Google DeepMind CEO says some form of AGI possible in a few years
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Re: Google DeepMind CEO says some form of AGI possible in a few years
#2I wish I could bet real money on this cause I would bet hard against this statement. The issue is that nobody seems to agree what AGI even is.
Re: Google DeepMind CEO says some form of AGI possible in a few years
#3I really wonder what the next AI winter will be like.
Edit:
Perhaps OpenAI becomes a major tech player and we just see a cooling off of other AI investments as LLM becomes a known in terms of its strengths and weaknesses. Its abilities reach a natural limit which is still generally very useful.
Or maybe folks realize the degree of lies/mistruths inherent in its content is actually unmanageable and can’t be improved. After the hype wears off what it will be used for gets greatly curtailed and we see a big contraction.
And there’s so many interesting side tracks along the way. I’m hoping for another AOL Time Warner style shit show of a merger. That’d be fun and could really happen down any path.
Re: Google DeepMind CEO says some form of AGI possible in a few years
#4I wish I could bet real money on this cause I would bet hard against this statement. The issue is that nobody seems to agree what AGI even is.
There are betting markets that have odds up for this, you generally have to pay in crypto and the odds suck given your money is locked up for a decade plus(if they pay out at all). Importantly though, what do you think the odds are? I don't think anyone is saying 50/50 in a few years, just greater than 0%.
Re: Google DeepMind CEO says some form of AGI possible in a few years
#5I really wonder what the next AI winter will be like. Edit: Perhaps OpenAI becomes a major tech player and we just see a cooling off of other AI investments as LLM becomes a known in terms of its strengths and weaknesses. Its abilities reach a natural limit which is still generally very useful. Or maybe folks realize the degree of lies/mistruths inherent in its content is actually unmanageable and can’t be improved.…
Warm with a hint of ionizing radiation.
Re: Google DeepMind CEO says some form of AGI possible in a few years
#6I wish I could bet real money on this cause I would bet hard against this statement. The issue is that nobody seems to agree what AGI even is.
Well in real terms, isn't all it takes is something that's a convincing enough forgery? Like why the turing test was considered interesting at one point. I don't think drawing a line is necessary for us to quickly become caught off guard by developments in this space.
For the record, I don't believe we're close to AGI but I'm also pretty far from knowing anything about that field.
Re: Google DeepMind CEO says some form of AGI possible in a few years
#7I wish I could bet real money on this cause I would bet hard against this statement. The issue is that nobody seems to agree what AGI even is.
Without a clear definition of AGI, it's going to be hard deciding who won...
Re: Google DeepMind CEO says some form of AGI possible in a few years
#8Re: Google DeepMind CEO says some form of AGI possible in a few years
#9AGI is the point when humans lose control, but between now and then they will lose a lot of white collar employment jobs. Based on the increase in productivity of anyone equipped with AI tools, we may see a lot of self-employment become more and more viable and lucrative.
Re: Google DeepMind CEO says some form of AGI possible in a few years
#10I wish I could bet real money on this cause I would bet hard against this statement. The issue is that nobody seems to agree what AGI even is.
Well in real terms, isn't all it takes is something that's a convincing enough forgery? Like why the turing test was considered interesting at one point. I don't think drawing a line is necessary for us to quickly become caught off guard by developments in this space. For the record, I don't believe we're close to AGI but I'm also pretty far from knowing anything about that field.
Seems like a no lose bet no matter the odds. If you win, life goes on and you can collect a bit of money. If you lose, money becomes worthless and the surface of the earth gets transformed into a computing substrate.