Election Battleground State Changes
alex.github.io
Election Battleground State Changes
1–10 of 93 posts
Re: Election Battleground State Changes
#2I've been looking for something exactly like this. Thanks so much!
Re: Election Battleground State Changes
#3This is really useful. Nice work.
The description for the "Block trend" column could perhaps be a little clearer. It currently reads:
>How has the trailing candidate's share of recent blocks trended? Computed using a moving average of previous 30k or more votes (or as many as available).
To me that says "We compute the moving average using the last 30k votes, except when we use more or less than that.".
Re: Election Battleground State Changes
#4I think most of us have been mentally doing these calculations (inaccurately!) in our heads these past two days. But this is so awesome!
Also, according to the trends here:
Alaska - Trump (3 votes)
Arizona - Trump (11 votes)
Georgia - Biden (16 votes)
North Carolina - Trump (15 votes)
Nevada - Biden (6 votes)
Pennsylvania - Biden (20 votes)
Winner would be Biden.
Re: Election Battleground State Changes
#5This is helpful. Would be nice to have this be a large table with all the active states mixed together. I could just visit this page and look for changes since I last looked.
Re: Election Battleground State Changes
#6This is really useful. Nice work. The description for the "Block trend" column could perhaps be a little clearer. It currently reads: >How has the trailing candidate's share of recent blocks trended? Computed using a moving average of previous 30k or more votes (or as many as available). To me that says "We compute the moving average using the last 30k votes, except when we use more or less than that.".
To me it reads “We aim for 30k but take what we can get.” You can see that the update sizes from the nytimes source vary greatly.
Re: Election Battleground State Changes
#7Amazingly simple and clear. Thank you.
Re: Election Battleground State Changes
#8I think most of us have been mentally doing these calculations (inaccurately!) in our heads these past two days. But this is so awesome! Also, according to the trends here: Alaska - Trump (3 votes) Arizona - Trump (11 votes) Georgia - Biden (16 votes) North Carolina - Trump (15 votes) Nevada - Biden (6 votes) Pennsylvania - Biden (20 votes) Winner would be Biden.
This show how our brain, despite being inaccurate can concious / subconsciously estimate those calculation. Our brain is amazing.
Re: Election Battleground State Changes
#9Keep in mind that these numbers may not be current. For example, as of right now (5:40pm EST), the estimated number of remaining votes in Pennslyania listed on the site is 431,723, but the PA Secretary of State put the number remaining as 326,000 an hour ago[1]. The NYT API may be using modeled numbers.
[1] https://www.nbcphiladelphia.com/news/politics/decision-2020/...
Re: Election Battleground State Changes
#10Love the tech here. A periodically generated html page / json file committed to a repo through github actions.