Ask HN: Tech Forecasts for 2024 – Any Surprises on the Horizon?

Curious to hear about your unconventional tech predictions for the next year. It's challenging to keep track of every innovative trend, especially with the potential for unexpected breakthroughs. My focus has been on AI, particularly since 2018, and I was amazed by the rapid advancements in transformer technology. I kept telling everyone I knew that this was going to be huge, but it felt like the boy who cried wolf until it actually happened. What insights do you have for those willing to heed a 'cry for wolf' in the tech landscape? What do you think will be the next big thing in 2024?

I also think both eink and oled will make its way into fashion among a subculture of younger people, people who live wear, avatars. I can see a big opening for a social marketplace for light rythms and patterns that you can download into your jacket or hat. I imagine some people will pay thousands of dolars for dynamically changing unique "2nd skins" made by botique designers and sold via tiktok.

Some random predictions:

- OpenAI outages will cause more companies to explore self-hostable models

- US public education buys into AI tutoring or other services. A teacher will say "just ask your AI..." to their student.

- Meta's Metaverse becomes interesting instead of cringe

- People still remain confused on whether to call it X or Twitter

Security predictions for next year:

- Continued information operations by nation states using social media, trying to influence US elections, next year around this time (regardless of outcome) about 40% of the US population will believe the election was rigged

- People will try to shoehorn AI into security ops, with little success due to not having great data

- CISO positions will increasingly become more hostile to accepting organizational risks, because of FTC civil complaint on solarwinds CISO

- there will still be new CVEs