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TSMC expected to announce $100B investment in U.S.

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Re: TSMC expected to announce $100B investment in U.S.

#971
post #947

Earlier quoted context omitted.

You are approaching this from the wrong direction. Air forces, navies, and drones cannot conquer a country. For that, you need ground forces with plenty of heavy equipment. Which can only cross the sea in slow and vulnerable ships. To stop them, you need long-distance firepower with large enough warheads. A carrier strike group is the least vulnerable way of delivering such firepower. The job of a carrier strike grou…

So how will the carrier strike groups be used? Sink Chinese navy ships? That's one step up the escalation ladder. China will reciprocate with sinking some escort ships of the carrier groups, just to make a point and demonstrate their hypersonics. Another step up the escalation ladder. At which point, the carrier groups either back off to de-escalate and avoid losing a capital ship. Or stay there and continue the esca…

The underlying assumption is that the US intends to escalate to a full-scale war if China does not back off. If China does not believe in that, the US Navy is just a bunch of expensive but inconsequential toys that can be safely ignored.

If the deterrent works and China does not invade due to the risk of a major war, it's the best-case outcome. If it fails and a war breaks out, massive casualties are likely. Wars are usually not as one-sided as the ones the US has fought in the past decades. But it would not be WW3, as most countries have no reasons to get involved.

Re: TSMC expected to announce $100B investment in U.S.

#973

Earlier quoted context omitted.

6 hours later: - re-iterated threats about Greenland ( one way or another we'll get it) - tarrifs India - tarrifs South Korea - tarrifs China ( that one I get) - Seize Panama canal ( forgot that) - threatening US students and schools for protesting - removing a black congressmen from Trump's speech - banned intelligence sharing to Ukraine Ho boy, at this rate. No one will be left from US allies within months.

Add Japan to the list regarding currencies

Add Moldova

Re: TSMC expected to announce $100B investment in U.S.

#974

Earlier quoted context omitted.

I don't understand what makes the US "The Bad Guys" in the same sentence that mentions North Korea and China?

In the recent Ukraine vote (condemning the Russian invasion) at the UN the US voted with North Korea and Russia. Even China and Iran didn't vote with Russia on that one, they abstained.

What is the endgame in that world, keep sending weapons? At some point there won't be anyone left to fight. At some point a concession will need to be made, and those concessions can lead to better times.

There is no world where NATO/US invade Russia. That is literally the end of the world.

Re: TSMC expected to announce $100B investment in U.S.

#975

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Threatening to annex Greenland ( Denmark) Threatening to annex Canada and start a trade war to try to compulse them. Invoking Canadian nationalism instead. Note: he arranged the previous "trade deal" he claims to hate now. Starting a trade war with Mexico, this is actually a source of Fentanyl and I can understand. Camerading with dictators ( Russia), voting the same as them in the UN. Claiming Russia isn't the aggre…

6 hours later: - re-iterated threats about Greenland ( one way or another we'll get it) - tarrifs India - tarrifs South Korea - tarrifs China ( that one I get) - Seize Panama canal ( forgot that) - threatening US students and schools for protesting - removing a black congressmen from Trump's speech - banned intelligence sharing to Ukraine Ho boy, at this rate. No one will be left from US allies within months.

You should consider getting a hobby.

Re: TSMC expected to announce $100B investment in U.S.

#976
post #314

The idea that the US protects Taiwan from a possible Chinese invasion over chips is one of those things that sounds believable but really isn't going to happen. From China’s perspective, the cost of war is much higher than the cost of developing these chips themselves. In the worst-case scenario, they would be 2-3 years behind the cutting edge, which is not mission-critical. Most electronics (civilian or military) do…

I still suspect the long con is that we'll see peaceful reunification.

The RoC is very import dependent, and we're staring down the barrel of some major swings in world trade. Will they be able to compensate if the US economy slips into a new Great Depression and drags much of the West with it? Will the US be as interested in honouring blank-cheque defence promises when inflation is 16% and unemployment 20%?

Re: TSMC expected to announce $100B investment in U.S.

#977

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Why would China even invade Taiwan? For the same reasons they invaded and took Hong Kong. Because they have their own manifest destiny to reunify their country into what it once was. They don't care about the collateral damage to achieve this in the end.

In a multipolar world, historical ignorance leads to geopolitical disadvantage. One should be well-versed in history before offering opinions on these matters. While American power once allowed it to shape global order unilaterally, a truly multipolar reality requires deep historical understanding to avoid diplomatic failures.

This sounds like Ai nonsense. What does this even mean?

Re: TSMC expected to announce $100B investment in U.S.

#978
post #435

Earlier quoted context omitted.

... the same thing will apply later on after the successful "non-invasion" of Taiwan.

> ... the same thing will apply later on after the successful "non-invasion" of Taiwan. Maybe. I never commented on if the situation is good - just that invasion is the wrong term. Perhaps it should be self-implosion.

Go ahead an look up the column of military transports entering Hong Kong during the ahead-of-schedule "reunification" that apparently wasn't an invasion.

Re: TSMC expected to announce $100B investment in U.S.

#979

Earlier quoted context omitted.

I don't see how the commenter is 'brainwashed'. The One China Policy was and remains a convenient status quo for all parties. The risk is that China decides that it's newfound economic and military might have changed that calculus.

Yeah, now a open question, what's worse: - reuniting with China - getting your only industry stolen by the USA Quick, you have less than 5 years to answer

Reuniting with China.

Re: TSMC expected to announce $100B investment in U.S.

#980

Earlier quoted context omitted.

6 hours later: - re-iterated threats about Greenland ( one way or another we'll get it) - tarrifs India - tarrifs South Korea - tarrifs China ( that one I get) - Seize Panama canal ( forgot that) - threatening US students and schools for protesting - removing a black congressmen from Trump's speech - banned intelligence sharing to Ukraine Ho boy, at this rate. No one will be left from US allies within months.

You should consider getting a hobby.

Which one is wrong?

( Then it goes quiet )

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