What Is Going to Happen in 2019
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Re: What Is Going to Happen in 2019
#2> The eurozone is about to go through the most significant change in decades with some sort of departure of the UK from the EU (Brexit). It remains unclear exactly how this will happen, which in and of itself is creating a lot of uncertainty on the Continent. I don’t expect most businesses in Europe to do anything but play defense in 2019.
Of all the things said in the post this stands out to me as the only overly pessimistic point. First of all: The UK always had a very special relationship to and within EU. Now this relationship is going to be different - but not earth-shakingly different.
Yes, there is a lot of uncertainty right now, and I agree with Fred Wilson here that we can expect a messy Brexit, but I don't expect this state of affairs to drag on through the whole of 2019. At some point we will have clarity and this will hopefully be beneficial for the economy.
The most important point though is that a messy Brexit is expected on both sides of the Channel preparations for it are already proceeding.
Re: What Is Going to Happen in 2019
#3> The eurozone is about to go through the most significant change in decades with some sort of departure of the UK from the EU (Brexit).
The UK may be leaving the EU, but that's not a change to the Eurozone, which is a monetary union among a subset of EU members, of which the UK has never been a part.
Re: What Is Going to Happen in 2019
#4Impeachment will never happen. If you study recent history, an impeachment attempt on Trump will go down just like it did on Clinton - - strictly along party lines. The Clinton vote was razor accurate along party lines when it happened. No majority means no impeachment.
Re: What Is Going to Happen in 2019
#5> The eurozone is about to go through the most significant change in decades with some sort of departure of the UK from the EU (Brexit). It remains unclear exactly how this will happen, which in and of itself is creating a lot of uncertainty on the Continent. I don’t expect most businesses in Europe to do anything but play defense in 2019. Of all the things said in the post this stands out to me as the only overly pe…
We haven't even begun to negotiate a new trading agreement. The transition agreement is for two years, and I can't see the negotiations taking any less than that amount of time.
Re: What Is Going to Happen in 2019
#6>> I believe that we will have a different President of the United States by the end of 2019. The catalyst for this change will be a devastating report issued by Robert Mueller that outlines a history of illegal activities by our President going back decades, including in his campaign for President.
I will only give weight-age to Mr.Wilson's prediction on this if he discloses whom he cast his Vote in 2016 and its not Hillary Clinton.
Also, if you have an annual tradition of forecasting the upcoming year, please also make it a tradition of evaluating your previous year's prediction.
Edit: Here are his predictions for 2018. Some he got right, but on lot of stuff he played it both ways and honestly expressed his lack of clarity.
Re: What Is Going to Happen in 2019
#7> The eurozone is about to go through the most significant change in decades with some sort of departure of the UK from the EU (Brexit). The UK may be leaving the EU, but that's not a change to the Eurozone, which is a monetary union among a subset of EU members, of which the UK has never been a part.
There still could be impact on trade, especially if we have a no-deal brexit.
Re: What Is Going to Happen in 2019
#8> The eurozone is about to go through the most significant change in decades with some sort of departure of the UK from the EU (Brexit). The UK may be leaving the EU, but that's not a change to the Eurozone, which is a monetary union among a subset of EU members, of which the UK has never been a part.
A large percentage of Eurozone finance is based in London and while (whilst?) I’m not sure where this will land (FRA most likely), it seems likely to involve some dislocation in the short term. Of course it remains to be seen how much market access will exist and possibly more importantly what the hiring rules will be. Still, all of this will impact the Eurozone and has already made for a turbulent year.
Re: What Is Going to Happen in 2019
#9>> I believe that we will have a different President of the United States by the end of 2019. The catalyst for this change will be a devastating report issued by Robert Mueller that outlines a history of illegal activities by our President going back decades, including in his campaign for President. I will only give weight-age to Mr.Wilson's prediction on this if he discloses whom he cast his Vote in 2016 and its not…
Democrats will control 54% of the next House. So his prediction is much more likely in 2019 than in any previous years. There's no reason to think this is based on politically-motivated wishful thinking.
Re: What Is Going to Happen in 2019
#10> The eurozone is about to go through the most significant change in decades with some sort of departure of the UK from the EU (Brexit). The UK may be leaving the EU, but that's not a change to the Eurozone, which is a monetary union among a subset of EU members, of which the UK has never been a part.
There still could be impact on trade, especially if we have a no-deal brexit.
It will have impact on trade, but that's still more an issue for the EU as a whole rather than the Eurozone specifically.
I consider it a typo; the author clearly meant the EU, but wrote Eurozone for some reason. I can't entirely blame them; the many European treaties are a complicated mess.