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Cyclists now outnumber motorists in City of London

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Re: Cyclists now outnumber motorists in City of London

#951

Earlier quoted context omitted.

If you're backpacking constantly , sure. But a couple of years is a huge amount of time. If you put in just 4 hours a week you'll be done in no time. Not knowing how to drive in that situation is because of not caring very much, not because of moving around. And the vast majority of what you learn stays relevant when you move.

> But a couple of years is a huge amount of time. If you put in just 4 hours a week you'll be done in no time. Sure, if you put 4 hours a week into any activity you’ll soon get good at it. But the crux of the issue is whether that activity is seen as a priority or not. > Not knowing how to drive in that situation is because of not caring very much, not because of moving around. They didn’t care because they were movi…

You can take a car with you when you move. And leases exist.

This doesn't seem to be about travel at all. It's just that some people don't get a license.

It's not that the concept is alien, it's that the justification you gave isn't really true. It doesn't make it a "whole lot harder to learn to drive". Moving around has almost no effect on getting some driving lessons.

Re: Cyclists now outnumber motorists in City of London

#952

Earlier quoted context omitted.

I live in what would be called a 15 minute city, but we don't really call it that. I just bring a bag or two and ride my bike to the store. Or if I'm downtown, which is a 10 minute train ride away, I'll stop by the grocery store next to the station before hopping on the train and just carry my groceries in a bag or put em in my backpack. The only times I choose to drive are when I want to get a large quantity of some…

That's probably healthier for fruit/veg, but I find myself a weekly shopper. Even for just myself the rucksack guy above you might be pushing the limits.

If you're in the US, weekly shopping is very common because it is such a chore to get to and from grocery stores. They tend to be very large and relatively far away from where people live, so it's quite an inconvenience to shop there.

Smaller stores within neighborhoods allow for quick trips without much hassle.

Re: Cyclists now outnumber motorists in City of London

#953
post #556

November 2020 I ordered a Swytch e-bike kit and fitted it to my bike. It replaced the car for many things (weekly grocery shops, city centre trips). I moved to London last year and this turned out to be a fortune timing. My car, a Honda Civic 2007 diesel, is not ULEZ compliant and I will have to pay £12.50/day to drive it from August 2023 due to the low emission zone expansion. I plan to sell it in July. Guess what?…

So the reason more people are cycling in the area is that the government made cars extremely expensive, almost certainly more than the externalities created by those cars. If they instead instituted a carbon tax and congestion pricing, I doubt your daily expenses would exceed £12.50/day.

London's had congestion pricing for 20 years. The ULEZ is a tax on high NO2 emissions, not carbon. It's caused a significant reduction on the externalities of bad air quality, which was the goal.

Re: Cyclists now outnumber motorists in City of London

#954

Earlier quoted context omitted.

> But a couple of years is a huge amount of time. If you put in just 4 hours a week you'll be done in no time. Sure, if you put 4 hours a week into any activity you’ll soon get good at it. But the crux of the issue is whether that activity is seen as a priority or not. > Not knowing how to drive in that situation is because of not caring very much, not because of moving around. They didn’t care because they were movi…

You can take a car with you when you move. And leases exist. This doesn't seem to be about travel at all. It's just that some people don't get a license. It's not that the concept is alien, it's that the justification you gave isn't really true. It doesn't make it a "whole lot harder to learn to drive". Moving around has almost no effect on getting some driving lessons.

> You can take a car with you when you move. And leases exist.

But you’re not going to have a car if you haven’t already learnt to drive.

> This doesn't seem to be about travel at all. It's just that some people don't get a license.

They don’t get licenses because they’re travelling.

Time is finite, not everyone wants to use it learning to drive.

> It's not that the concept is alien, it's that the justification you gave isn't really true.

It was literally the reason I learnt to drive so late in life. It was the reason many of my friends either learnt to drive later in life or still don’t even drive now.

You might not relate to us but that doesn’t make it untrue.

> It doesn't make it a "whole lot harder to learn to drive". Moving around has almost no effect on getting some driving lessons.

It does if you don’t have a fixed residence. What address are you even going to put on your provisional license?

And if you’re going to spend 2 years max in any one place then you’re there to soak up experiences, not spend it learning to drive.

Look, I get some people see driving as a priority. But not everyone is programmed that way and not every place on earth requires a car to get around. You say this isn’t an alien concept to you yet you fail to accept that people like me exist. So I don’t really know what I can say further

Re: Cyclists now outnumber motorists in City of London

#955

Earlier quoted context omitted.

I agree that most European (and many ancient) cities had no city planning and grew organically. Though, this is not what I'm talking about. Yet, there are still quibbles around this as many European cities were rebuilt many times. Sometimes this reconstruction was the result of war, sometimes it was sheer reconstruction out of Urban planning. "The city [Paris] is one of the most striking examples of rational urban pl…

> Yet, there are still quibbles around this as many European cities were rebuilt many times. Thats not correct. Some noticeable percentage of German cities and some cities of the war-affected regions were rebuilt. And most partially. The re-architecting of Paris does not have any relevance to cars since it happened in 19th century. > Beyond the above, the more extended exerts below I believe make the same point I mad…

>> Yet, there are still quibbles around this as many European cities were rebuilt many times.

> Thats not correct. Some noticeable percentage of German cities and some cities of the war-affected regions were rebuilt. And most partially. The re-architecting of Paris does not have any relevance to cars since it happened in 19th century.

You stated that there was not a lot of urban planning in most European cities as they grew organically. My point is that many (over their _entire_) history were rebuilt many times, and in some of those instances with explicit urban planning. The example of Paris is to simply demonstrate this, not only was the city rebuilt several times, but once for the sheer sake of urban planning. This contradicts your statement: "There was and is scarce 'city planning' in Europe because there is scarce planning that can be done", Paris is _one_ (extremely prominent) counter-example.

>> Beyond the above, the more extended exerts below I believe make the same point I made

> They actually invalidate your argument - including the earlier excerpts: Modernist architects adopting car-centric ideas and high rises does not mean that they got to implement what they wanted to do in Europe.

I don't think that is correct, and hence it does not at all invalidate the argument. I'm not sure if you read all of the important quotes and the references. With the benefit of the doubt, I think proof by contradiction can demonstrate this. If modernist urban planners had no sway, and were not at all influential, then these quotes would make no sense (these are referring to Europe & North America):

- "Modernist principles have shaped city-building since the beginning of the twentieth century."

- "Modernist planning fell into decline in the 1970s when the construction of cheap, uniform tower blocks ended in most countries, such as Britain and France. Since then many have been demolished and replaced by other housing types. "

To further explore this point, (and this article I really encourage you to read in its entirety): https://www.theguardian.com/cities/2016/may/05/story-cities-...

> “There were these big freeway people, and then there were the counter streams that happened between 1960 and 1970 ... One group was pushing cars out of the city, while others were trying to push them in.”

If Copenhagen was _not_ built as a modernist, car centric city (during the 1950's-1960's), then why would there be a group pushing back against car centricism in the 1960's at all? What would they have been pushing back against? Were they pushing back against how cities were built an ocean away in North America? No.. they were pushing back against how Copenhagen was rebuilt with car-centric, modernist urban planning. I mean, the title of the article is: "how Copenhagen rejected 1960s modernist 'utopia'"

> Aside from that the excerpts explicitly demonstrate that car-centric cities were a US phenomenon. Not European.

Not quite, the excerpts show that there was a lot of influence back and forth. European city planners went to the US and were influenced, and vice versa. Corbusier even designed several blocks of NYC, and the influence was reciprocal, see quote:

- "European engineers were sent in flocks to the US to learn from the environments in which these revolutionary ideas were playing out, returning with tabula rasa development plans to realise their own modernist dreams."

> Some noticeable percentage of German cities and some cities of the war-affected regions were rebuilt. And most partially.

Considering the war effected huge regions of Europe.. that would have been: nearly all of Germany, the Netherlands, Poland, a third of France, and countless more as large areas were flattened several times over. Practically every German city alone was carpet and fire bombed many times. Hence, these are very, very large reconstructions, all at a time when Modernist urban planning was the dominant style of urban planning.

> Because even the mere act of buying any zone in an average European city to demolish it would cost !enormous! amounts of money that nobody would be willing to spend.

I agree... to some extent. That is why the post-WWII reconstruction is so significant. Further, there _was_ also significant outward expansion during this time as well. Here is a quick example that Paris saw large expansions: "These large housing projects, known as the "Grand Ensembles," were constructed by the French government from the 1950s through the 1980s to help ease the housing problems that were prevalent throughout the country. Many of these high-rise buildings and communities still exist today" [1]

[1] https://www.businessinsider.com/high-rises-of-the-parisian-s....

In sum: - It's a straw argument to suggest what I'm saying is that every city was rebuilt in a modernist way.

- Though, WWII presented an opportunity for incredibly large reconstruction

- Post-WWII, there was also a lot of new construction for outward expansion

- During this time, the late 1940s to late 1960s, the dominant urban planning style of both NA and Europe was modernist car-centric (and so these constructions were similar from that perspective).

To refute, please give citations of what the dominant Urban planning style was for post-war Europe. I would love specific citations around this, as I have given you to support my claims (and even most of what I have wrote are direct quotes and references)

Re: Cyclists now outnumber motorists in City of London

#956

Earlier quoted context omitted.

> Yet, there are still quibbles around this as many European cities were rebuilt many times. Thats not correct. Some noticeable percentage of German cities and some cities of the war-affected regions were rebuilt. And most partially. The re-architecting of Paris does not have any relevance to cars since it happened in 19th century. > Beyond the above, the more extended exerts below I believe make the same point I mad…

>> Yet, there are still quibbles around this as many European cities were rebuilt many times. > Thats not correct. Some noticeable percentage of German cities and some cities of the war-affected regions were rebuilt. And most partially. The re-architecting of Paris does not have any relevance to cars since it happened in 19th century. You stated that there was not a lot of urban planning in most European cities as th…

@unity, my original statement was this: "My knowledge is that European urban planning was very similar and car centric until the late 60s."

I think the citations quoted above from multiple sources generously support this. Again, that is not at all saying that all of Europe was rebuilt in the 1950s-1960s willingly and entirely to be car centric. But, the _planning_ of new construction/reconstruction were similar during that period in both the USA & Europe (and Europe by-and-large stopped their new constructions in that style around the early 1970s while the USA by and large did not). There is even a mention in one of the quotes of a lot of that construction having been torn down.

I'd say Warsaw, Prague and Paris are all great examples. Warsaw was completely rebuilt and downtown is car centric (looks very much like an American city). Prague was somewhat unscathed and has a very historic layout, Paris is a mix of reconstruction and historic urban planning. The point remains that there was a pretty specific car-centric urban planning style that dominated in Europe in the late 1940's-1960s.

All that is to say - European urban planning was also, at one time somewhat recently, largely car centric. It is really notable that stopped being the case and is an example for US cities - that they can also transform away from being fully car-centric.

Re: Cyclists now outnumber motorists in City of London

#957

Earlier quoted context omitted.

> I'd add to your list: No stress of driving in traffic. Imagine your ride home is pleasant personal time and exercise in the fresh air, not cars honking in a standstill in traffic. You feel better after riding. I imagine you have never cycled across London during peak hours, depending on the day some of the most nerve shredding cycling you can imagine; some of the angriest motorists in the world running people off t…

Sorry, good point. I generally don't ride in traffic (defined as multiple lanes with lots of cars moving quickly); I almost always find other routes without much problem. Do you need to ride in traffic in London? See this post for what I mean: https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=35241049 And I have done the sort of thing you describe - it's still better than driving. :)

Sometimes these types of routes are very inconvenient and/or cars are already using them to try to avoid the main blocked roads.

Re: Cyclists now outnumber motorists in City of London

#958
post #661
post #550

Earlier quoted context omitted.

I'm one of the no-license London populace, and travel more frequently than most. I don't find that it has limited me at all. On the occasions when I absolutely need a car instead of the existing options, taxis are available.

That seems like a very limited perspective. I've been to many places in the world where taxis don't run. Being able to drive is a basic life skill, like knowing how to swim or cook a meal.

Different perspectives, perhaps. I'm sure it is a basic life skill if cars are necessary. For me and people around me, they aren't, and so it isn't. Any places without taxis have their replacements, or - much more likely - aren't suited for car travel at all. Swimming and cooking are skills of far greater necessity. It's strange to me to see driving compared to them.

Woodworking and the wiring of houses are also basic life skills, I imagine. I'll try to learn them when I get there. But so far, I've never wanted for the need to drive a car.

Re: Cyclists now outnumber motorists in City of London

#959
post #900

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Most (or at least, a plurality of) people who cycle or take the tube in London also drive a car sometimes; it's not like you have to be wedded to one particular transport mode. Drivers aren't drivers 100% of the time. Reducing motor traffic makes for safer, more aesthetically pleasant streets. You can expand the pavement, have flowers, landscaping, public art, outdoor dining, etc. The air quality is better, the surro…

This probably won't resonate with you but; 15 minute city litmus test; what do they install first, new parks/scenery, better transport, and up to date amenities.... or the cameras, barriers and restrictions? That's the answer to what purpose they serve.

they tend to happen concurrently in my experience. here for example: https://www.greytogreen.org.uk/background

barriers/bollards: they're meant to stop cars from hitting people or driving in bike lanes or parking where they shouldn't. I like having them around. as for cameras, they're to catch people speeding, they mostly wouldn't be necessary if people didn't speed. and people speed mostly because the design of the road doesn't match the legal speed limit. see e.g. this[1]. so if you don't like cameras, you should welcome these redesigns.

but more importantly than any of that, could you please think about the other side of the ledger for a minute? "restrictions" on mobility are novel or hypothetical to you, but they're not for me.

traffic calming, restricted access roads, low-traffic neighourhoods, you think of these small things as restrictions on you because you can't go places quite as fast or quite as directly as you want, but for me they're lifelines. they let me get some places reliably and safely at all. on a road with 40+mph traffic, I can't use it unless there's a protected bike lane, and junctions designed with cyclists in mind (i.e. some degree of physical separation). and if that road is the only connection between A and B, then I can't get from A to B! pedestrians need barriers and refuges and controlled crossings and slowed vehicle speeds to safely get across busy roads. these things aren't luxuries, they're necessities for people who do not drive.

I've told you about getting around without a car in my city is fairly doable, because the local council has improved the infrastructure quite a bit recently. but that doesn't yet extend outside of the city's boundaries, even though there's no practical reason why it couldn't. so here's a story about those difficulties:

the city next to mine is close enough that cycling to it would be, in theory, a completely reasonable journey. a direct-ish route would take about 40 minutes; perfectly doable as a commute. but it's impossible because there is no such route. trust me, I've looked high and low for one, it simply doesn't exist. I've spent hours scouring Google Maps and Streetview, even doing reconnaissance trips to gauge the safety of certain parts myself, taking photographs, testing whether traffic lights detect me, etc. every route has many absolute showstopper segments where I'm exposed to high speed traffic with no physical protection whatsoever, and/or have to risk my life at enormous junctions whose design is completely hostile to my presence. I managed to get all the way there once, on a tangled indirect mess of side streets and unpaved tracks, taking over 3x longer than it had any right to. it was like finding the Northwest Passage. getting there by bus or rail is not quite as hard, but still far more awkward and unpredictable than it should be.

then I heard about govt proposals to alter one of the several motorway routes between the two cities: of the five lanes, make one into a protected bidirectional bikeway, and two others into a dedicated bus lanes. this isn't expensive, it's just paint and concrete barriers, and some alterations to the traffic lights and signage. but predictably, the comments on the news article were full of uproar about this imposition, a "war on motorists", it would supposedly increase congestion, and my favourite, "why would you build a bike lane? who even cycles there anyway?".

pity the poor motorist! I doubt any of them have ever agonized for hours over whether a trip of less than ten miles between two cities was even practically possible. such a failure of transport connectivity would be inconceivable in a modern Western country. yet situations like this are considered normal for non-drivers. we're expected to put up with not being able to practically reach places nearby, and be grateful for the smallest improvements, while billions are spent on motorways each year. and then I see conspiracizing about 15-minute cities, "restrictions on movement", "geofencing" and so on, and I just have to laugh. I've been de-facto "geofenced" by car-first planning for years, and so has everyone else who can't or doesn't drive (and there are a lot of us).

so if you want to halt these reforms, or think things should go back to how they were, what that really means is, you're happy with people like me living with harsh and pointless restrictions on mobility, far worse than cameras and bollards and congestion pricing are for motorists. for my part, I think motorists have simply gotten used to an unwarranted level of convenience, public subsidy, and politician's attention. the mild restrictions for motorists are enormously liberating for everyone else. and they are mild. you might have to take a slightly longer route, or walk the last hundred yards instead of parking exactly at your destination, or pay to use scarce road space that a huge number of other people want to use ... it's not that big a deal. a fairer balance between drivers' convenience and the welfare of other road users shouldn't feel like an attack on you.

[1] https://www.strongtowns.org/journal/2022/7/18/how-street-des...

Re: Cyclists now outnumber motorists in City of London

#960

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Source? It doesn't look like a direct causal relationship has been proven thus far- the current (inconclusive) state of research is summed up here: https://blog.dana-farber.org/insight/2015/12/does-cycling-in...

https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC2890221/ Sure, here are some studies that have investigated the possible association between cycling and the risk of testicular or prostate cancer: A 2014 study published in the Journal of Men's Health found that cycling was associated with a higher risk of testicular cancer in men who cycled frequently or for long periods of time. A 2015 study published in the Journal of…

Your first link refutes your thesis:

> Conclusion: The lack of internal consistency of the findings within the current study and of findings among prior studies, suggests that PA contributes little, if any, to the risk of TGCC.

Since you didn't link to the others, I can't respond to them, but I would note that the article I linked to noted that cyclists are more likely to be more health conscious, and thus would see a doctor more regularly and naturally be more likely to be diagnosed, among other potentially-confounding factors.

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