Show HN: The Odds of Dying from Covid-19 Compared to Risks from Extreme Sports

#1

Post by andrewseanryan » Tue, Sep 28, 2021, 9:06 PM UTC

Show HN: The Odds of Dying from Covid-19 Compared to Risks from Extreme Sports
andrewseanryan.com

Re: Show HN: The Odds of Dying from Covid-19 Compared to Risks from Extreme Sports

#2

Post by joelbondurant » Tue, Sep 28, 2021, 10:53 PM UTC

All sports must be immediately banned for public safety of the tax cattle ranch.

Re: Show HN: The Odds of Dying from Covid-19 Compared to Risks from Extreme Sports

#3

Post by phscguy » Tue, Sep 28, 2021, 11:15 PM UTC

The lack of standard scaling of amount of activity breaks this chart. Rock climbing is given as roughly the same death rate as heroin addiction: 0.0145% vs 0.016% per year. But the chart counts 100 years of heroin addiction versus only one year of rock climbing and so misrepresents the risk by a factor of 100.

Also otherwise missing units of time for many of the activities.

Re: Show HN: The Odds of Dying from Covid-19 Compared to Risks from Extreme Sports

#4

Post by bellyfullofbac » Tue, Sep 28, 2021, 11:17 PM UTC

Huh, the blurry lowres pic hides the mathematical symbols...

Are death percentage risks additive when we combine activities?

Re: Show HN: The Odds of Dying from Covid-19 Compared to Risks from Extreme Sports

#5

Post by andrewseanryan » Tue, Sep 28, 2021, 11:46 PM UTC

bellyfullofbac wrote: post #4

Huh, the blurry lowres pic hides the mathematical symbols... Are death percentage risks additive when we combine activities?

Yes, they are additive. The blur happened when I uploaded to Wordpress and I couldn't find a way to fix it.

Re: Show HN: The Odds of Dying from Covid-19 Compared to Risks from Extreme Sports

#6

Post by andrewseanryan » Tue, Sep 28, 2021, 11:47 PM UTC

phscguy wrote: post #3

The lack of standard scaling of amount of activity breaks this chart. Rock climbing is given as roughly the same death rate as heroin addiction: 0.0145% vs 0.016% per year. But the chart counts 100 years of heroin addiction versus only one year of rock climbing and so misrepresents the risk by a factor of 100. Also otherwise missing units of time for many of the activities.

Fantastic point. This is a work in progress so I can address it. Many thanks for your thoughts.

Re: Show HN: The Odds of Dying from Covid-19 Compared to Risks from Extreme Sports

#7

Post by cowvin » Tue, Sep 28, 2021, 11:55 PM UTC

andrewseanryan wrote: post #5

bellyfullofbac wrote: post #4

Huh, the blurry lowres pic hides the mathematical symbols... Are death percentage risks additive when we combine activities?

Yes, they are additive. The blur happened when I uploaded to Wordpress and I couldn't find a way to fix it.

Yeah, unfortunately the image is really hard to read because it's so blurry. =/ Please try to fix it!

Re: Show HN: The Odds of Dying from Covid-19 Compared to Risks from Extreme Sports

#8

Post by jwilber » Wed, Sep 29, 2021, 12:57 AM UTC

The random inclusion of heroin addiction, while interesting, seems out of place. Aside from it not being a sport, how do you compare it to, say, Grand Prix? One injection = one race?

Re: Show HN: The Odds of Dying from Covid-19 Compared to Risks from Extreme Sports

#9

Post by andrewseanryan » Wed, Sep 29, 2021, 1:31 AM UTC

cowvin wrote: post #7

andrewseanryan wrote: post #5

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Yes, they are additive. The blur happened when I uploaded to Wordpress and I couldn't find a way to fix it.

Yeah, unfortunately the image is really hard to read because it's so blurry. =/ Please try to fix it!

I just hosted it on Imgur and imbedded it on the website. Seems quite a lot better now.

Re: Show HN: The Odds of Dying from Covid-19 Compared to Risks from Extreme Sports

#10

Post by andrewseanryan » Wed, Sep 29, 2021, 1:32 AM UTC

bellyfullofbac wrote: post #4

Huh, the blurry lowres pic hides the mathematical symbols... Are death percentage risks additive when we combine activities?

It should be less blurry now. Thank you for noticing this.