The U.S. birth rate has fallen by 20% since 2007
econofact.org
The U.S. birth rate has fallen by 20% since 2007
1–10 of 286 posts
Re: The U.S. birth rate has fallen by 20% since 2007
#2“””
If the recent decline in annual birth rates simply reflects women pushing off having children from their 20s to their 30s, then annual birth rates will eventually rebound and the total number of children the average U.S. woman has over her lifetime will not change. But the decline in annual birth rates since 2007 is consistent with more recent cohorts of women having fewer births. Those cohorts have not completed their childbearing years yet, but the number of births they would have to have at older ages to catch up to the lifetime childbearing rates of earlier cohorts is so large that it seems unlikely they will do so. If the decline in births reflects a (semi)permanent shift in priorities, as opposed to transitory economic or policy factors, the U.S. is likely to see a sustained decline in birth rates and a general decline in fertility for the foreseeable future. This has consequences for projected U.S. economic growth and productivity, as well as the fiscal sustainability of current social insurance programs. “””
Will have to check back on this in a few years.
Re: The U.S. birth rate has fallen by 20% since 2007
#3Just offset the lack of new people being born by opening up borders to everyone, problem solved!
Re: The U.S. birth rate has fallen by 20% since 2007
#4“”” If the recent decline in annual birth rates simply reflects women pushing off having children from their 20s to their 30s, then annual birth rates will eventually rebound and the total number of children the average U.S. woman has over her lifetime will not change. But the decline in annual birth rates since 2007 is consistent with more recent cohorts of women having fewer births. Those cohorts have not completed…
If women push back childbirth to their 30s, fewer births with happen overall because quite simply fewer women will be able to conceive.
Re: The U.S. birth rate has fallen by 20% since 2007
#5I don't understand why this is a problem. We are moving through demographic transition, as the world reaches its carrying capacity for human populations. So, we are safe from overpopulation crisis, from future unemployment crises, etc.
Re: The U.S. birth rate has fallen by 20% since 2007
#6Just offset the lack of new people being born by opening up borders to everyone, problem solved!
This but unironically.
Re: The U.S. birth rate has fallen by 20% since 2007
#7I don't understand why this is a problem. We are moving through demographic transition, as the world reaches its carrying capacity for human populations. So, we are safe from overpopulation crisis, from future unemployment crises, etc.
It's not a problem for the universe, only for you in your old age ;)
Re: The U.S. birth rate has fallen by 20% since 2007
#8> But something changed around the time of the Great Recession; the birth rate fell precipitously, and it did not recover when the economy improved.
I'm going to guess that this is generational shock. That generation got burned hard, and now they are weary. I suspect when another generation passes they will forget.
Re: The U.S. birth rate has fallen by 20% since 2007
#9Just offset the lack of new people being born by opening up borders to everyone, problem solved!
That certainly is an approach worth considering; immigration has been described as America's cheat code.
Re: The U.S. birth rate has fallen by 20% since 2007
#10Hopefully we can do this for the species as a whole and gradually find equilibrium at a more sustainable population.