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Predictions Scorecard

rodneybrooks.com

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Re: Predictions Scorecard

#2
> A flying car can be purchased by any US resident if they have enough money. - No Earlier Than 2036

I'm pretty sure you can already buy a helicopter or even a private jet.

Re: Predictions Scorecard

#3
A few of my own, from various notes jotted down over the years (adjust to to reflect present realities):

A new smartphone form factor -- most likely a smaller, thicker (but less dense) palm-fitting form factor with rounded edges and surfaces: 2020

First commercial lab grown meat product: 2022

First detection of free Oxygen or other signs of life in an extra-solar planetary atmosphere: 2024

Major social upheavals against income inequality in the US and western Europe, with possible economic depression: 2024

Electric vehicle sales overtake gasoline vehicles: 2025

Last coal plant in the world decommissioned: 2030

Next manned lunar landing: 2040

First man on Mars: NIML (due to worldwide socioeconomic decline)

Re: Predictions Scorecard

#4
post #3

A few of my own, from various notes jotted down over the years (adjust to to reflect present realities): A new smartphone form factor -- most likely a smaller, thicker (but less dense) palm-fitting form factor with rounded edges and surfaces: 2020 First commercial lab grown meat product: 2022 First detection of free Oxygen or other signs of life in an extra-solar planetary atmosphere: 2024 Major social upheavals agai…

JUST was hoping to have lab-grown chicken nuggets for sale by the end of 2018, "subject to regulatory considerations."

https://www.just-food.com/news/just-planning-to-launch-lab-g...

Regarding Mars, I think at this point it depends more on SpaceX internet satellite profits than on overall socioeconomic conditions.

Re: Predictions Scorecard

#5
post #2

> A flying car can be purchased by any US resident if they have enough money. - No Earlier Than 2036 I'm pretty sure you can already buy a helicopter or even a private jet.

Helicopters and jets aren't street-legal wheeled vehicles.