Sounds like polymarket needs to add "will bettors kill this man" as something you can bet on.
Polymarket gamblers threaten to kill me over Iran missile story
911–920 of 1001 posts
Re: Polymarket gamblers threaten to kill me over Iran missile story
#912Run away from Polymarket
Re: Polymarket gamblers threaten to kill me over Iran missile story
#913As someone generally against gambling, I think there's a fair point to be made that Polymarket and similar sites are not fundamentally different from e.g. sports betting. The issue of bribing/threatening a sports player to throw a game has existed for over a century. It's not a new problem. The only thing special about Polymarket is the expansion of surface area. My preferred solution would be to just ban it all, or…
Ban it on which grounds? I have never in my life placed a sport bet, nor a polymarket bet. It strikes me as one of the dumbest things to do with your money and time. But a lot of people seem to genuinely enjoy it. Gambling is part of human heritage. Regulate? Sure! Ban? I don't understand why
> Ban? I don't understand why
Many things that people enjoy are banned because it causes harm to other individuals or to society as a whole.
Not a difficult concept to understand.
Re: Polymarket gamblers threaten to kill me over Iran missile story
#914As someone generally against gambling, I think there's a fair point to be made that Polymarket and similar sites are not fundamentally different from e.g. sports betting. The issue of bribing/threatening a sports player to throw a game has existed for over a century. It's not a new problem. The only thing special about Polymarket is the expansion of surface area. My preferred solution would be to just ban it all, or…
> As someone generally against gambling, I think there's a fair point to be made that Polymarket and similar sites are not fundamentally different from e.g. sports betting.
They are, because the object of the bet is open, it can be abused to generate incentives for desired behavior. For example if you really want the guy writing about the attack out of the picture, you don't send death threats, you instead make a new bet that says so and so does not write for X publication after Y date. Place a large bet against it and let greed and stochastic violence do the rest.
Re: Polymarket gamblers threaten to kill me over Iran missile story
#915Earlier quoted context omitted.
> libertine I think you mean libertarian. Unless there’s some spicy details of Adam Smith’s life that the history books left out.
Dollars to donuts that "libertine" was just as deliberate as the "satanic" that followed it.
I was prepared to give them the benefit of the doubt, but if it was deliberate it’s worse; it descends beyond mere polemics and is just casting baseless and unfounded aspersions.
Re: Polymarket gamblers threaten to kill me over Iran missile story
#916Earlier quoted context omitted.
The reason no one responds to this list is because it's just one big gish gallop It's enough to see that you brought a link to the Israeli Military Censor to hint at a conspiracy, to understand who you're dealing with. But even if you go into the list, you'll see at the top that those who were shot were in the middle of the battle, where Israeli forces were surprised, to the point of massacre alongside civilians. And…
How does one say that a media worker is fair game, but a journalist is not? Both are classified as civilians under international law [1]. There are several airstrikes as the method of execution of these journalists as well. Good job cherry-picking the "favourable" examples. Also, I don't know what you're on about, but ICC is clearyly investigating Israeli war crimes of targeted journalist executions [3]. [1]: https:/…
> Both are classified as civilians
Then say civilians. Don't claim what you can't provide. And DO provide context (like, was it still while the massacre was ongoing [1]). But all I can do is to suggest.
> Good job cherry-picking
Me cherry-picking: Taking the literally first entries, Array[0] and Array[1].
Also, you can't claim cherry-picking as invalid against gish-gallop. Since you can't enjoy the size argument only to retract items on the list after the smallest pushback.
Otherwise I can prove God. How? Every sentence in the Bible... Oh, you found some that are wrong? "Good job cherry-picking"!
And not to mention dozens of more problems with the list (no mentioning any IDF comments, no source for titles, etc.). This is just a bad list. Simple as.
> ICC is clearly investigating
Investigating != Judgment. But good, send them more. But please send them a list starting with items that might hold the smallest of scrutinies. And don't prove it by hinting at conspiracies just because Israel has a security censor. But all I can do is to suggest.
Re: Polymarket gamblers threaten to kill me over Iran missile story
#917As someone generally against gambling, I think there's a fair point to be made that Polymarket and similar sites are not fundamentally different from e.g. sports betting. The issue of bribing/threatening a sports player to throw a game has existed for over a century. It's not a new problem. The only thing special about Polymarket is the expansion of surface area. My preferred solution would be to just ban it all, or…
Yeah, but unfortunately its probably going to keep going until people actually die before they will be stopped.
Re: Polymarket gamblers threaten to kill me over Iran missile story
#918I think time and time again that incentives are most important in determining how a market and by extension a society behaves. These prediction markets incentivize the absolute worst in humanity. These markets allow you to bet on when the invasion of a foreign country or the demise of a person happens. There comes a point where one bets against someone to die and you will see themselves incentivized to make that happ…
Then this person better bet their entire life savings on them dying, since it would reduce incentive (profit). Crazy thought experiment, gave me lots to think about
Re: Polymarket gamblers threaten to kill me over Iran missile story
#919Earlier quoted context omitted.
And don't you see the other part of the medal? That there are economical incentives to make it happen just to make money? Such events have little-to-no "wisdom of the crowds" those events decided by a handful of people. And their consequences catastrophic. What if there was a derivative for whether you will be hit by a car tomorrow? What would you say if there was a contract on whether your county will burst in flame…
Ballistic missiles are pretty expensive. You'd have to bid a lot of money for it to be worthwhile to shoot them at a country just to make money on Polymarket. If there was a prediction market for whether I'll be hit by a car tomorrow, and it was lucrative enough that it would actually be worth anyone's time to deliberately hit me with a car, I'd stay home and bid on "no". Pretty sure I'd make more than enough to cove…
> Ballistic missiles are pretty expensive. You'd have to bid a lot of money for it to be worthwhile to shoot them at a country just to make money on Polymarket.
Not your money, you can be just a random in the executive and lobby for it.
Re: Polymarket gamblers threaten to kill me over Iran missile story
#920As someone generally against gambling, I think there's a fair point to be made that Polymarket and similar sites are not fundamentally different from e.g. sports betting. The issue of bribing/threatening a sports player to throw a game has existed for over a century. It's not a new problem. The only thing special about Polymarket is the expansion of surface area. My preferred solution would be to just ban it all, or…
Banning it sends it underground into the hands of organised crime, which will still have access to modern technology. There's going to be a net loss, but it's probably better to regulate it than have another war on drugs.
Underground is where it belongs. The less visible it is to the general public, the fewer people will be drawn into it. And it being taken over by organized crime is just another way of saying that law enforcement will be able to make arrests and throw them in prison, which they can't effectively do if it's being run legally.