israeli-company ETF days before Oct 7 [pdf]
#7so, when this happened on 9/11 the actual investigation found a stock picking newsletter that had simply called the stock sector for technical analysis reasons this paper only compares volume to prior campaigns in Israel, and draws a conclusions based on that additionally it has the bias of saying these are “gaps in enforcement of insider trading laws”, seemingly not understanding that an insider trading law would no…
Even if not correlated, this is diabolically genius for all state sponsors and financiers of terrorism.
it’s not, the instruction manual exists for decades if you like conspiracies.
Re: Spike in short selling in Israeli-company ETF days before Oct 7 [pdf]
#8There's a new "conspiracy theory" on the block to explain this and other events (I do admittedly find it plausible):
It's not like Israel has been, or is, a friend of Gaza. So when Gaza was planning the attack, either Israel's previously famous intelligence service was caught completely off guard (despite the warning by Egypt) - or they let it happen, intentionally, as an excuse to raid Gaza as well as improve the popularity of their struggling president.
Thoughts?
(Edit: For those questioning how this would improve the prime minister's or president's approval, few things improve the popularity of a president, or a prime minister, than a declaration of war following a catastrophic event. Bush reached 86% popular support after 9/11.)
Re: Spike in short selling in Israeli-company ETF days before Oct 7 [pdf]
#9From what I've read, even Hamas' own leaders were unaware of the Oct 7 attack planning. Maybe the Israeli equivalent of the SEC can figure out who placed these trades.
These trades were done in US exchanges and would fall under SEC. But considering they didn't investigate all the shorts before 9/11 it's doubtful they'll do much here.
Re: Spike in short selling in Israeli-company ETF days before Oct 7 [pdf]
#10From what I've read, even Hamas' own leaders were unaware of the Oct 7 attack planning. Maybe the Israeli equivalent of the SEC can figure out who placed these trades.
Egyptian intelligence knew about it and warned. Moreover there were detailed plans known already about a year earlier: https://www.nytimes.com/2023/11/30/world/middleeast/israel-h...
This is kind of similar, but smaller in scale, to how Ukraine was surprised that there was actually a push on Kyiv from the north with an attempt at decapitating the state. It's one thing to have the intelligence at hand, it's another to have the political power circle believe it.