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Predictions for 2020–2029

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Re: Predictions for 2020–2029

#3
Under the section on “reimagining search”:

> We live in a state of anxiety without a path to financial independence. The path to creating wealth from last century no longer applies. The path to reimagining search begins with helping people to understand their money. The first step starts with delivering insights into the stories that data can tell.

Not sure what financial independence has to do with search results? I’m not actually sure those sentences really mean anything at all...

Re: Predictions for 2020–2029

#4

Under the section on “reimagining search”: > We live in a state of anxiety without a path to financial independence. The path to creating wealth from last century no longer applies. The path to reimagining search begins with helping people to understand their money. The first step starts with delivering insights into the stories that data can tell. Not sure what financial independence has to do with search results? I…

> > We live in a state of anxiety without a path to financial independence. The path to creating wealth from last century no longer applies.

As Marx said, you need to own the means of production. The beautiful thing about capitalism is that the means of production are for sale on the stock market.

Re: Predictions for 2020–2029

#5
I predict the vast majority of people will never again understand that new decades, centuries, and millenia begin on January 1st of years ending in '1' and not '0' because there never was a Year 0. Everyone knew that 50 years ago, which is why Kubrick didn't call it '2000: A Space Odyssey.'

Re: Predictions for 2020–2029

#6
post #5

I predict the vast majority of people will never again understand that new decades, centuries, and millenia begin on January 1st of years ending in '1' and not '0' because there never was a Year 0. Everyone knew that 50 years ago, which is why Kubrick didn't call it '2000: A Space Odyssey.'

It's the 20's, deal with it.

Re: Predictions for 2020–2029

#7

Under the section on “reimagining search”: > We live in a state of anxiety without a path to financial independence. The path to creating wealth from last century no longer applies. The path to reimagining search begins with helping people to understand their money. The first step starts with delivering insights into the stories that data can tell. Not sure what financial independence has to do with search results? I…

You are right that section could be much clearer.

Long term transaction data and browsing history could be used to train a federated learning algorithm to generate search results.

Getting access to that data to understand what stories it can tell is difficult ask without offering a lot of value in return.

In the short term I believe providing insights into a persons finances is the way to provide that value.

E.g. if you have an extra $5k how do your circumstances change if you - pay off student debt - pay extra on your mortgage - buy solar - contribute to your 401k / retirement savings

or showing how changes in spending alters the amount of pretax money you need to earn to support your lifestyle.

or how does your spending compare to people like you?

Re: Predictions for 2020–2029

#8
> People are scared and want their leaders to protect their jobs from foreign competition.

It's not 'competition' that people are afraid of, it is unfair government intervention and tariffs. The idea with Trump's trade wars is that if a country imposes tariff's on US goods, the US will respond in kind until those tariff's are removed and fair competition is restored. Whether or not this is actually happening in practice is another story, but to say nationalists are afraid of competition misses the mark.

Re: Predictions for 2020–2029

#9
post #2

This is interesting, but is essentially taking the present and multiplying it 10x. Which is never really how the future turns out, but always how humans think the future will turn out.

I found the thought process of trying to make the predictions quite rewarding to go through, it will be interesting to look back in 10 years and see how close or not they are

Re: Predictions for 2020–2029

#10
post #6
post #5

I predict the vast majority of people will never again understand that new decades, centuries, and millenia begin on January 1st of years ending in '1' and not '0' because there never was a Year 0. Everyone knew that 50 years ago, which is why Kubrick didn't call it '2000: A Space Odyssey.'

It's the 20's, deal with it.

It is 20s, but not a new decade :)

See https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Decade

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