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WHO Director: "Covid-19 does not transmit as efficiently as influenza"

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Re: WHO Director: "Covid-19 does not transmit as efficiently as influenza"

#4
Interesting... i wonder what the data is to back up that assertion?

Another interesting tidbit in there was that very few cases (1%) appear to be totally asymptomatic, and that most infections apparently start showing some symptoms after a couple days. So there are a few assertions in total that seem to depart from what was previously understood, at least through mass and social media.

Re: WHO Director: "Covid-19 does not transmit as efficiently as influenza"

#5

Interesting... i wonder what the data is to back up that assertion? Another interesting tidbit in there was that very few cases (1%) appear to be totally asymptomatic, and that most infections apparently start showing some symptoms after a couple days. So there are a few assertions in total that seem to depart from what was previously understood, at least through mass and social media.

I've never had such a steady stream of seemingly conflicting data before.

Re: WHO Director: "Covid-19 does not transmit as efficiently as influenza"

#6
This is important, because lots of internet commentators are just going with the most alarming possible statements: 28 day incubation periods, people can get infected twice, airborne transmission, asymptomatic transmission. These assertions are all based on outlier cases, sometimes even single cases, observed during the fog of war. Even if these accounts are correct, they aren't the typical case, which is what actually matters for policy and prevention.

The typical case has been well-known for months: most people get fevers, the incubation period is usually a few days, and most transmission is from symptomatic cases and via droplets. The WHO has collected stats from tens of thousands of cases and they've been straightforwardly pointing in this direction the entire time.

There definitely is a serious problem, but misinformation helps nobody, even if its spreaders are well-meaning. For example, I've seen a lot of people take the inflated statements ("28 day incubation period!!") to mean that stopping the spread is completely impossible, while we have seen by example that it isn't.

Re: WHO Director: "Covid-19 does not transmit as efficiently as influenza"

#7

Interesting... i wonder what the data is to back up that assertion? Another interesting tidbit in there was that very few cases (1%) appear to be totally asymptomatic, and that most infections apparently start showing some symptoms after a couple days. So there are a few assertions in total that seem to depart from what was previously understood, at least through mass and social media.

> i wonder what the data is to back up that assertion?

The data is the tens of thousands of cases the WHO has stats on. You can read any of their reports, they've been saying the same thing for months. The main sources contradicting them are random internet commentators.

Re: WHO Director: "Covid-19 does not transmit as efficiently as influenza"

#8
"To summarize, COVID-19 spreads less efficiently than flu, transmission does not appear to be driven by people who are not sick, it causes more severe illness than flu, there are not yet any vaccines or therapeutics, and it can be contained – which is why we must do everything we can to contain it. "

Re: WHO Director: "Covid-19 does not transmit as efficiently as influenza"

#9
They're trying to avoid a panic, so I'm just looking at the data from now on....

Numbers from https://bnonews.com/index.php/2020/02/the-latest-coronavirus...

As of March 4th. 6:22 pm eastern standard

In China:

Deaths: 2,981

recoveries : 49,856

Death/recovery : 5.98%

Outside of China...

Deaths: 272

Recoveries : 1205

Deaths/recoveries : 22.6%

Re: WHO Director: "Covid-19 does not transmit as efficiently as influenza"

#10
"To summarize, COVID-19 spreads less efficiently than flu, transmission does not appear to be driven by people who are not sick, it causes more severe illness than flu, there are not yet any vaccines or therapeutics, and it can be contained – which is why we must do everything we can to contain it. That’s why WHO recommends a comprehensive approach."

Ah, so there aren't hordes of asymptomatic carriers out there, which is both good and bad (the death rate really is high)

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