Earlier quoted context omitted.
Amazon was pretty famous for never actually posting a profit for their first ~10 years of operation
> Amazon was pretty famous for never actually posting a profit for their first ~10 years of operation They were spending the profit from each user, not making a loss on each user. It's a big difference. To turn a profit all AMZN had to do was stop spending (and the consumers would not have been affected by the halting of spending). For the AI providers, to turn a profit they have to raise the price.
OpenAI mulls slashing prices as it competes with Anthropic for users
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Re: OpenAI mulls slashing prices as it competes with Anthropic for users
#92The frontier labs commonly trade spots at the top of the benchmarks with each new model release. The timing of these price cut discussions says to me OpenAI has no imminent release that will be edging out Mythos/Fable. If so the question becomes when can they do so, or is this possibly a turning point where Anthropic keeps the crown to themselves for the foreseeable future.
At the right price, these model don't need to be the best, good enough will do. I think we're fast approaching good enough for most users.
Re: OpenAI mulls slashing prices as it competes with Anthropic for users
#93The frontier labs commonly trade spots at the top of the benchmarks with each new model release. The timing of these price cut discussions says to me OpenAI has no imminent release that will be edging out Mythos/Fable. If so the question becomes when can they do so, or is this possibly a turning point where Anthropic keeps the crown to themselves for the foreseeable future.
At the right price, these model don't need to be the best, good enough will do. I think we're fast approaching good enough for most users.
Re: OpenAI mulls slashing prices as it competes with Anthropic for users
#94The frontier labs commonly trade spots at the top of the benchmarks with each new model release. The timing of these price cut discussions says to me OpenAI has no imminent release that will be edging out Mythos/Fable. If so the question becomes when can they do so, or is this possibly a turning point where Anthropic keeps the crown to themselves for the foreseeable future.
It seems that OpenAI lacks a clear target audience, they try to be everything for everyone. Anthropic is targeting professionals / enterprise users. I don’t fully understand why OpenAI lacks this focus, as clearly identifying a target market is one of the first things you do with a business strategy. But instead they just seem to throw stuff against the wall and see what sticks.
Re: OpenAI mulls slashing prices as it competes with Anthropic for users
#95Earlier quoted context omitted.
Questionable whether the enterprise market really is the most lucrative. The biggest of big tech all have significant revenue from the consumer market. Compare Apple, Google, Meta, to IBM, Salesforce, ServiceNow.
Apple, sure. But Google and Meta are really advertising companies, whose income stream comes from enterprises, big and small.
Re: OpenAI mulls slashing prices as it competes with Anthropic for users
#96I keep meaning to try Claude Code, but I can't seem to run out of limits on Codex on regular pro plan.
Meanwhile all my friends on Claude Code are fighting the token limits every few hours.
I even switched to using extra high for easy medium level script tasks as a test and besides taking longer there was not much reduction in the token allowance.
I generally write a detailed spec before plan then possibly iterate a bit before implementation. Not sure what I am doing "wrong".
Re: OpenAI mulls slashing prices as it competes with Anthropic for users
#97The frontier labs commonly trade spots at the top of the benchmarks with each new model release. The timing of these price cut discussions says to me OpenAI has no imminent release that will be edging out Mythos/Fable. If so the question becomes when can they do so, or is this possibly a turning point where Anthropic keeps the crown to themselves for the foreseeable future.
It seems that OpenAI lacks a clear target audience, they try to be everything for everyone. Anthropic is targeting professionals / enterprise users. I don’t fully understand why OpenAI lacks this focus, as clearly identifying a target market is one of the first things you do with a business strategy. But instead they just seem to throw stuff against the wall and see what sticks.
Resource curse: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Resource_curse
I've been inside companies that have struggled with this, and the real internal story goes like this:
1. Surprise product growth
2. Revenue go brr, org expands
3. Everyone gets promoted as org expands
4. Because the product sold itself, there was little selection pressure on the sales / customer success orgs to evaluate their effectiveness
5. Leadership gets saturated with people who just aren't very good at their job
6. None of those people get fired/demoted, because the company never had to develop "What to do with a bad leader?" muscles
7. This eventually manifests as an increasing (customer) (engineering) disconnect (as sales/cs aren't doing their job)
8. People begin to ask why the company isn't doing (insert obvious thing)
9. It's because VP-of-whatever is chasing fantasies instead of reporting customer needs to engineering
Tl;dr - Don't trust promotions made during the good times. Continuously reevaluate leaders.Re: OpenAI mulls slashing prices as it competes with Anthropic for users
#98As long as Codex remains so affordable and useful they do not have to slash prices, just keep Codex usable. I keep meaning to try Claude Code, but I can't seem to run out of limits on Codex on regular pro plan. Meanwhile all my friends on Claude Code are fighting the token limits every few hours. I even switched to using extra high for easy medium level script tasks as a test and besides taking longer there was not m…
And, I even use `claude -p` pretty regularly for scripted stuff (automated security vulnerability searches), which I thought was now counted at regular API rates, but that doesn't seem to ever run out either. I do only run one at a time, though...not parallel, so maybe it doesn't kick over into some "automation" mode of counting usage, I dunno.
Re: OpenAI mulls slashing prices as it competes with Anthropic for users
#99The frontier labs commonly trade spots at the top of the benchmarks with each new model release. The timing of these price cut discussions says to me OpenAI has no imminent release that will be edging out Mythos/Fable. If so the question becomes when can they do so, or is this possibly a turning point where Anthropic keeps the crown to themselves for the foreseeable future.
Initially I had the same thought but I think this might actually have more to do with Fable being removed from the Claude subscription later this month. At that point it becomes cost prohibitive to use for most tasks anyways & this is the perfect opportunity to compete on price, especially given enterprise customers are already looking to improve spend management
Re: OpenAI mulls slashing prices as it competes with Anthropic for users
#100As long as Codex remains so affordable and useful they do not have to slash prices, just keep Codex usable. I keep meaning to try Claude Code, but I can't seem to run out of limits on Codex on regular pro plan. Meanwhile all my friends on Claude Code are fighting the token limits every few hours. I even switched to using extra high for easy medium level script tasks as a test and besides taking longer there was not m…
I imagine they track usage and can see whether their habitual users are switching to something else and aren't going to slash prices 'for the hell of it'.
just look at public stats on openrouter (obviously not indicative of first party app usage or direct api usage, but there's a huge difference between these graphs): https://openrouter.ai/openai https://openrouter.ai/anthropic