> just because we think we have ways, doesn't mean that they're good ways
Evolution does work. Assuming people are free to try everything out, usually the strategies that become the norm are the strategies that work better than the other ones. If you know better then the market, you could theoretically go in, make your own company execute your own strategy and start dominating the market, this has been done in history multiple times.
> it may be that our ways are the equivalent of rolling dice
Would you try this out if your own money or health was on the line?
> I mean hilariously there are all like endemic complaints about interview processes.
I have a lot of complaints against democracy, however that does not mean I desire fascism, it means I want a better democracy.
> Why is it that all of a sudden you turn against the criticism and act like our decision making is sacrosanct?
Assuming we want the people who can best perform, we should be looking at ways how to better identify the best performers instead of actively sabotaging the process by adding arbitrary discrimination into it that is proven to work against the goal.
> It's often "trust" and "reputation" and other sticky things like that that make the decision. I seem to hear all sorts of stories of people hiring leaders because "I had a good feeling about him"
Would you give keys to your house to someone you don't trust? Would you give the keys to your car to someone who has a reputation of crashing cars?
Democracy is based on trust as well, you don't know if your favourite politician is actually going to do what they say they are going to do or if it's actually a good idea, yet you are likely going to go with your feelings and cast your vote.
How do you think a CEO would fare if that CEO would not have the respect of their subordinates?
> Among relatively equal candidates I think this is true.
For highly skilled roles, I doubt that this happens often in real life, usually you will have candidates with different qualities and you have to figure out which are the ones you believe to be more valuable.
> You could probably roll the dice among this group, otherwise, maybe you're not that great at training senior managers?
I would probably try to see who would do the job for less, but sure, if that's the case you could also choose at random, however the higher the skill requirement, the less likely you will get into this situation.