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A.I. wins the Superfecta at the Kentucky Derby, turns $20 bet into $11k

unu.ai

1–10 of 21 posts

Re: A.I. wins the Superfecta at the Kentucky Derby, turns $20 bet into $11k

#2
This is a completely irrelevant achievement. Nobody can reasonably expect this to be repeatable, and if enough people make predictions somebody will get it right.

It's so blatantly irrelevant, I assume this company only cares about selling and not at all about their technology being able to do anything better than chance.

Re: A.I. wins the Superfecta at the Kentucky Derby, turns $20 bet into $11k

#3
post #2

This is a completely irrelevant achievement. Nobody can reasonably expect this to be repeatable, and if enough people make predictions somebody will get it right. It's so blatantly irrelevant, I assume this company only cares about selling and not at all about their technology being able to do anything better than chance.

It's a very easy claim to test though - just wait until next year's Derby and see if they can do it again.

Re: A.I. wins the Superfecta at the Kentucky Derby, turns $20 bet into $11k

#7
post #6

When 'artificial intelligence' is the same thing as 'crowdsourcing and averaging'... https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=JKNVwXU2rrI This is misleading. It's just Wisdom of the Crowd stuff. ( https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Wisdom_of_the_crowd )

It's intelligence.

Re: A.I. wins the Superfecta at the Kentucky Derby, turns $20 bet into $11k

#9
post #2

This is a completely irrelevant achievement. Nobody can reasonably expect this to be repeatable, and if enough people make predictions somebody will get it right. It's so blatantly irrelevant, I assume this company only cares about selling and not at all about their technology being able to do anything better than chance.

UNU has been making MANY impressive picks, and they do it in response to challenges from reporters, so there's proof.

NEWSWEEK challenged them to predict the Oscars and they outperformed over 90% of the experts, including 538.

Here is the NEWSWEEK article: http://www.newsweek.com/oscar-predictions-artificial-intelli...

Re: A.I. wins the Superfecta at the Kentucky Derby, turns $20 bet into $11k

#10
The derby has 20 horses in the competition. Winning the superfecta requires picking the 1st, 2nd, 3rd and 4th places in correct order.

The possible ways to choose that ordering are 20 * 19 * 18 * 17 or 116,280 combinations. So, a 1 in 116,280 chance of winning (which is why it pays about 11,000x -- bookies get to keep the rest!). If this crowd-sourced horse pickin' works twice that would be about 1 in 13.521 billion odds. So, if it can do it twice there might be something to it. Doing it once isn't really that big of odds. If the favorite gets upset (Nyquist this time) then the crowdsource probably loses. Not sure how often that happens, but it probably isn't particularly rare.

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