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The United States and Israel have launched a major attack on Iran

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Re: The United States and Israel have launched a major attack on Iran

#991

What are the chances that HN is getting astroturfed these days? Are mods strict about it? I lots of relatively new accounts coming with what seems to me extreme, but altogether pop-culture acceptable opinions

A large proportion of the software that runs HN exists to detect inorganic activity. It's quite obvious to us when significant numbers of comments are made in support of a particular agenda by new accounts or old accounts without regular, normal participation on HN.

Also, it's against the guidelines to allege or speculate about astroturfing (as is anything that is tangential to the primary topic), but we welcome emails (hn@ycombinator.com) from anyone who notices anything that seems suspect, and we're happy to investigate.

Re: The United States and Israel have launched a major attack on Iran

#992

I recall someone (name escapes me at the moment) defining WW3 as ignition in 5 flashpoints between belligerent groupings: - Eastern Africa esp. Sudan, which we all nearly universally ignore - Israel Iran - Russia and a neighbor which we know today is Ukraine - Pakistan Afghanistan India - China Taiwan Plus Plus Attributes that distinguish WW3 from previous world wars were IIRC: Contained conflagration, short targeted…

I'd bet on WW3 not happening in the next 20 years. US's military power is too strong. Russia is in such a bad shape that it can't even win Ukraine. China never goes to any war; their equipments suck as we saw in the Venezuela occurrence. Nobody is going to help Iran. China and Russia only see Iran as the enemy of my enemy. Other than that, Chineses and Russians are likely disgusted by Iran's culture e.g. how they tre…

The US has shown very quickly that it is not a spent power. Compare what they have done recently in Venezuela and Iran to Russia's botching of taking Kiev and the mess ever since.

But to quote Fiona Hill in regards to China, Russia and iran.

--------------------

The Chinese have told the Europeans many times when they've been asked, 'Why are you continuing to support Russia? And why do you want Russia to win?' that, 'Well, if we wanted Russia to win, they would have won.'

Also, if they wanted Russia to lose, Russia would probably have lost.

China is, again, just gauging their support and playing all of this out, gaming it out, really, as to how it affects the United States one way or another.

The same is true of North Korea and Iran, she says: support for Russia has been built on antipathy towards the United States and their own beef with the United States.

Re: The United States and Israel have launched a major attack on Iran

#993

Using the game theory, shouldn’t the nice, forgiving and not being a pushover the winning strategy? I’ve always felt the US won trust and respect with these characteristics. It looks like we are now shifting strategy and I wonder where this will lead to.

The US seems in practice to be doing more of a bomb the bad guys strategy. I guess that could work? It's a bit random - Trump's instinct seems to include attacking Canada and Denmark but he doesn't get buy in for those thankfully.

Re: The United States and Israel have launched a major attack on Iran

#994

well, they were one week away from a nuke, as usual.

They were going to get AGI before US but don’t worry, the last openai funding and this war will save US

While that's a funny thought, recently I stumbled across a sobering website [1].

This website lets you zoom in on the Ukraine-Russia battlefront and place Polymarket bets on land being taken by Russia. We may be closer to big private company betting on wars than we'd like to think.

[1] pizzint.watch

Re: The United States and Israel have launched a major attack on Iran

#995
post #958

Well hopefully this is short, minimally lethal, and leads to regime change for all those involved.

> minimally lethal The US and Israel are involved. The only way it’s going to turn out is maximally lethal to all those not involved at all. See… basically any military operation participated in by those nations in recent history. We got a couple strikes and already managed to hit an elementary school. Nothing I’ve seen in Gaza or Iraq leads me to believe this will be any different.

Wouldn't you consider the Maduro capture a minimally lethal operation?

Re: The United States and Israel have launched a major attack on Iran

#996
post #548

I hope this war will be short. And that the result will be Iran becoming a democracy that fully joins the global community. The Iranian people (Persians, Azerbaijanis, Kurds, and others), deserve better. It would benefit the entire world to see Iran integrated and engaged internationally.

> And that the result will be Iran becoming a democracy that fully joins the global community.

You can hope that (and I can hope that), but the powers that are driving this military action completely do not care about this outcome. Which makes it exceedingly difficult for me to think this will happen.

I know the US proxies keep blabbering about 'regime change', but there's zero intentionality behind the political work to do that. My guess is balkanization, which won't really go how the US/Israel wants it to go

Re: The United States and Israel have launched a major attack on Iran

#997

I was discussing this with a friend today. It just feels like there's no point to these actions. Not in the sense of "I don't ideologically agree with our decision to do this," but in the sense of, "I do not see how this accomplishes any ideological or practical goal." What are they trying for? Regime change in Iran? No more Iranian nuclear program? There barely was one before. Keeping Israel safe? It's been an open…

[dead]

Re: The United States and Israel have launched a major attack on Iran

#998

Peace president ah? American terrorists never learn to mind their own business in their own country. Where are all the MAGA clowns? How exactly attacking Iran make their country great? Murdered million children in Iraq and now they started their terrorism in Iran.

[dead]

Re: The United States and Israel have launched a major attack on Iran

#999

Peace president ah? American terrorists never learn to mind their own business in their own country. Where are all the MAGA clowns? How exactly attacking Iran make their country great? Murdered million children in Iraq and now they started their terrorism in Iran.

Peace president ah?

Yes, the USA and Israel are putting an end to a 47 year war of Iran vs. Everyone. There will be casualties on every side, that is war. Iran made the middle east into a giant PVP server. That is coming to an end.

Re: The United States and Israel have launched a major attack on Iran

#1000

Not a single person who claim Trump is a peace president will admit they are wrong.

Trump is indeed a peace president. He is shutting down the middle east PVP server. Iran has been attacking everyone for 47 years. That era is coming to an end. It's time to make Iran great again.
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