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Mary Meeker's 28 page take on Covid-19

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Re: Mary Meeker's 28 page take on Covid-19

#4

Has anyone done an analysis of her past reports to see if she's really any good at prognostication? I feel like in the past she stuck to describing incremental changes and trends but this was much more opinionated.

I look at these reports as checkpoints of trends that are already happening. All you need is a keen observational eye and some data to back up the qualitative observations to produce something like this.

I don't view these reports are being in the business of predicting the future.

They are describing what's already obviously happening with maybe an optimistic eye towards the future.

Re: Mary Meeker's 28 page take on Covid-19

#6
post #2

Is this health care's year of linux? I have been working around remote video telehealth since the late 90s. It has always been right around the corner.

Here in British Columbia it's reality. I get my regular meds prescription refills using eqvirtual and when I got tendonitis during the lockdown I called the office and my doc called me back on the phone and totally causally just texted me a link to set up a video chat and we conducted our business just like that.

But also note https://www.cpsbc.ca/for-physicians/college-connector/2017-V...

Re: Mary Meeker's 28 page take on Covid-19

#8

Has anyone done an analysis of her past reports to see if she's really any good at prognostication? I feel like in the past she stuck to describing incremental changes and trends but this was much more opinionated.

It works OK as a weathervane, but when I see documents full of ellipses, bullet points, truisms and Kissinger quotes I feel like I'm paying to have my confirmation biases validated.

It's not that it's bad or wrong, but there are probably 50 people here at HN who could do an equally good analysis.

Re: Mary Meeker's 28 page take on Covid-19

#9
post #2

Is this health care's year of linux? I have been working around remote video telehealth since the late 90s. It has always been right around the corner.

We always had teledoc, but it's an imperfect technology, can the doctor examine you with a stethoscope, can he check your BP, can he check your throat or blood-oxygen levels? NO? All he can do is ask for your symptoms and suggest what is at best an imperfect diagnosis and medications.

Re: Mary Meeker's 28 page take on Covid-19

#10

Has anyone done an analysis of her past reports to see if she's really any good at prognostication? I feel like in the past she stuck to describing incremental changes and trends but this was much more opinionated.

They're generally a good guide to the conventional wisdom from a center-right perspective, but they seldom yield insights.
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