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Who Owns the Nile?

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Re: Who Owns the Nile?

#2
I know how it will work. Most likely nothing will happen. Egyptian regime is very fragile, and will not risk a foreign intervention while having to suppress monthly uprisings back home.

Re: Who Owns the Nile?

#3
post #2

I know how it will work. Most likely nothing will happen. Egyptian regime is very fragile, and will not risk a foreign intervention while having to suppress monthly uprisings back home.

The difference is, regardless of political divisions, everyone in Egypt totally understands that they are doomed without water. so the mentality there is slowly shifting towards "well, if we are dying anyway...."

Re: Who Owns the Nile?

#6
post #2

I know how it will work. Most likely nothing will happen. Egyptian regime is very fragile, and will not risk a foreign intervention while having to suppress monthly uprisings back home.

The crisis of lack of water is bigger, who ever bombs the shit out of Great Renaissance Dam is going to be popular in Egypt.

Egypt more than one occasion came close to doing something like that. Long story short. Who ever has better military capabilities will own the Nile.

Egypt can use Suez as another piece to get Europe to accept its bombing campaign.

Re: Who Owns the Nile?

#7
post #2

I know how it will work. Most likely nothing will happen. Egyptian regime is very fragile, and will not risk a foreign intervention while having to suppress monthly uprisings back home.

I think a war with Ethiopia would help the Egyptian regime, assuming it went well. And it probably would because Egypt's military is the strongest in the region minus Israel.

The real question is what Sudan would do (probably lie down for the Egyptians).

Re: Who Owns the Nile?

#8
post #2

I know how it will work. Most likely nothing will happen. Egyptian regime is very fragile, and will not risk a foreign intervention while having to suppress monthly uprisings back home.

Water is life or death. So they might have to try it.

Go block oil extraction in the Arab world and USA will be all over you...national interest.

Re: Who Owns the Nile?

#9
post #2

I know how it will work. Most likely nothing will happen. Egyptian regime is very fragile, and will not risk a foreign intervention while having to suppress monthly uprisings back home.

Water is life or death. So they might have to try it. Go block oil extraction in the Arab world and USA will be all over you...national interest.

not any more (vis USA and Arab world) - is the fifth fleet still there in persian gulf ?

Re: Who Owns the Nile?

#10
post #2

I know how it will work. Most likely nothing will happen. Egyptian regime is very fragile, and will not risk a foreign intervention while having to suppress monthly uprisings back home.

If it becomes an existential threat to Egypt via the Nile drying up, then the Egyptian people themselves will want war.
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