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A Swedish doctor's perspective on Covid

sebastianrushworth.com

1–10 of 340 posts

Re: A Swedish doctor's perspective on Covid

#2
"COVID is over in Sweden" is a pretty bold claim with ~400 daily infections, and increasing again as per https://experience.arcgis.com/experience/09f821667ce64bf7be6...

Just like in other EU countries, it is now the younger population which seems mostly affected, and thus the mortality is lower - which is ultimately some good news.

Summer holidays are now almost over though, so people are traveling home from vacations abroad, are going back to work, schools will start up soon and people finally get access again to health care (good luck seeing a doctor in July in Sweden). The impact remains to be seen, but it would be surprising if most other EU countries see infections increasing but not Sweden.

I remain pretty skeptical of this Swedish exceptionalism, so my guess is this blog post will not age well.

Re: A Swedish doctor's perspective on Covid

#7
There are a lot of highly problematic claims in the article. This one stood out to me:

>Shutting down completely in order to decrease the total number of deaths only makes sense if you are willing to stay shut down until a vaccine is available. That could take years. No country is willing to wait that long.

Actually it might very well just be half a year until we have a vaccine. Multiple candidate vaccines are in phase 3 and they are already being produced en masse, ready to be released if the vaccines prove to be successful. And it's not like other countries in Europe "shut down completely" and remain shut until today. In Germany people are leading their normal lives, the only difference being that people wear masks in super markets, register on a list when visiting a restaurant and there are no mass events/discotheques. Remaining at this status for half a year or maybe a year to prevent tens of thousands of deaths seems extremely doable.

Re: A Swedish doctor's perspective on Covid

#8
Sweden is effectively as locked down as anywhere else. The prevalence of the virus is diminishing there because people are not going out and getting sick, rendering R_t<1. I don't participate in social distancing because my government says to, and I certainly don't stop because my government says to either.

Re: A Swedish doctor's perspective on Covid

#9
Cynical perspective:

Trump doesn't want to reopen too fast because it won't be clear by the election (October, when mail-in voting happens) that this was a good strategy.

Democrats don't want to reopen too fast because keeping the economy shut down is bad for Trump's reelection chances.

Too cynical? Perhaps. But I do think that perspectives like the author's are dismissed too quickly because neither 'side' sees a way in which following this advice will help them in the upcoming election.

Regardless, it is a real shame that COVID has been so politicized, given the tremendous medical and economic repercussions that we are seeing.

Re: A Swedish doctor's perspective on Covid

#10
post #5

its time to stop this! I am so proud to see my fellow germans rise up: https://m.youtube.com/watch?v=htDrDieOgh0

> proud to see my fellow germans rise up:

That is (luckily imo) only a tiny minority of Germans. I would be very interested: are the current restrictions really that bad? You need to wear a mask in supermarkets, do you think that's actually that big of a deal?

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