Bitcoin does not pose a threat to law and order
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Bitcoin does not pose a threat to law and order
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Re: Bitcoin does not pose a threat to law and order
#2Re: Bitcoin does not pose a threat to law and order
#3However bitcoin does pose a threat to the banking elite and their congressional lapdogs. A crackdown is comming soon unfortunately.
Is that just conjecture or do you have some evidence?
I hold bitcoin and expect it to prosper in time; I also expect a crackdown if it does succeed, but I would be very surprised to see anything soon.
It's hard for them to touch: the existing currency laws certainly don't apply. The more-likely scenario of them becoming stores of value and/or securities (legally speaking) gives them little room for enforcement as there is no central issuing party to go after.
I think the most likely crackdown will happen at the exchange level; but the only major one is in Japan, with new ones popping up everywhere within 6 months.
Honestly, the market is so small right now I would expect nefarious market manipulation as the main course of action for at least another order-of-magnitude growth in bitcoins market cap.
Re: Bitcoin does not pose a threat to law and order
#4However bitcoin does pose a threat to the banking elite and their congressional lapdogs. A crackdown is comming soon unfortunately.
By the time they have gotten around to see this as anything worth wasting time on, bitcoins have either court on or have completely disappeared (most likely the latter, sadly).
To mutilate a phrase Congress is not webscale, threats cannot be discovered, assessed and lobbied about fast enough to out-compete technology. And technology isn't going to get any slower.
Re: Bitcoin does not pose a threat to law and order
#5However bitcoin does pose a threat to the banking elite and their congressional lapdogs. A crackdown is comming soon unfortunately.
>A crackdown is comming soon unfortunately. Is that just conjecture or do you have some evidence? I hold bitcoin and expect it to prosper in time; I also expect a crackdown if it does succeed, but I would be very surprised to see anything soon. It's hard for them to touch: the existing currency laws certainly don't apply. The more-likely scenario of them becoming stores of value and/or securities (legally speaking) g…
Securities are more closely regulated than commodities in the US. I'm not sure what the laws are in Japan, where Mt. Gox is located, but I expect they could find some legal pretense to raid the exchange. There may be more exchanges popping up all the time, but almost everyone uses Mt. Gox. As a result, they're holding a huge amount of bitcoins and digital cash. That makes it a major target for a raid.
I wonder if they will start keeping backup servers in multiple countries, like Wikileaks? I'm not sure if that would protect peoples' digital cash, but their bitcoins would be safe in the event of a raid on the main server.
Re: Bitcoin does not pose a threat to law and order
#6However bitcoin does pose a threat to the banking elite and their congressional lapdogs. A crackdown is comming soon unfortunately.
Not likely - they simply don't understand it at all. P2P? Cryptocurrency?, hash collisions?, proof of work?, public private key encryption? By the time they have gotten around to see this as anything worth wasting time on, bitcoins have either court on or have completely disappeared (most likely the latter, sadly). To mutilate a phrase Congress is not webscale, threats cannot be discovered, assessed and lobbied about…
Re: Bitcoin does not pose a threat to law and order
#7At worst, BitCoin at this point is a scam where people who got involved with it early who are sitting on lots of BitCoin need to keep up a level of interest to cash out BitCoin for coin, as the curious poke around with it.
Re: Bitcoin does not pose a threat to law and order
#8The only thing Bitcoin poses a threat to is the t-shirt vendors and hosting providers who are accepting it as payment. Until the Bitcoin PR campaign graduates from hacker news, it's at best an academic discussion At worst, BitCoin at this point is a scam where people who got involved with it early who are sitting on lots of BitCoin need to keep up a level of interest to cash out BitCoin for coin, as the curious poke…
This. The volatility that makes bitcoins so attractive to speculators makes them a nightmare for merchants. Bitcoins have - on multiple occasions - dropped or risen by 25%+ in the course of a few minutes. If you accept bitcoins as payment, when should you cash them out? There's a chance that they dramatically rose or dropped in value during the short time it took you to process the transaction.
You could peg your price in bitcoins to the amount of USD they're worth at a particular time at the Mt. Gox exchange, but that is even more dangerous. The Mt. Gox exchange has shown itself to be incredibly vulnerable to market manipulation by anyone with more than ten thousand dollars (which is a miniscule amount of money, all things considered). Someone could cause the price of bitcoins to crash for just a few minutes and quickly buy thousands of dollars worth of goods from your store at firesale prices. (Edit: See two posts down for the inverse version of this scam, which I think would be even more effective.)
What honest bitcoin speculators don't realize is that until the volatility problems in the exchange are worked out, no big merchants are going to want to accept bitcoins. When the speculative value of bitcoins goes up, the practical value of bitcoins goes down.
Re: Bitcoin does not pose a threat to law and order
#9Earlier quoted context omitted.
>A crackdown is comming soon unfortunately. Is that just conjecture or do you have some evidence? I hold bitcoin and expect it to prosper in time; I also expect a crackdown if it does succeed, but I would be very surprised to see anything soon. It's hard for them to touch: the existing currency laws certainly don't apply. The more-likely scenario of them becoming stores of value and/or securities (legally speaking) g…
Actually, bitcoins being classified as securities might make it easier for governments to crack down on them: http://papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cfm?abstract_id=1817857 Securities are more closely regulated than commodities in the US. I'm not sure what the laws are in Japan, where Mt. Gox is located, but I expect they could find some legal pretense to raid the exchange. There may be more exchanges popping up all the…
Re: Bitcoin does not pose a threat to law and order
#10This doesn't seem like the type of community that will spearhead a mainstream currency alternative.