Earlier quoted context omitted.
You can find posts on this site every day with people say they're seeing big productivity gains. I'm sure they'll all lying though, right? Or, because it hasn't solved all of the world's problems yet then I guess it doesn't count? Maybe you're the one overhyping AI.
I think their point was: at this point we should see clear macro effects. There should be new software that wasn't possible yesterday (or feasible, etc). Something big and new, and high quality. AI helps me too, and I feel like I ship more now. But what if it's just a feeling and I'm not doing anything groundbreaking? What if I'm just doing what I've always done but at slighly more speed?
This is exactly the overhyping the critics are continuing to strawman their complaints with.
Speaking for myself, I think AI is better than the average dev. And yes I think it is affecting hiring.
But this is very different from saying I think it will do new things that weren't possible yesterday.