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The U.S. Has Officially Unflattened the Curve

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Re: The U.S. Has Officially Unflattened the Curve

#4
post #3

They don’t mention hospitalization or deaths. Those are the two to keep track of. I’m guessing far more people are getting tested than previously, hence the larger numbers.

> I’m guessing far more people are getting tested than previously, hence the larger numbers.

Nationally that may be a contributing factor, but in hotspot states, the % of tests which are positive has actually gone up significantly: https://coronavirus.jhu.edu/testing/individual-states and select Florida or Arizona

Re: The U.S. Has Officially Unflattened the Curve

#6
post #3

They don’t mention hospitalization or deaths. Those are the two to keep track of. I’m guessing far more people are getting tested than previously, hence the larger numbers.

The deaths are increasing too. 2500+ people passed away yesterday (June 25) in the US.

Re: The U.S. Has Officially Unflattened the Curve

#7
post #3

They don’t mention hospitalization or deaths. Those are the two to keep track of. I’m guessing far more people are getting tested than previously, hence the larger numbers.

The % of tests that are coming back positive is increasing, which is a good indication that the growth we're seeing is due to a growth in infections, and not just growth in testing

Re: The U.S. Has Officially Unflattened the Curve

#8

Still flat in Calif., same for months.

Nope; CA is one of the highest-growing states. The Bay Area was flat, but it just spiked yesterday and reopening is now paused.

Nope, just checked the data on the Santa Clara hospitalizations link - only the number of tests is increasing, not admissions or mortality. Same for months.

The press is saying one thing, but the official stats say flat - month after month.

I guess newspapers value outrage over public service.

You would need a magnifying glass to see anything significant. Only 72 hospitalized patients today (2,278 more available), historical average is a little less.

https://www.sccgov.org/sites/covid19/Pages/dashboard.aspx

Shame on HN for letting non-technical people dictate public policy with a false narrative. If anybody told me that a technical group the size of HN in 2019 was this oblivious, I would have been skeptical. But here we are - the center of SV refuses to actually read a graph, month after month.

Can somebody explain that to me? Is everybody else incapacitated with fear, virtue signalling, mass hysteria, or what is behind that?

Dr. VDH, who noticed the above in parallel with me, said something like, "[We're captive to 1%'ers who have a nice life and feel it's unfair they could lose that.]"

Is that it? Destroy our economy for individual selfishness?

Do I need to make a video on how to read the graphs?

Re: The U.S. Has Officially Unflattened the Curve

#9
post #3

They don’t mention hospitalization or deaths. Those are the two to keep track of. I’m guessing far more people are getting tested than previously, hence the larger numbers.

Those are immune to the sampling rate bias, but they are lagging indicators. Based on the recent widespread failures to socially distance (e.g. George Floyd protests, campaign rallys, etc), I suspect those lagging charts will start trending upwards.

You can also correct for the sampling rate bias by looking at the number of cases per 100,000 tests (or similar). Does anyone have a link tracking that? EDIT: percentage positive tests: https://coronavirus.jhu.edu/testing/individual-states

Re: The U.S. Has Officially Unflattened the Curve

#10
This explains it: https://twitter.com/TheDailyShow/status/1276172320965636099/...

Jokes aside, I'm afraid this is truly the administration and leadership that will take down the US for good. We somehow made it through Bush Jr and Clinton but by golly, this administration cannot do anything constructive.

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