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Trump administration announces overhaul of H1B visa program requiring higher pay

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Re: Trump administration announces overhaul of H1B visa program requiring higher pay

#931
Most of the work these companies are hired to produce is done in India. People on H1B are few and hired to delegate across time zones. It's hard without someone in the US connecting the bridge. This pandemic made it clear.

It's a possibility that this new policy has very little implication on the overall budget of projects.. unless the companies are financially strong enough to hire local employees at a high salary. When compared to an employee salary in a developing economy, local salaries look very high!

Smaller and mid-sized non-tech companies are hurt during this pandemic. These IT consulting companies work mostly with non-tech companies. Fiscal policy this year has failed to "really" provide loans or stimulus to small struggling companies. They all want tech and that means more work will go to these IT companies that can do at a lower cost.

International trade is done on the mutual-benefits equation. Historically the unwritten understanding is that India allows US companies to operate in its local market in return partly for labor market access to its people through a work visa. That these workers are not creating value is a myth looking at the financials of these IT consulting firms. Getting a grocery purchase order database implemented correctly has far more immediate influence than the work of a futuristic researcher.

Overall this new policy looks like an election stunt to appease a certain electoral audience given its timing and lackluster fiscal policy.

That's called election hacking.

Every economy specializes, influences international trade to that end. It's cheaper to manufacture in China, buy corn from the US, write computer programs in India. I feel just so sick to read comments here calling these companies bodyshops, sweatshops, cheap labor.. whatever word degrading in the context.

The right question is perhaps: how to help create locally employed IT consulting companies that can compete with Indian IT consulting companies... and the answer is more than bad-mouthing or volatile short-term regulations. Is it even in the country's interest to spend resources to become a leader in IT consulting?

Re: Trump administration announces overhaul of H1B visa program requiring higher pay

#932

People who oppose H1B fundamentally believe that foreign workers should not be allowed to enter the American labor pool thereby depressing the wages here. Fair enough. While on the margin, it is true that if a company can't hire a foreign worker, it _might_ be forced to hire a local worker in the short run. But in the long run, restricting labor this way only increases the chance of that job moving entirely abroad, e…

It's a better option because the strengthening of India and the transformation of India into a developed country is a more important long term national security and prosperity interest than american hegemony in any particular industry

That's hope, but hope is not a concrete plan/strategy.

So as far as India is concerned, the overall quality of talent has only reduced. Thanks to all the regular office politics and general cultural problems we have, the quality of management is lower than ever. There is more job hopping than ever, there is lesser quantity of serious work done compared to previous times. People don't exactly train for skills the same way they do for interviews and the whole thing reduces to acing gatekeeping. The kind of leadership talent you need to build talent and skilled people on the longer run is just not there. So we just get the outsourced work done, and send it back(services). Even the Google offshore center described by the OP is that way. Most offshore centers in Bangalore don't have autonomy beyond that.

When you have this you just can't take on technically challenging projects or the kind of engineering projects which actually count for something.

This is one of the perennial problems in the Indian system. We are unable to move beyond services, and low level IT jobs. Even the product ecosystem like Flipkart etc is not comparable to innovation coming out places like Amazon. Its not really a money problem, because Flipkart actually got tons of funding. All this leads to the ultimate result. We are really a country of resellers, and service economy people. We make money by reselling or servicing things, not by making things. So even to make our metros transit systems, we need to hire German/Japanese firms. Or that our national monuments and statues are engineered and assembled in China. We don't make 747's or F1 cars here. Let alone that Maruthi Suzuki- Suzuki makes cars and we(Maruthi) do servicing.

Basically unless we have a larger culture of merit, fairness and justice- Topped by engineering and industrialized economy the bigger gains won't come.

Lots of this has got to do with culture and priorities. The only way this can be changed is politics and the current political priorities of India aren't anywhere close to this.

Re: Trump administration announces overhaul of H1B visa program requiring higher pay

#933

Earlier quoted context omitted.

"…to lower overall pay rate." What's with this nationalism and view human value? Just because a person was or wasn't born in a certain place, something they had no ability to affect, they have more or less right to a certain job with a certain salary in a certain place? Looking at it from the other perspective of the individual who can get a job, they are probably not lowering their salaries, but rather significantly…

The duty and role of a government is to act in the best interest of their citizens which that government represents. The interests of outsiders are simply not relevant to that - they have their own government to represent their interests, which can and should enact policies that benefit them, and negotiate in international agreements policies that will help their citizens. If it's a win-win situation (which is the ex…

Gobbledygook.

> The duty and role of a government is to act in the best interest of their citizens which that government represents.

Truism. The point of contention is around what constitutes "best interest."

> The interests of outsiders are simply not relevant to that

If this is so simple, why did it require an additional 500ish words to qualify it?

Your point seems to boil down to this:

In cases where there is a conflict between the perceived "best interest" of citizens and those of non-citizens, if the citizens haven't specifically directed the government to do otherwise, the government should act in the perceived "best interest" of its own citizens.

But it's reductive and short-sighted to say that humanitarian aid "hurts" one side and "helps" the other. For instance, the marginal impact of a U.S. dollar on a U.S. citizen's productivity is effectively nil. But that same dollar spent in a third-world country would have much higher marginal impact. The productivity of that other citizen allows them to specialize and trade, and then everyone benefits in the long term.

The hyper-nationalism perspective that your country should take whatever it can at the expense of other countries is exactly what led to both of the world wars.

Re: Trump administration announces overhaul of H1B visa program requiring higher pay

#934

Earlier quoted context omitted.

The higher pay seems like an overall positive change to reduce the prevalence of "body shops" and so that H1-Bs aren't an easy way for companies to lower overall pay rate. I'm not sure that narrowing degree qualifications is a win; high-skill immigration is a significant boon to America's economy, and I think ability to do the work, and American company willingness to pay above-rate salaries (legally mandated now to…

"…to lower overall pay rate." What's with this nationalism and view human value? Just because a person was or wasn't born in a certain place, something they had no ability to affect, they have more or less right to a certain job with a certain salary in a certain place? Looking at it from the other perspective of the individual who can get a job, they are probably not lowering their salaries, but rather significantly…

What's with that simplistic view of nationalism and reality?

(caveat: I am an immigrant that came to Canada)

Nationalism is more about culture than birth, albeit there is an expectation of both. Pride in your culture and love for your community which you call nation. As things are, you get more exposed to a culture by physical proximity to the source. Therefore being born within a culture makes you knowledgeable of that culture. More likely to be proud of it. (Note, as an immigrant, I do not partake in nationalism in either my current country or origin country. Albeit, I like their cultures.)

Your idealism albeit commendable is far from reality. The world is unfair get over it.

Everyone wants better for themselves. And like the latest hacktoberfest showed, not everyone has the same culture (1). Therefore not everyone should live in close proximity. It would lead to a disruption of social harmony. Take for example those from a honor/shame culture. They will literally beat you up for joking about their mother. Violence in the name of honor. In the West, that kind of violence is seen as outrageous. "Be stoic about it". People from both cultures do not mix well unless they are willing to adapt.

I define human value as infinite. Also I am not responsible for the right treatment of those outside my sphere of control/influence. I refuse to take responsibility for everyone. It is not up to me to give a better wage to an ungrateful immigrant. Life is unfair, get over it.

I agree. It is unfair that descendants of immigrants refuse to receive immigrants. As an immigrant that came to Canada, I am grateful for this opportunity. Also, I am grateful that those that would have not adapted to the Canadian mosaic of cultures were not allowed to come. I think another term is culture fit. If you do not fit the culture, you should not be allowed in.

(1) https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=24643894

Re: Trump administration announces overhaul of H1B visa program requiring higher pay

#935
post #793
post #664

I estimated the new prevailing wages for NYC/SF/SEA using z-scores and the new %-iles. For NYC: (I II III IV) = (116,003 137,323 160,321 203,405) For SF: (I II III IV) = (138,283 162,157 187,910 236,155) For SEA: (I II III IV) = (128,082 148,708 170,957 212,639) The level for an applicant is determined by their education + experience. Level I is supposed to correspond to an entry-level role requiring specialized skil…

About 86% of H1Bs at Amazon, and 55% of H1Bs at Google won't make the cut anymore. source: https://www.epi.org/publication/h-1b-visas-and-prevailing-wa...

I believe thats quite an overestimate. Both Amazon and Google exceed the minimum required wage in each level on average by 93% and 73% respectively.

Separately, that is precisely what the article is doing. Conflating the minimum with wages actually paid to infer that H1B workers at large tech companies are underpaid.

Source: p52 on https://www.dol.gov/sites/dolgov/files/ETA/oflc/pdfs/DOL-Int...

Re: Trump administration announces overhaul of H1B visa program requiring higher pay

#936
post #903

Earlier quoted context omitted.

> Or alternatively (and quite likely) we'll just hire that potential candidate up here in Canada; growing our tech industry further and competing with American workers in the same time zones and language as you, with a just-as or better educated work force, and a for lower cost to the employer and in a culture that on the whole appreciates immigrants more. I'm virtually certain that Canada will not have a single tech…

There is so much false facts in your comment. Canada is not competing with the US on how many Canadian-started companies exist. All the FAANGs have offices in Canada, which they will probably expand more. Immigrants that used to head to the US will now go to Canada instead, enriching the labor market further. If the US immigration system remains broken, Canadian offices of US companies will just get bigger.

And this has already been the case and escalating for some time.

Anecdotally, my wife worked for Apple Canada a decade ago in marketing, and at that point there was no engineering happened / allowed to happen in Canada, really. It was kept in Cupertino pretty strictly. But I've noticed in the last 5 years this is no longer the case and Apple -- who was probably most reluctant to do engineering outside of the valley -- is doing way more of it and a plenty of it in Canada it seems.

I work at Google Waterloo, and though I can't get into specifics about office sizes etc, I can definitely say two things: lots of growth, plenty of it from new Canadians but also a lot from Canadian Googlers returning from the US back to Canada in many cases because they couldn't tolerate the situation there anymore.

Re: Trump administration announces overhaul of H1B visa program requiring higher pay

#937

Earlier quoted context omitted.

What makes the immigration process in the US truly horrific is the extraordinary time it takes to approve or reject a greencard petition. In many cases it takes years - or even over a decade or more. That's insane. People bring their spouses here, they have kids who are born and go to school here, and all along the way their immigration status is uncertain. And meanwhile they are tied to whatever job they're in. It's…

The time to process applications is indeed on the order of months. https://egov.uscis.gov/processing-times/historic-pt I believe the I-140 is for employment-based green cards. The long wait times are due to annual quotas by country, not slow handling of paperwork.

From the p.o.v. of the person actually doing this, it takes years from the moment you apply to the moment you get the decision. This is what needs to change.

Re: Trump administration announces overhaul of H1B visa program requiring higher pay

#939

Most of the work these companies are hired to produce is done in India. People on H1B are few and hired to delegate across time zones. It's hard without someone in the US connecting the bridge. This pandemic made it clear. It's a possibility that this new policy has very little implication on the overall budget of projects.. unless the companies are financially strong enough to hire local employees at a high salary.…

Whenever lower wage markets are open to higher wage markets, what happens is the higher wage markets lose - especially their up-and-coming developers who normally would get hired and trained, but instead get replaced.

This normally happens near the bottom, historically. Low wage workers come and work on farms and at other minimum wage jobs, they do actually have an effect on the labor market that is negative for American workers, but since there are usually many jobs on the bottom it doesn't have a large effect.

But at the top - where jobs are far more limited and scarce - it has a large effect.

Further, the companies using H1B are almost entirely large companies. Small businesses are not being hurt at all by a shortage of H1B's.

International trade is highly susceptible to imbalances. Lower wage workers will replace higher wage workers if not protected against, and it isn't always a win in terms of lower cost goods - it often can displace an entire industry that normally would have done well. Especially industries that are important for America to stay strong in, like manufacturing. It also is highly susceptible to distortionary trade policy - see subsidies in foreign nations designed to take over entire industries long term.

Finally, a note on hover governments should work. They should look out for their citizens. That is their modus operandi. There shouldn't be charity, unless the charity in some way truly helps our citizens. And especially, they should care about the average gal. H1B visas are literally taking out a big pool of well-paid jobs that otherwise we could easily be feeding with community college graduates and younger citizens.

This isn't even close to hacking anything, by any definition of the word. It's literally what he campaigned on years ago, if anything it's super long overdue.

Re: Trump administration announces overhaul of H1B visa program requiring higher pay

#940

Most of the work these companies are hired to produce is done in India. People on H1B are few and hired to delegate across time zones. It's hard without someone in the US connecting the bridge. This pandemic made it clear. It's a possibility that this new policy has very little implication on the overall budget of projects.. unless the companies are financially strong enough to hire local employees at a high salary.…

Whenever lower wage markets are open to higher wage markets, what happens is the higher wage markets lose - especially their up-and-coming developers who normally would get hired and trained, but instead get replaced. This normally happens near the bottom, historically. Low wage workers come and work on farms and at other minimum wage jobs, they do actually have an effect on the labor market that is negative for Amer…

I've worked at small companies while on an H1B, if you look at the who's hiring posts on HN I think you will see many places willing to sponsor H1s, so it's not just big companies.
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