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The Virus

blog.samaltman.com

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Re: The Virus

#4

Post by haunter »

justicezyx wrote: post #3

How can a investor give advices on impact of a virus that is new?

Classic case of Halo effect

>the tendency for positive impressions of a person, company, brand or product in one area to positively influence one's opinion or feelings in other areas

https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Halo_effect

Re: The Virus

#5

Post by all_blue_chucks »

If too many people get this simultaneously we will overwhelm the healthcare system and this will switch from tragedy to horror. Everyone please do everything you can to avoid catching and spreading this until we have enough testing to track this and respond effectively.

Re: The Virus

#7

Post by dnautics »

all_blue_chucks wrote: post #5

If too many people get this simultaneously we will overwhelm the healthcare system and this will switch from tragedy to horror. Everyone please do everything you can to avoid catching and spreading this until we have enough testing to track this and respond effectively.

While simple actions o prevent spread are probably not unreasonable (why aren't we doing these every flu season)? I think the scale of horror is grossly misperceived. For example, It's most likely that the scale of death from covid-19 will be at least one, if not two orders of magnitude lower than annual vehicular deaths in the us.

Re: The Virus

#9

Post by TaupeRanger »

Is this a contest for how to convey the least amount of useful information in the space of 1 blog post? Why even waste the time? Just say "it's probably bad" and move on. I'm willing to bet you have little to no idea what cascading effects are impacting treasury yields. It's just a finance news talking point.
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