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X86's Days as a Consumer Microarchitecture are Numbered

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Re: X86's Days as a Consumer Microarchitecture are Numbered

#2
I'm excited about ARM processors for low-power applications but I can't see ARM replacing x86 processors (even in the consumer space) until ARM performance is comparable to x86 performance. Right now the slowest MacBook Air is 6x faster than the iPad 2; until the difference is 2x or less I just can't see companies or consumers switching to ARM.

Re: X86's Days as a Consumer Microarchitecture are Numbered

#4
post #2

I'm excited about ARM processors for low-power applications but I can't see ARM replacing x86 processors (even in the consumer space) until ARM performance is comparable to x86 performance. Right now the slowest MacBook Air is 6x faster than the iPad 2; until the difference is 2x or less I just can't see companies or consumers switching to ARM.

I think it's more a matter of the bulk of consumer "micro architecture" usage shifting from computers to "devices", a la tablets, mobile phones, cars, appliances, etc. Right now, we frame our picture of consumer micro architecture as devices that look or act like a computer, but that vision is changing rapidly. Cumulatively, these devices far, far outnumber computers.

Re: X86's Days as a Consumer Microarchitecture are Numbered

#5
post #3

This is really more AMD throwing in the towel vs. Intel. It's really disappointing to see a competitor leave such an important market. I'm much more disappointed to see the X86 market go from 2 to 1, than I am happy to see the ARM market go from 4 to 5.

It's an important market now. AMD is doing the right thing: they are in no position to compete with Intel and the x86 is not going to see big growth unless Intel pulls off a miracle.

Re: X86's Days as a Consumer Microarchitecture are Numbered

#6
post #3

This is really more AMD throwing in the towel vs. Intel. It's really disappointing to see a competitor leave such an important market. I'm much more disappointed to see the X86 market go from 2 to 1, than I am happy to see the ARM market go from 4 to 5.

Where is AMD throwing in the towel? I know they've had some trouble with their latest designs, but I haven't seen anything about them giving up, just that they are trying again.

Re: X86's Days as a Consumer Microarchitecture are Numbered

#10
post #2

I'm excited about ARM processors for low-power applications but I can't see ARM replacing x86 processors (even in the consumer space) until ARM performance is comparable to x86 performance. Right now the slowest MacBook Air is 6x faster than the iPad 2; until the difference is 2x or less I just can't see companies or consumers switching to ARM.

6x the performance . . . for 8.5x the TDP. It's pretty easy to see why ARM designs are already preferable for almost anything that has a battery, and laptops are outselling desktops already. Sure, there will always be applications where single-thread performance will matter more than total performance or performance per watt for many cores - believe me, we learned that lesson at SiCortex - but those applications are not enough to sustain Intel as we know it. There's a reason they're developing MIC; without it they'd be squeezed between ARM clients and servers with 20+ ARM/MIPS/POWER/SPARC cores per chip (not even counting GPU/FPGA server plays). They need their own many-core product to compete.
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