Show HN: Is the stock market going to crash?

#1

Post by truffle_pig » Mon, Aug 07, 2017, 1:45 PM UTC

Show HN: Is the stock market going to crash?
isthestockmarketgoingtocrash.com

Re: Show HN: Is the stock market going to crash?

#2

Post by timsayshey » Mon, Aug 07, 2017, 2:12 PM UTC

Really cool idea. As someone that hasn't really investigated the market indicators for collapse this is really eye opening. It really breaks things down into plain english. Hope this goes to the top for some rational/interesting conversation.

Re: Show HN: Is the stock market going to crash?

#3

Post by truffle_pig » Mon, Aug 07, 2017, 2:20 PM UTC

timsayshey wrote: post #2

Really cool idea. As someone that hasn't really investigated the market indicators for collapse this is really eye opening. It really breaks things down into plain english. Hope this goes to the top for some rational/interesting conversation.

Thanks for the kind words! I'm not an economist myself so I'm hoping others on HN might be able to correct any inaccuracies.

Re: Show HN: Is the stock market going to crash?

#4

Post by Kiro » Mon, Aug 07, 2017, 2:41 PM UTC

I got a "Add Create React App Sample to your home screen" notification on my phone.

Re: Show HN: Is the stock market going to crash?

#5

Post by rcpt » Mon, Aug 07, 2017, 2:42 PM UTC

Kiro wrote: post #4

I got a "Add Create React App Sample to your home screen" notification on my phone.

Same here - wonder how they did that.

Re: Show HN: Is the stock market going to crash?

#6

Post by mendeza » Mon, Aug 07, 2017, 2:43 PM UTC

What about student loan debt, how does that factor into the economy or the stock market being affected?

Right now student loan debt is at 1.4 trillion

source: https://www.debt.org/students/

Re: Show HN: Is the stock market going to crash?

#7

Post by lg » Mon, Aug 07, 2017, 2:43 PM UTC

Could the fact that a lot of US companies book profits overseas and keep them there for tax reasons foil your assumption about the meaning of a high US market cap:domestic GDP ratio?

Re: Show HN: Is the stock market going to crash?

#8

Post by nautilus12 » Mon, Aug 07, 2017, 2:44 PM UTC

truffle_pig wrote: post #3

timsayshey wrote: post #2

Really cool idea. As someone that hasn't really investigated the market indicators for collapse this is really eye opening. It really breaks things down into plain english. Hope this goes to the top for some rational/interesting conversation.

Thanks for the kind words! I'm not an economist myself so I'm hoping others on HN might be able to correct any inaccuracies.

Is this open source? Id like to see how/where you are pulling your data.

Re: Show HN: Is the stock market going to crash?

#9

Post by qubex » Mon, Aug 07, 2017, 2:45 PM UTC

Economist here. You should really keep in mind that the same GDP must go both towards paying off the national debt and paying off household debt. Also you should track commodities (at the very least, the ratio between put & call options).

Re: Show HN: Is the stock market going to crash?

#10

Post by longwave » Mon, Aug 07, 2017, 2:46 PM UTC

rcpt wrote: post #5

Kiro wrote: post #4

I got a "Add Create React App Sample to your home screen" notification on my phone.

Same here - wonder how they did that.

in the header, see https://developer.mozilla.org/en-US/docs/Web/Manifest for more.