Live data from Hacker News

Political Forecasts – according to the betting markets

politicalforecasts.com

1–4 of 4 posts

Re: Political Forecasts – according to the betting markets

#2
Interesting that in both cases it's the establishment candidate that is preferred to win. I bet (but not really, though) that in 2008 odds were much in favor of Clinton, too. I guess we'll just have to see if political betting is a good way to predict what will happen.

Re: Political Forecasts – according to the betting markets

#3
post #2

Interesting that in both cases it's the establishment candidate that is preferred to win. I bet (but not really, though) that in 2008 odds were much in favor of Clinton, too. I guess we'll just have to see if political betting is a good way to predict what will happen.

you're right. at the beginning Clinton was the clear favorite. His odds went above 50:50 in February after a few successes successes against Clinton and kept rising until Clinton stepped back