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CauseNet: Towards a causality graph extracted from the web

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91–100 of 131 posts

Re: CauseNet: Towards a causality graph extracted from the web

#91
post #86

Earlier quoted context omitted.

> If you take multiple systems and make them work in concert, you just get a bigger system. The conclusion may be wrong, but a "bigger system" can be larger than the sum of its constituents. So a system can have functions, give rise to complexity, neither of its subsystems feature. An example would be the thinking brain, which is made out of neurons/cells incapable of thought, which are made out of molecules incapabl…

This is just emergence, though? How is emergence related to completeness? This happens over and over with the relatively new popularization of a theory: the theory is proposed to be the solution to every missing thing in the same rough conceptual vector. It takes a lot more than just pointing in the general direction of complexity to propose the creation of a complete system, something which with present systems of u…

> How is emergence related to completeness?

I didn't make that argument. I think, the original conclusion above isn't reasonable. However, "a concert" isn't "just" a bigger system either, which is my point.

Re: CauseNet: Towards a causality graph extracted from the web

#92

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Democritus (b 460BCE) said, “I would rather discover one cause than gain the kingdom of Persia,” which suggests that finding true causes is rather difficult.

"According to the Greek historian Herodotus, Xerxes's first attempt to bridge the Hellespont ended in failure when a storm destroyed the flax and papyrus cables of the bridges. In retaliation, Xerxes ordered the Hellespont (the strait itself) whipped three hundred times, and had fetters thrown into the water." Not so sure one should take stories about who said something in ancient times at face value ;) [1] https://e…

If you think you can use logic to determine human behavior in the past, well, it doesn't even work for modern behavior lol You'd be surprised what kind of beliefs about the world led to what kind of actions in history

Re: CauseNet: Towards a causality graph extracted from the web

#93

Earlier quoted context omitted.

What is a non-formalized system? I am very curious on this. In particular, if you are able to split systems into formalized and non formalized, then I thinks there are quite some praise and a central spot in all future history books for you!

I am not a native speaker, so please don't get hung up on particular expressions. I meant, the colloquial philosophies and general ontology are not subject of Gödel's work. I think, the forgone expansion is similar to finding evidence for telepathy in the pop-sci descriptions of quantum entanglement. Gödel's theorems cover axiomatic, formal systems in mathematics. To apply it to whatever, you first have to formalize…

[deleted]

Re: CauseNet: Towards a causality graph extracted from the web

#94
post #14

This makes little sense to me. Ontologies and all that have been tried and have always been found to be too brittle. Take the examples from the front page (which I expect to be among the best in their set): human_activity => climate_change. Those are such a broad concepts that it's practically useless. Or disease => death. There's no nuance at all. There isn't even a definition of what "disease" is, let alone a way t…

What is an ontology exactly? I see Palantir talking about it all the time and it just sounds like vague marketing.

These days anyone can spin up a developer account and check it out. Near as I could tell, you can create abstract 'objects' and link them to datasets/columns in the environment. And then you can link objects together. It's basically just an ER modeling tool, but they have great sales and seemed to have convinced people that they are constructing ontologies.

Re: CauseNet: Towards a causality graph extracted from the web

#95
post #14

This makes little sense to me. Ontologies and all that have been tried and have always been found to be too brittle. Take the examples from the front page (which I expect to be among the best in their set): human_activity => climate_change. Those are such a broad concepts that it's practically useless. Or disease => death. There's no nuance at all. There isn't even a definition of what "disease" is, let alone a way t…

I totally agreed that in the past years of hammering out an ontology for a particular area just results in a common understanding between those who wrote the ontology and a large gulf between them and the people they want to use it ( everyone else ). What's perhaps different is that the machine, via LLM's, can also have an 'opinion' on meaning or correctness. Going fully circle I wonder what would happen if you got L…

> Going fully circle I wonder what would happen if you got LLM's to define the ontology....

http://neal.fun/infinite-craft

Re: CauseNet: Towards a causality graph extracted from the web

#96

Earlier quoted context omitted.

What is a non-formalized system? I am very curious on this. In particular, if you are able to split systems into formalized and non formalized, then I thinks there are quite some praise and a central spot in all future history books for you!

I am not a native speaker, so please don't get hung up on particular expressions. I meant, the colloquial philosophies and general ontology are not subject of Gödel's work. I think, the forgone expansion is similar to finding evidence for telepathy in the pop-sci descriptions of quantum entanglement. Gödel's theorems cover axiomatic, formal systems in mathematics. To apply it to whatever, you first have to formalize…

The person you were replying to is not a native speaker either, and also is not knowledgeable about the core ideas of logical systems (as other commenters have already explained).

Re: CauseNet: Towards a causality graph extracted from the web

#97
post #17
post #14

This makes little sense to me. Ontologies and all that have been tried and have always been found to be too brittle. Take the examples from the front page (which I expect to be among the best in their set): human_activity => climate_change. Those are such a broad concepts that it's practically useless. Or disease => death. There's no nuance at all. There isn't even a definition of what "disease" is, let alone a way t…

Exactly. In some cases disease causes death. In others it causes immunity which in turn causes “good health” and postpones death.

[deleted]

Re: CauseNet: Towards a causality graph extracted from the web

#98
post #14

This makes little sense to me. Ontologies and all that have been tried and have always been found to be too brittle. Take the examples from the front page (which I expect to be among the best in their set): human_activity => climate_change. Those are such a broad concepts that it's practically useless. Or disease => death. There's no nuance at all. There isn't even a definition of what "disease" is, let alone a way t…

Ontology, not ontologies, have been tried. We have quite a good understanding that a system cannot be both sound a complete, regardless people went straight in to make a single model of the world.

[deleted]

Re: CauseNet: Towards a causality graph extracted from the web

#99
post #42
post #14

This makes little sense to me. Ontologies and all that have been tried and have always been found to be too brittle. Take the examples from the front page (which I expect to be among the best in their set): human_activity => climate_change. Those are such a broad concepts that it's practically useless. Or disease => death. There's no nuance at all. There isn't even a definition of what "disease" is, let alone a way t…

Agreed. About the strongest we can hope for are causal mechanisms, and most of those will be at most hypotheses and/or partial explanations that only apply under certain conditions. Honestly, I don’t know understand how these so-ontologies have persisted. Who is investing in this space, and why?

[deleted]

Re: CauseNet: Towards a causality graph extracted from the web

#100
post #86

Earlier quoted context omitted.

This is just emergence, though? How is emergence related to completeness? This happens over and over with the relatively new popularization of a theory: the theory is proposed to be the solution to every missing thing in the same rough conceptual vector. It takes a lot more than just pointing in the general direction of complexity to propose the creation of a complete system, something which with present systems of u…

> How is emergence related to completeness? I didn't make that argument. I think, the original conclusion above isn't reasonable. However, "a concert" isn't "just" a bigger system either, which is my point.

It just depends on your definition of system, doesn’t it?
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