Twitter Data used to predict election outcome in Turkey
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Twitter Data used to predict election outcome in Turkey
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Re: Twitter Data used to predict election outcome in Turkey
#2Interesting results
Re: Twitter Data used to predict election outcome in Turkey
#3I would've guessed a lower percentage forthe justice and development party (AKP). I'll keep a watch on your blog, thnx for sharing:)
Re: Twitter Data used to predict election outcome in Turkey
#4Sorry for jumping like that before reading your blog post carefully but did you consider the fake user factor on your results? There are tons of accounts on Twitter posting 1-2 exactly the same or 2-3 character altered tweets from an unknown database per week. Those fake accounts mostly support AKP. I believe those are the ones that make your prediction inaccurate.
Re: Twitter Data used to predict election outcome in Turkey
#5Sorry for jumping like that before reading your blog post carefully but did you consider the fake user factor on your results? There are tons of accounts on Twitter posting 1-2 exactly the same or 2-3 character altered tweets from an unknown database per week. Those fake accounts mostly support AKP. I believe those are the ones that make your prediction inaccurate.
Hello yigit, Actually I did consider it. In short; out of the >200.000 users who posted Tweets regarding politics in the period of 1 May to 06 June there were a few dozen users who posted thousands of Tweets instead of only a few (200.000 users, their actions do not affect the result much.
Unfortunately I did not have enough time to do a similar analysis on the Twitter data from Oktober. But I hope that the same conditions apply. In any case, I will take your concerns into account and try to do more analysis on the set of users from the dataset of September and Oktober if I have some time today or tomorrow.
Re: Twitter Data used to predict election outcome in Turkey
#6I don't believe this will the result. The results of this snap election will be exactly like the last in which AKP won't be able to form government by themselves and a coalition will be required.
Re: Twitter Data used to predict election outcome in Turkey
#7wow that is very nice predictions, you should be nominated for nobel peace price. wit this we can allow for prediction for world affares