Event-level prediction of urban crime reveals a enforcement bias in US cities
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Re: Event-level prediction of urban crime reveals a enforcement bias in US cities
#2Locked to the public. Sci-hub does not have the document either.
Re: Event-level prediction of urban crime reveals a enforcement bias in US cities
#3Locked to the public. Sci-hub does not have the document either.
Re: Event-level prediction of urban crime reveals a enforcement bias in US cities
#4“ These precise predictions enable equally precise evaluation of inequities in law enforcement, discovering that response to increased crime rates is biased by the socio-economic status of neighborhoods, draining policy resources to wealthy areas with disproportionately negative impacts for the inner city, as demonstrated in Chicago and six other major U.S. metropolitan areas.”
In other words, cops abandon poor neighborhoods when crime goes up there and mobilize to rich neighborhoods when crime goes up there. I’d be interested to know the other 6 metro areas, although I have a suspicion of which ones they are and their flavor of DA.
Re: Event-level prediction of urban crime reveals a enforcement bias in US cities
#5“ These precise predictions enable equally precise evaluation of inequities in law enforcement, discovering that response to increased crime rates is biased by the socio-economic status of neighborhoods, draining policy resources to wealthy areas with disproportionately negative impacts for the inner city, as demonstrated in Chicago and six other major U.S. metropolitan areas.” In other words, cops abandon poor neigh…
Korean immigrants found that out the hard way almost 30 years ago in LA.
Re: Event-level prediction of urban crime reveals a enforcement bias in US cities
#6We discussed this same article one day ago at https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=31941781
Re: Event-level prediction of urban crime reveals a enforcement bias in US cities
#7Re: Event-level prediction of urban crime reveals a enforcement bias in US cities
#8In other fields, this is called triage. Some communities are bleeding profusely and police can only temporarily stem the symptoms because the root cause is much deeper. In other communities, quick intervention can stabilize the situation
Re: Event-level prediction of urban crime reveals a enforcement bias in US cities
#9So, they fit a fancy model, played with it, and claim the result says something about the real world?
I have never seen a valid social science result derived by this method. This is just fancy model lovers dabbling.
If the patterns they claim are real, they can be exposed with much simpler and direct methods. Let's talk after that's been done.
Re: Event-level prediction of urban crime reveals a enforcement bias in US cities
#10So, they fit a fancy model, played with it, and claim the result says something about the real world? I have never seen a valid social science result derived by this method. This is just fancy model lovers dabbling. If the patterns they claim are real, they can be exposed with much simpler and direct methods. Let's talk after that's been done.
What are those simpler and direct methods? Have they been done?