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America underestimates the difficulty of bringing manufacturing back

molsonhart.com

901–910 of 1001 posts

Re: America underestimates the difficulty of bringing manufacturing back

#901

Earlier quoted context omitted.

> Employees have always been responsible for managing their own career growth and always will be. How can it be otherwise? On the contrary, from the 40s to the 70s (possibly well into the 80s) the corporation was heavily invested in your career. Employees were expected to dedicate their lives to the firm, and the firm, in turn, was expected to take care of them. This "free-for-all" employment model is fairly recent.…

Outside of government, this shift also coincides with the decline of pensions and the rise of the 401k. Career growth has always been a shared responsibility between employees and employers. In white-collar fields--especially medicine and engineering--education has long been frontloaded, with formal schooling as the main on-ramp. Blue-collar jobs, by contrast, have relied more on trade schools, mentorship, and hands-…

It's the same problem in the trades. Apprentices tend to cost the company more than their output so no one wants to hire and train them.

Re: America underestimates the difficulty of bringing manufacturing back

#902

We never stopped manufacturing, we just stopped employing people. > We don’t have the infrastructure to manufacture That's trivially false given we're the second-largest manufacturer in the world. We just don't want to employ people, hence why we can't make an iphone or refine raw materials. The actual issue is that our business culture is antithetical to a healthy society. The idea of employing Americans is anti-bus…

The problem is that we're talking about "manufacturing" as one big homogeneous thing. The US obviously makes a bunch of stuff, but it has very limited ability to make lots of kinds of stuff, especially in a hostile trade environment. The US manufacturing sector is about half the size of China's in terms of value-add, but it's much smaller by any other measure. The US has focussed on high-value verticals like aerospac…

I did a tour of a huge beer plant in the US. The 4-5 floors where they made the beer had maybe a dozen people total. I was told back in the day it would have been thousands of workers.

It's not even aerospace and pharmaceuticals. Any manufacturing that comes back onshore will not employ massive amounts of people.

They will automate it. Which, to be fair, will help employ some Americans. But it won't be employing them to work 9-5 in a factory. It will be used to employ Americans to build and maintain the machines building the product.

Re: America underestimates the difficulty of bringing manufacturing back

#903

Earlier quoted context omitted.

> China generates over twice as much electricity per person today as the United States. Why? >> This appears to be completely wrong? All the stats I can find say that the US has about 4x the per capita electricity generation of China. I believe the comparison is absolute production, not per person. Anything else would be odd. Considering China has 4x the capita of US it would mean that in absolute terms China is prod…

Despite all the hand wringing, heavy industry uses a lot more power than data centres.

I did some quick research on this. McKinsey has a pretty slick-looking web-facing report titled "Global Energy Perspective 2024" report [1] has a table [2] showing breakdowns by industry.

[1] https://www.mckinsey.com/industries/energy-and-materials/our...

[2] SVG...! https://www.mckinsey.com/~/media/mckinsey/industries/energy%...

Re: America underestimates the difficulty of bringing manufacturing back

#904

Earlier quoted context omitted.

But then the ip-poachers wait for you at the gates. Investing into the new thing, in a world order where copying the new thing is the best game approach, makes R&D a looser strategy. You need temporary punishment tariffs on products that steal IPs to recuperate the investments and make it a bad strategy - or else.. Patents do not work - because the rule of law does not exists without the international order and gover…

Literally patents. But you have to take out a copy of the patent in EVERY country you want protection. Most companies don't do this and then whine about copies. And lest someone whose never done it says they don't work: note how diligently generic drug companies wait for patents to expire.

What you’re describing is monstrously expensive, and doesn’t actually prevent IP violations, it just allows you to recover some of your losses, which is also expensive, and is unrealistic if the violators are fly-by-night operations.

Re: America underestimates the difficulty of bringing manufacturing back

#905
post #710

Earlier quoted context omitted.

I'm American and heavily involved in manufacturing for industrial/mining/agricultural customers. 'We just don't want to employ people' is a gross simplification. We do want to employ people, and lack of skilled labor is a serious problem which has hampered business growth for years, The first unspoken problem is that very few young people want to live where many factories are located. I can't blame them. I certainly…

> There is a dearth of applicants for jobs exactly like what I've posted. Why don't people take them? It's pay. It's always pay. You gave a range so I'm guessing the lower end is starting out, why take that when nearly every entry level job, with far less demand, pays about the same? Start your pay at $45/hr and people will flood in. If they aren't, it's because the factory is too remote for population to get to. Put…

In Norway skilled trades generally require a 2-year education and an apprenticeship. After education you start the apprenticeship for which pay starts at like $5-7.5 an hour but every 6 months it increases until you finish the 2 year apprenticeship.

This is for things like process workers in Petro/chemical plants, mechanics for assembly or machining, painters, construction workers, plumbers, electricians, all kinds of stuff. The government also subsidizes the apprentice program so it's very cheap to train young workers.

The people who choose this path generally end up pretty well off, being able to buy a house or apartment by like mid to late twenties and make even more later.

Re: America underestimates the difficulty of bringing manufacturing back

#906
post #710

Earlier quoted context omitted.

I'm American and heavily involved in manufacturing for industrial/mining/agricultural customers. 'We just don't want to employ people' is a gross simplification. We do want to employ people, and lack of skilled labor is a serious problem which has hampered business growth for years, The first unspoken problem is that very few young people want to live where many factories are located. I can't blame them. I certainly…

Lol, $25hr. McDonald's entry-level wage is $20hr in CA. The $5 premium is not enough of an incentive to move to the middle of nowhere for a job.

Will your pay gradually increase to $45 or more at McDonald's?

Re: America underestimates the difficulty of bringing manufacturing back

#907

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Concur, employee training and retention are at an all-time low. There are no positions available for junior employees, minimal onboarding and mentoring of new employees. Organizations have stopped planning people's careers. Used to be that the employee's career growth was their manager's problem, while the employee could focus on the work. Now the employee must market themselves as often, if not more often, than actu…

To get employers to invest in employees, they'd need more of a stake in it. Right now if you invest $200,000 to train someone, they can immediately quit and go work somewhere else and you're out $200k, so they don't do that. A way to fix that would be to e.g. issue student loans for the training and then forgive them over time if the employee continues working there. But that's rather disfavored by the tax code when…

This! My company is mid size and we can’t hire junior people for fear they’ll jump to FANG right when they’re starting to become productive for us. And we can’t afford FANG compensation for senior people.

Re: America underestimates the difficulty of bringing manufacturing back

#908

> Chinese workers work longer hours more happily and they’re physically faster with their hands; they can do things that American labor can’t. It’s years of accumulated skill, but it’s also a culture that is oriented around hard work and education that the United States no longer has. In China, there are no people who are too fat to work. The workers don’t storm off midshift, never to return to their job. You don’t h…

It is extraordinarily malicious, and reminds me of Michael Richards.

Re: America underestimates the difficulty of bringing manufacturing back

#909
post #895
post #823

Earlier quoted context omitted.

> > Our poorest states have higher GDPs per capita than many "rich" western EU countries. Not the OP, but poor as used here seems to refer to average quality of life , quality of infrastructure, etc. > Is the result of that a higher median income, or is it a reflection of a higher wealth inequality? Higher wealth inequality leading to stretched public services and infrastructure, which lead to lower quality of life ,…

Spot on. I would extend your analysis to include the median middle-class person is probably better off in Spain vs most/all US states. This, even though the Spaniard personally earns less income. Largely as a result of the economically precarious nature of living in the US. Healthcare, childcare, education, retirement are all big expensive things the US does incredibly poorly.

Even more, the huge problems in the US like crime and poor healthcare outcomes are made worse by the increased inequality.

Re: America underestimates the difficulty of bringing manufacturing back

#910
post #873

Earlier quoted context omitted.

That’s a hilarious thing to say considering our behavior towards trade lately. We’ve burned bridges with our closest trading partners and made everyone else uncomfortable to trade with us because they don’t know what the eventual tariff rate will be, or if it will change tomorrow. We’re retreating from the world stage, and guess who’s sitting there ready to take the reins. It’s genuinely the opposite of what you seem…

Want? Parent was predicting not saying what they wanted.

>do you want the US to become a vassal state of china?

Parent was making it clear what they do not want, for the US to become a vassal state of China.

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