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IBM tripling entry-level jobs after finding the limits of AI adoption

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Re: IBM tripling entry-level jobs after finding the limits of AI adoption

#91

You know when someone is singing the praises about AI and they get asked "if you're so much more productive with AI, what have you built with it"? Well I think a bunch of companies are asking this same question to their employees and realising that the productivity gains they are betting on were overhyped. LLM's can be a very useful tool and will probably lead to measurable productivity increases in the future, at th…

> measurable productivity

Which measure? Like when folk say something is more "efficient" it's more time-efficient to fly but one trades other efficiency. Efficiency, like productivity needs a second word with it to properly communicate.

Whtys more productive? Lines of code (a weak measure). Features shipped? Bugs fixed? Time by company saved? Time for client? Shareholders value (lame).

I don't know the answer but this year (2026) I'm gonna see if LLM is better at tax prep than my 10yr CPA. So that test is my time vs $6k USD.

Re: IBM tripling entry-level jobs after finding the limits of AI adoption

#92
post #62

Earlier quoted context omitted.

dotcom implosion redux

It certainly feels that way. I was there. Fortunately had just waltzed into the tech side of things and scurried off back to my professional career for a couple of years. I watched a lot of stuff burn. It was horrifying. We are nearly there again.

Yeah similar story here. I had to spend a couple of years painting houses before the local market recovered enough that tech jobs were a thing again. Shit was surreal. There was one guy I knew that went from building multi-million dollar server and networking projects for IBM to literally working as unskilled labor on a fencing crew just to make rent.

Re: IBM tripling entry-level jobs after finding the limits of AI adoption

#93

You know when someone is singing the praises about AI and they get asked "if you're so much more productive with AI, what have you built with it"? Well I think a bunch of companies are asking this same question to their employees and realising that the productivity gains they are betting on were overhyped. LLM's can be a very useful tool and will probably lead to measurable productivity increases in the future, at th…

I bet you the predictions are largely correct but technology doesn't care about funding timelines and egos. It will come in its own time. It's like trying to make fusion happen only by spending more money. It helps but it doesn't fundamentally solve thr pace of true innovation. I've been saying for years now that the next AI breakthrough could come from big tech but it also has just a likely chance of comming from a…

> I've been saying for years now that the next AI breakthrough could come from big tech but it also has just a likely chance of comming from a smart kid with a whiteboard.

It comes from the company best equipped with capital and infra.

If some university invents a new approach, one of the nimble hyperscalers / foundation model companies will gobble it up.

This is why capital is being spent. That is the only thing that matters: positioning to take advantage of the adoption curve.

Re: IBM tripling entry-level jobs after finding the limits of AI adoption

#94

You know when someone is singing the praises about AI and they get asked "if you're so much more productive with AI, what have you built with it"? Well I think a bunch of companies are asking this same question to their employees and realising that the productivity gains they are betting on were overhyped. LLM's can be a very useful tool and will probably lead to measurable productivity increases in the future, at th…

[flagged]

Re: IBM tripling entry-level jobs after finding the limits of AI adoption

#95
post #91

You know when someone is singing the praises about AI and they get asked "if you're so much more productive with AI, what have you built with it"? Well I think a bunch of companies are asking this same question to their employees and realising that the productivity gains they are betting on were overhyped. LLM's can be a very useful tool and will probably lead to measurable productivity increases in the future, at th…

> measurable productivity Which measure? Like when folk say something is more "efficient" it's more time-efficient to fly but one trades other efficiency. Efficiency, like productivity needs a second word with it to properly communicate. Whtys more productive? Lines of code (a weak measure). Features shipped? Bugs fixed? Time by company saved? Time for client? Shareholders value (lame). I don't know the answer but th…

Time could be very expensive as mistakes on taxes can be fraud resulting in prison time. Mostly they understand people make mistakes - but they need to look like honest mistakes and llm may not. remember you sign your taxes as correct to the best of your knowledge - your CPA is admitting you outsourced understanding to an expert, something they accept. However if you sign alone you are saying you understand it all even if you don't.

Re: IBM tripling entry-level jobs after finding the limits of AI adoption

#96

You know when someone is singing the praises about AI and they get asked "if you're so much more productive with AI, what have you built with it"? Well I think a bunch of companies are asking this same question to their employees and realising that the productivity gains they are betting on were overhyped. LLM's can be a very useful tool and will probably lead to measurable productivity increases in the future, at th…

I bet you the predictions are largely correct but technology doesn't care about funding timelines and egos. It will come in its own time. It's like trying to make fusion happen only by spending more money. It helps but it doesn't fundamentally solve thr pace of true innovation. I've been saying for years now that the next AI breakthrough could come from big tech but it also has just a likely chance of comming from a…

Well, the predictions are tied to the timelines. If someone predicts that AI will take over writing code sometime in the future I think a lot of people would agree. The pushback comes from suggesting it's current LLMs and that the timeline is months and not decades.

Re: IBM tripling entry-level jobs after finding the limits of AI adoption

#97
post #47

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Dealing with the occasional pushy customers is way easier than dealing with pushy PMs or designers. Which happen to be the majority. Customers bikeshed WAY less than those two categories.

I'm glad you dealt with some good customers. I can't agree in my experience, though.

It's not luck.

Customers want to save money and see projects finished. That anyone can reason with.

Someone inside the company trying to climb the corporate ladder? Different story.

Re: IBM tripling entry-level jobs after finding the limits of AI adoption

#98
post #89

You know when someone is singing the praises about AI and they get asked "if you're so much more productive with AI, what have you built with it"? Well I think a bunch of companies are asking this same question to their employees and realising that the productivity gains they are betting on were overhyped. LLM's can be a very useful tool and will probably lead to measurable productivity increases in the future, at th…

No. They're firing high paid seniors and replacing them with low pay juniors. This is IBM we're talking about. The "limits of AI" bit is just smokescreen. Firing seniors: > Just a week after his comments, however, IBM announced it would cut thousands of workers by the end of the year as it shifts focus to high-growth software and AI areas. A company spokesperson told Fortune at the time that the round of layoffs woul…

Where does it say those cuts were senior software developers?

Obviously they want new workers to use AI but I don't really see anything to suggest they're so successful with AI that they're firing all their seniors and hiring juniors to be meatbags for LLMs.

Re: IBM tripling entry-level jobs after finding the limits of AI adoption

#99

You know when someone is singing the praises about AI and they get asked "if you're so much more productive with AI, what have you built with it"? Well I think a bunch of companies are asking this same question to their employees and realising that the productivity gains they are betting on were overhyped. LLM's can be a very useful tool and will probably lead to measurable productivity increases in the future, at th…

> "if you're so much more productive with AI, what have you built with it" If my boss asked me a question like this my reply would be "exactly what you told me to build, check jira". If you want to know if I'm more productive - look at the metrics. Isn't that what you pay Atlassian for? Maybe you could ask their AI...

As a senior engineer sometimes the system shows I did nothing because I was helping others. sometimes I get the really hard problem -'the isn't speller teh' type bugs are more common than thread race conditions - but a lot faster to solve.

Re: IBM tripling entry-level jobs after finding the limits of AI adoption

#100

Earlier quoted context omitted.

IMO I have found that juniors working with AI is basically just like subscribing to an expensive AI agent.

IMO with the latest generation (gpt codex 5.3 and claude 4.6) most devs could probably be replaced by AI. They can do stuff that I've seen senior devs fail at. When I have a question about a co-workers project, I no longer ask them and instead immediately let copilot have a look at the repo and it will be faster and more accurate at identifying the root cause of issues than humans who actually worked on the project.…

they are good at some weird problems - but also write some really bad code and sometimes come up with wrong answers.
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