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Trump administration announces overhaul of H1B visa program requiring higher pay

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Re: Trump administration announces overhaul of H1B visa program requiring higher pay

#951

Most of the work these companies are hired to produce is done in India. People on H1B are few and hired to delegate across time zones. It's hard without someone in the US connecting the bridge. This pandemic made it clear. It's a possibility that this new policy has very little implication on the overall budget of projects.. unless the companies are financially strong enough to hire local employees at a high salary.…

Whenever lower wage markets are open to higher wage markets, what happens is the higher wage markets lose - especially their up-and-coming developers who normally would get hired and trained, but instead get replaced. This normally happens near the bottom, historically. Low wage workers come and work on farms and at other minimum wage jobs, they do actually have an effect on the labor market that is negative for Amer…

When the US subsidizes corn production so much it destabilized local corn markets everywhere else in the world. Suddenly, it's cheaper to import corn from the US than buy at a local farm house in other places. This alone doesn't mean bad news to those other countries. The likely response may not be to increase import tax on corn.

You need to see where the net positive results are accumulating as a consequence.

I don't have a solution to these complicated problems. My observation is today's policy won't solve the problem even slightly.

The US specializes in innovation, incentivizes economy to create innovation. IT consulting is not innovation. When you start hiring local employees at a higher salaries, influences inflation.. and what does this inflation from IT mean to other sectors?

The right question is: What would be the cost of home grown IT consulting that can compete with Indian IT consulting? How fast can those policies be deployed? is it even in the US interest to pursue this direction?

What I don't see is a framework that doesn't look like a patch work.

It's definitely targeted to win elections. The real promise is not delivered.

Re: Trump administration announces overhaul of H1B visa program requiring higher pay

#952
post #935
post #793

Earlier quoted context omitted.

About 86% of H1Bs at Amazon, and 55% of H1Bs at Google won't make the cut anymore. source: https://www.epi.org/publication/h-1b-visas-and-prevailing-wa...

I believe thats quite an overestimate. Both Amazon and Google exceed the minimum required wage in each level on average by 93% and 73% respectively. Separately, that is precisely what the article is doing. Conflating the minimum with wages actually paid to infer that H1B workers at large tech companies are underpaid. Source: p52 on https://www.dol.gov/sites/dolgov/files/ETA/oflc/pdfs/DOL-Int...

Well, kinda right? I think this may just be reflective of the long/fat tail of tech salaries.

The second column in that table shows how many people exceed the prevailing wage by 20% or more. In the case of Facebook, it's just 47.9%. And for Google and Amazon, it's 58 and 68 respectively.

Confusingly, they don't tell how many people exceed the prevailing wage at all.

Table 2 on Page 54 is even crazier.

Re: Trump administration announces overhaul of H1B visa program requiring higher pay

#953

Most of the work these companies are hired to produce is done in India. People on H1B are few and hired to delegate across time zones. It's hard without someone in the US connecting the bridge. This pandemic made it clear. It's a possibility that this new policy has very little implication on the overall budget of projects.. unless the companies are financially strong enough to hire local employees at a high salary.…

Have you considered that the US workers are also hurting in this pandemic? At some point people need to start thinking about helping out the productive class in this country instead of just the business owners and CEOs who are pocketing the savings from labor arbitrage.

That's a damn good question and but I don't see how this policy is the right answer.

Re: Trump administration announces overhaul of H1B visa program requiring higher pay

#954

Earlier quoted context omitted.

H1B employee's can work at any employer for the term of their status. The employee only has to transfer the visa to the new employer. I have done this for multiple employee's on H1B's its nothing like getting a new H1B for someone on OPT or getting a new H1B for an oversea's employee

They can, but it's still a process and not as easy as saying to a prospective employer "I have an H1B that is valid until October 2025, you don't have to do anything". Further, even though it's rarer, I believe that the transfer can still be denied if USCIS decides the new position doesn't qualify.

I think you're clueless sir.

Re: Trump administration announces overhaul of H1B visa program requiring higher pay

#955
post #935
post #793

Earlier quoted context omitted.

About 86% of H1Bs at Amazon, and 55% of H1Bs at Google won't make the cut anymore. source: https://www.epi.org/publication/h-1b-visas-and-prevailing-wa...

I believe thats quite an overestimate. Both Amazon and Google exceed the minimum required wage in each level on average by 93% and 73% respectively. Separately, that is precisely what the article is doing. Conflating the minimum with wages actually paid to infer that H1B workers at large tech companies are underpaid. Source: p52 on https://www.dol.gov/sites/dolgov/files/ETA/oflc/pdfs/DOL-Int...

Could you please explain how the article is conflating the minimum with wages actually paid? It gives the number of H1Bs by wage level in Table 5. So, wage level 1 would be those with wages between 17 and 34 percentile, right?

Re: Trump administration announces overhaul of H1B visa program requiring higher pay

#956
I wouldn't mind this being done in the netherlands. We only have a skills requirement now. One thing to compete against hungarians or polish. They are europeans used to a certain quality of life. We are also allowed to work there. Usually they return after a while because they like their countries better even if salaries are slightly lower. Quite another to compete against a Bangladeshi who is used to getting paid poverty wages back home. They'd code for minimum wage no problem.

Re: Trump administration announces overhaul of H1B visa program requiring higher pay

#957
post #950
post #95

Earlier quoted context omitted.

This is a rule in the Federal Register. So it's basically like law. It's essentially how the executive is interpreting the laws that congress has passed. There is a rule that says a new President can automatically overturn all rules made in the last 90 days of the previous administration, but we're before that deadline, so this is pretty much a done deal. If the next admin wanted to change this, they have to go throu…

Can you cite a source for this (or what it's called so I can google it?)

https://www.federalregister.gov/uploads/2011/01/the_rulemaki...

Re: Trump administration announces overhaul of H1B visa program requiring higher pay

#958

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Whenever lower wage markets are open to higher wage markets, what happens is the higher wage markets lose - especially their up-and-coming developers who normally would get hired and trained, but instead get replaced. This normally happens near the bottom, historically. Low wage workers come and work on farms and at other minimum wage jobs, they do actually have an effect on the labor market that is negative for Amer…

When the US subsidizes corn production so much it destabilized local corn markets everywhere else in the world. Suddenly, it's cheaper to import corn from the US than buy at a local farm house in other places. This alone doesn't mean bad news to those other countries. The likely response may not be to increase import tax on corn. You need to see where the net positive results are accumulating as a consequence. I don'…

So your claim is hiring locally somehow “influences” inflation... and does what?

What is the cost of home grown IT? There’s no “cost”, it’s just a shift in market, the wage may go up a bit but business would also adapt, either by being more efficient or shifting budget, etc.

I’m not really putting together where your questions are leading. They don’t feel like they have a coherent point, and they don’t seem to be pointing in any way.

This is an incremental improvement, one that absolutely will reduce H1B which is a good thing for Americans. There’s no shortage of Americans able to take these jobs, and if there is ever at times, the increased demand will solve itself - companies will raise wages, Americans will respond to higher wages by filling the jobs, America will grow stronger with more white collar jobs going to our own citizens.

And it will help win elections because it’s what citizens want, are you claiming any other way it helps win? It’s a popular policy and this is an effective change to it, if it wasn’t effective I doubt you’d be arguing about all these downstream effects you’re worried it will cause - you can’t say it won’t be effective but also it will be effective in a negative way. Tell me how raising wage requirements + requiring higher education does anything but lowering H1B usage and force companies to only get more qualified people on the visa. Win win.

Re: Trump administration announces overhaul of H1B visa program requiring higher pay

#959
post #759

Earlier quoted context omitted.

I don't think we disagree with it, it just isn't very significant. A couple of city states agreeing to recognize Israel? Ok, a nice step forward, but it doesn't seem very substantial or that a real solution is in the works.

How familiar would you rate yourself with Middle East politics? From people I know who are quite deep into it, it’s actually a very significant change to the geopolitical balance of the region that will likely have a lot of ramifications going forward.

Answers vary with whether someone is a Trump supporter or not, but again, these are city states, not Iran, not even "almost Israel ally at this point" Saudi Arabia. He also has made no progress with the Palestinians, and has gone plenty backwards on the front (forcing Serbia to move their embassy in Israel to Jerusalem, huh?).

Re: Trump administration announces overhaul of H1B visa program requiring higher pay

#960
post #934

Earlier quoted context omitted.

"…to lower overall pay rate." What's with this nationalism and view human value? Just because a person was or wasn't born in a certain place, something they had no ability to affect, they have more or less right to a certain job with a certain salary in a certain place? Looking at it from the other perspective of the individual who can get a job, they are probably not lowering their salaries, but rather significantly…

What's with that simplistic view of nationalism and reality? (caveat: I am an immigrant that came to Canada) Nationalism is more about culture than birth, albeit there is an expectation of both. Pride in your culture and love for your community which you call nation. As things are, you get more exposed to a culture by physical proximity to the source. Therefore being born within a culture makes you knowledgeable of t…

>The world is unfair get over it.

This kind of line of thought is the issue. Why should it be unfair? Or at least, why can't we make it fairer?

>People from both cultures do not mix well unless they are willing to adapt.

Those willing to adapt are usually those that are immigrating. Your argument does not make sense in this context, as we are talking about people that are, by definition, willing to move and be part of another country. Will there be a clash of cultures in some instances? Of course, but that will last at most for one generation.

> I refuse to take responsibility for everyone. It is not up to me to give a better wage to an ungrateful immigrant. Life is unfair, get over it.

No one is asking you to take responsibility for anyone. But why should you support policies that exclude those that are willing to come on their own volition and contribute to society? What makes you think that they are 'ungrateful'? Again, why should we not strive to make things fairer for everyone?

>Also, I am grateful that those that would have not adapted to the Canadian mosaic of cultures were not allowed to come. I think another term is culture fit. If you do not fit the culture, you should not be allowed in.

Culture is such a meaningless thing. Immigrants assimilate to the culture, willing or not, after a generation. Sure, some of the people that actually immigrate might not be want to change their ways, but their children will. Studies have shown that this is a moot point, used by those that are just scared of different things, when in reality those that immigrate do assimilate the culture of the place they are living.

This mentality makes absolute no sense, specially coming from a child of immigrants. And I see you come from Canada. As someone who is about to immigrate there, it saddens me to see such display of hatred for those who are different. I spent a year studying in Canada a few years ago, and from my experience people there are very welcoming to immigrants. I had the pleasure to meet Chinese, Muslims, Indians and people from lots of different places and cultures while in Toronto, and guess what? Everyone got along very well. I don't understand where this fear and hatred comes from, but most people are good people, willing to work hard to earn their own if given the chance.

And if this is naive idealism, well, then I am a naive idealist.

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