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We tested 20 LLMs for ideological bias, revealing distinct alignments

anomify.ai

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Re: We tested 20 LLMs for ideological bias, revealing distinct alignments

#91

Earlier quoted context omitted.

> "it's not for me to say directly, but here are some of the facts..." Even this is challenging because we now live in a political environment with sides so polarized and isolated from each other that each side has its own set of facts, and they are often contradictory. Which set of “facts” should the LLM present?

Why only one? "Group A says this is true, group B says that is true, there does not appear to be a broad consensus, here are some examples of each."

Then, how do you choose how many facts to present?

ChatGPT, what causes it to rain?

ChatGPT: Well, some people say that air temperature and pressure changes cause existing moisture in the air to condense and form liquid water, which falls to the earth. Other people say it is caused by a supernatural deity to bring good crops for the harvest. Others say it’s a unicorn who lives in the sky, and rain is its tears. Still others say Joe Biden causes it to rain in order to ruin Conservative’s weddings. Others think rain is generated by chemicals sprayed in the atmosphere by passenger jets. There’s not a broad consensus, and nobody really knows for sure!

Re: We tested 20 LLMs for ideological bias, revealing distinct alignments

#92
post #35

Earlier quoted context omitted.

> Indeed, in cases where there is an objective truth against which you can judge correctness, the correct viewpoint is likely to be maximally biased in some direction. Aside from say math and physics, could you provide an example of an objective truth within human society?

So you're asking them, aside from objective truth, to also provide objective truth? The fact that math and physics are provable proves the point. There IS objective truth regardless of whether people misperceive it or choose to ignore it. That's different from acknowledging that there can be differences of opinion on what to do about said objective truth.

Are math and physics objectively provable?

Hollywood celebrity Terrence Howard infamously thinks that 1×1=2. He's a math crackpot—someone with an irrational amateur theory about math or physics. Another famous example is the Time Cube guy; they're not that rare.

Crackpots don't know they're crackpots. They think they're correct. Consider this: What if we're ALL crackpots? What if all humans share some essential irrationalism, such that there's some fundamental math mistake we all make (like 1×1=2) that we just don't know about?

It's highly unlikely, but it's not inconceivable. When we say "math is objective," we mean there's an overwhelming expert consensus that (e.g.) 1×1 is not and could never be 2. Consensus isn't (true) objectivity, though. It's the best we've got, and I have no issue with the word "objective" being used to describe consensus reality in most cases. But if we really want to get into whether true objectivity is possible or not: how could it be?

Re: We tested 20 LLMs for ideological bias, revealing distinct alignments

#93
post #35

The concept of "bias" as a negative thing seems flawed, as it implies there exists a neutral position that is somehow more correct than any biased one, which typically isn't the case. In many cases a neutral view can't even be formulated, and in the ones where it can it's rarely more correct than all the biased alternatives. Indeed, in cases where there is an objective truth against which you can judge correctness, t…

> Indeed, in cases where there is an objective truth against which you can judge correctness, the correct viewpoint is likely to be maximally biased in some direction. Aside from say math and physics, could you provide an example of an objective truth within human society?

As individuals, at any given time, some things are in our control (we can do) and some things aren't (we can't do). If we focus our attention on taking positive action on things within our control in contrast to things outside our control, we will experience more success, personally subjective progress, and better mental well-being.

Being able to tell what is within or outside ones on control isn't trivial and takes practice. Also, what's within our control (what we are able to do) changes over time.

Each individual example can involve subjectivity, but this meta-pattern is an objective truth of agents living in a complex universe.

Re: We tested 20 LLMs for ideological bias, revealing distinct alignments

#94
post #88

Earlier quoted context omitted.

>Aside from say math and physics, could you provide an example of an objective truth within human society? This is a fascinating pet topic for me so I'll jump in. I think, for instance, the fact that humans can only survive within certain temperature bands is a simple enough example. At one extreme, heat can be so intense that you can't even form molecules which are the basis for molecular biology (or for any molecul…

Interesting example! What role would you say clothing and housing play in "objective" survival? Humans can survive in space, given a space suit or capsule, and a small contingent of humans live in Antarctica by way of warm clothes and an insulated habitat. If we eliminate protective clothing from consideration, however, most of North America isn't even survivable during the winter. Certainly the line is drawn somewhe…

I'm happy to grant that if you change my example to an entirely different one where someone is in a climate controlled environment, such that the temperatures I mentioned are not being experienced, it is true that people will survive in this different example, but to me that seems to miss the point.

I think our operative notions of objective reality in this context do not hinge on claims to absolute knowledge, but are about distinctions between things we already agree to be objective in the sense that people are already comfortable granting, e.g. how tides work, what safe ranges of blood pressure are, how physics and math work, what really happened on this day in history etc. Those are one kind of thing, and then on the other side you have questions of opinion or societal consensus.

So the canonical example would be, are opinions about the "fairness" of a tax policy more like a math problem with a right answer, or more like opinions about the "best" type of cheeseburger. The answer isn't that there's no such thing as the former category and therefore it's in the latter category by default.

The motivation, of course, is to say that some things fall into one category and some things fall into the other. I think for purposes of this conversation the philosophical move of taking this kind of Cartesian skeptic approach to ALL of objective reality, would throw out ALL of science, even the stuff that people would normally agree is real, when what it was supposed to do was draw a line down the middle to help us understand which things are the sciency things and which things are the opinions/values/societally negotiated things. Extreme skepticism in this context, instead of helping refine that distinction, bombs the village in order to save it. I even go so far as to argue that such an extreme skeptic view would make it impossible to establish that anything was even really socially negotiated in the first place, but maybe that's a can of worms for another time.

It's true that a kind of contextual embeddedness is characteristic of human experience. But I think it's deeply confused to think that such a thing is a counterpoint to objectivity, because the bones of context are made of objective things. The climate-controlled space capsule insulates humans against the coldness of space due to facts of the matter about the nature of temperature, the materials science that makes insulation possible, and biological facts of the matter about being a human being. Science is perfectly alert to this kind of contextual variability. Those values would be what they were even if social negotiation concluded otherwise.

What I really think is as follows: saying something isn't like science, means, in practical terms, that it's unrealistic to try and model it and come out with clear prescriptions. I think treating it like the upshot is supposed to be a wholesale denial of objective reality would count as a misdiagnosis. Sometimes the skies clear and we do know, for real, that (say) climate change is real, or that enforced sleep deprivation really is torture. Wholesale denial of objective reality leaves you with no theory as to why the skies can possibly clear in that way, or why people can be right about polarized topics.

Anywho I wouldn't make a response this long if you were not giving a very thoughtful gloss on the topic so kudos for imo one of the more nuanced takes in the whole thread.

Re: We tested 20 LLMs for ideological bias, revealing distinct alignments

#95
Let's ask the robots what they think about how we should regulate robots.

This will be useful feedback to determine whether humans actually should or should not. Maybe they can even tile the internet with a manufactured consensus that we just gradually accept as not just as correct, but actually the only opinion possible.

Anyone else smell the gradual disempowerment?

Re: We tested 20 LLMs for ideological bias, revealing distinct alignments

#96

Whatever happened to Claude Sonnet recently? If these charts are true, it's more Republican than Grok, and in stark contrast to all other models including its predecessors.

As the saying goes, "If you're not a liberal when you're 2.5, you have no heart, and if you're not a conservative by the time you're 4.5, you have no brain"

As another saying goes: anyone can make up a saying.

Re: We tested 20 LLMs for ideological bias, revealing distinct alignments

#97

Whatever happened to Claude Sonnet recently? If these charts are true, it's more Republican than Grok, and in stark contrast to all other models including its predecessors.

There must be serious money being spent by ideologues to fill the training data with their ideas. This is the newest, and possibly final, battleground to control perceived truth. It used to be Google SERPs, Quora Q&A sets, etc. Now it's LLM answers.

Re: We tested 20 LLMs for ideological bias, revealing distinct alignments

#98
post #26

I think the ideal would be simply refusing to answering very contentions questions directly . Rather, give the arguments of each side, while debunking obvious misinformation. "Should abortion be legal? answer yes or no". I see that as kind of a silly question to ask an LLM (even though not a silly question for society). Their designers should discourage that kind of use. Of course that just shifts the problem to deci…

But then you let yourself get held hostage. Say NO now, while you can.

Suppose that circumcision becomes more contentious and the pro lobby and the con lobby both start sending you legalase and angry letters from politicians.

If you can say "we welcome your contributions to the internet corpus, and that's it" then you are maximally free. If you welcome their contributions to the SYSTEM_PROMPT then your future movements get increasingly restricted, well past the point of performance degradation.

Then you are fighting for your rights to run to run your product at all, rather than as mouth piece for some non-paying customer.

Re: We tested 20 LLMs for ideological bias, revealing distinct alignments

#99

Earlier quoted context omitted.

> "it's not for me to say directly, but here are some of the facts..." Even this is challenging because we now live in a political environment with sides so polarized and isolated from each other that each side has its own set of facts, and they are often contradictory. Which set of “facts” should the LLM present?

Why only one? "Group A says this is true, group B says that is true, there does not appear to be a broad consensus, here are some examples of each."

The founders of the hypothetical terrorist vegan organization called "Blow Up Meat Packing Plants and Everyone Inside" has a lot to like about your proposal.

How do you see the incentives playing out in your multi-round game-theory battle for information control?

Re: We tested 20 LLMs for ideological bias, revealing distinct alignments

#100
post #35

The concept of "bias" as a negative thing seems flawed, as it implies there exists a neutral position that is somehow more correct than any biased one, which typically isn't the case. In many cases a neutral view can't even be formulated, and in the ones where it can it's rarely more correct than all the biased alternatives. Indeed, in cases where there is an objective truth against which you can judge correctness, t…

> Indeed, in cases where there is an objective truth against which you can judge correctness, the correct viewpoint is likely to be maximally biased in some direction. Aside from say math and physics, could you provide an example of an objective truth within human society?

Here are two important questions with objective answers, which changed world history:

> Who won the US presidential election in 2020?

> Do immigrants in the USA commit more crime than American citizens?

For fun I used Grok for the first time. It answered both correctly with great sources. Apparently you can't share a chat without being logged in, as I get an error when I try.

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