Potential false-positive rate among the 'asymptomatic infected individuals'
1–10 of 74 posts
Re: Potential false-positive rate among the 'asymptomatic infected individuals'
#2Interesting, as this means that China would be quarantining more people than "necessary", which would help slow the pandemic anyway. I can't imagine an asymptomatic person would put stress on the hospital system? But maybe I'm wrong there.
I am curious if this also could indicate a false-positive problem with non asymptomatic people as well.
False-positives are also why the CDC tests had to be shipped back, although that was because it was showing false positives in other diseases it was testing for, not COVID-19.
Re: Potential false-positive rate among the 'asymptomatic infected individuals'
#3Would this indicate that the mortality rate is actually much higher percentage-wise, since the denominator is actually artificially inflated?
Re: Potential false-positive rate among the 'asymptomatic infected individuals'
#4Would this indicate that the mortality rate is actually much higher percentage-wise, since the denominator is actually artificially inflated?
I think so but wouldn't it also make the transmission rate estimates lower?
Re: Potential false-positive rate among the 'asymptomatic infected individuals'
#5Would this indicate that the mortality rate is actually much higher percentage-wise, since the denominator is actually artificially inflated?
Not that I'd expect, since non-testing in probable positive cases (f.e. in NL those sick, but manageable and in home quarantine are usually not tested) seems to dwarf false-positives in negative cases.
Re: Potential false-positive rate among the 'asymptomatic infected individuals'
#6Would this indicate that the mortality rate is actually much higher percentage-wise, since the denominator is actually artificially inflated?
That was my thinking as well. I also wonder how many people who ARE symptomatic don't get tested and how much this balances out the false positives of asymptomatic people, if at all.
Re: Potential false-positive rate among the 'asymptomatic infected individuals'
#7Interesting, as this means that China would be quarantining more people than "necessary", which would help slow the pandemic anyway. I can't imagine an asymptomatic person would put stress on the hospital system? But maybe I'm wrong there. I am curious if this also could indicate a false-positive problem with non asymptomatic people as well. False-positives are also why the CDC tests had to be shipped back, although…
I'm starting to hear stories that the Chinese people demanded more quarantine than was needed. The problem got bad enough that the government decided to comply as it wouldn't hurt much more than the amount of quarantine was needed and might even help.
Re: Potential false-positive rate among the 'asymptomatic infected individuals'
#8Would this indicate that the mortality rate is actually much higher percentage-wise, since the denominator is actually artificially inflated?
Not that I'd expect, since non-testing in probable positive cases (f.e. in NL those sick, but manageable and in home quarantine are usually not tested) seems to dwarf false-positives in negative cases.
But could that just be the flu.
Re: Potential false-positive rate among the 'asymptomatic infected individuals'
#9In Denmark we increased our testing 10-fold and found 300% more people infected. Our response to that increase has been to shut down the country completely for 2 weeks and expand our governments right to act: Forced entry into private property, forced isolation and treatment, forced testing. If this is all because of an error in the test kit I'm going to be super ticked off.
Re: Potential false-positive rate among the 'asymptomatic infected individuals'
#10Wait, so the actual mortality rate for COVID-19 is much higher than thought because of all the false positives on cases without symptoms?