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Half of Russia's A320/A321neo Fleet Grounded Amid Engine Issues and Sanctions

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Re: Half of Russia's A320/A321neo Fleet Grounded Amid Engine Issues and Sanctions

#91

Post by fatbird »

JumpCrisscross wrote: post #34
rtsil wrote: post #29

Earlier quoted context omitted.

There's an argument that the US did everything to prevent Europe from coalescing into a single force and only want Europe to be a single market, not much more, for instance by convincing Eastern European countries to trust their protective umbrella rather than the French-German domination.

> the US did everything to prevent Europe from coalescing into a single force and only want Europe to be a single market, not much more I mean yes, we did. Western Europe was unifying under Berlin in the 1940s. > by convincing Eastern European countries to trust their protective umbrella rather than the French-German domination Militarily speaking, modern Germany is irrelevant. (Partly due to how it’s been managed po…

In the 90s the US scuttled an EU plan to create an EU military force that would be relatively small--around 50,000 personnel--but would be the umbrella military organization under which national forces would come together if needed.

Trump and conservatives complain mightily about EU underspending on defence, but that's been by American design. While the EU was/is dependent on the American security umbrella, the US had a lot of leverage over Europe. The carrot was "you don't need to spend so much on defence, we've got you covered" and the stick was "shame if we didn't have you covered anymore, since you've been underspending for so many years.

Re: Half of Russia's A320/A321neo Fleet Grounded Amid Engine Issues and Sanctions

#92

Post by ivan_gammel »

dismalaf wrote: post #83
ivan_gammel wrote: post #82

Earlier quoted context omitted.

How is it clear? Their foreign currency reserves decreased just by 15% since December 2021 and their total reserves actually increased. Yes, some of that huge pile of money was frozen, but it’s nowhere close to “giving up” trying. So no, you are wrong, they did not give up, they simply did not have intention to keep ruble strong. The central bank intervenes to prevent high volatility, but that’s it, since 2015 they f…

It's clear based on the exchange rate. You absolutely can't trust whatever data they put out there, but you can see based on their behaviour. I mean, they're literally asking North Korea and Iran for help, trading oil and gas directly... There's no advantage for them to have the Ruble so weak because they absolutely want to import Chinese and Western products, namely technology, to fund their war machine. Even agains…

You make wrong assumptions about the exchange rate. I suggest you learn more about Russian economy, rather than speculate.

The fact is, they do not target exchange rates in their policy, only inflation. Their trade balance with China is positive (unlike USA), so yuan reserves are growing and they have no problem to buy Chinese goods. The weakness of ruble has nothing to do with it.

Re: Half of Russia's A320/A321neo Fleet Grounded Amid Engine Issues and Sanctions

#93

Post by JumpCrisscross »

untech wrote: post #69
JumpCrisscross wrote: post #67

Earlier quoted context omitted.

For what it's worth, I appreciate your comments and find them civil and informative. (American. Comment a lot because Ukraine is my pet war.)

What is a pet war?

> What is a pet war?

A foreign conflict I’ve adopted for personal interest and to be opinionated about, but over which I have little to no influence or ground truth. The popular ones in America being Ukraine and Gaza. (The unpopular ones: the wars in Sudan, Ethiopia and Burma.)

Re: Half of Russia's A320/A321neo Fleet Grounded Amid Engine Issues and Sanctions

#94

Post by protomolecule »

ivan_gammel wrote: post #76
protomolecule wrote: post #51

Earlier quoted context omitted.

[flagged]

No, Russia doesn’t. Those engines are tested, i.e. still in development, not in serial manufacturing. The first shipments were pushed back by 3 years and the planned production volume reduced recently. There’s still risk that this is going to happen again, so we won’t see first commercial flights on those engines for several years. And existing fleet degrades faster.

You've missed the context: the comment I was replying to suggests using Chinese engine in about the same stage of development.

Re: Half of Russia's A320/A321neo Fleet Grounded Amid Engine Issues and Sanctions

#95

Post by protomolecule »

thodin wrote: post #87
sedan_baklazhan wrote: post #77

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Russia only needs to supply herself, not other markerts. Which manufacturers do you compare with?

Russia officially built only one SSJ in 2024 – RA-89192. But in fact it was originally built in 2022 and it is probably the last SSJ-100 ever produced.

>last SSJ-100 ever produced

Yes, of course. The version of SSJ-100 with Russian-made engines and other systems is called SJ-100.

[0] https://www.uacrussia.ru/ru/aircraft/lineup/civil/superjet-1...

Re: Half of Russia's A320/A321neo Fleet Grounded Amid Engine Issues and Sanctions

#96

Post by protomolecule »

JumpCrisscross wrote: post #63
sedan_baklazhan wrote: post #57

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Are you serious? Look up SSJ-100 production numbers.

> Look up SSJ-100 production numbers Now look at them post sanctions. The SSJ-100 contains far more important systems (not parts) [1] than e.g. Embraer’s regional jets. It was designed with consultation from Boeing, including throughout manufacturing. Russia’s indigenous jets are terrible, and there is no reason to expect them to improve, they can’t compete against the Chinese for the anti-Western market. To be fair…

>The SSJ-100 contains far more important systems (not parts) than e.g. Embraer’s regional jets

Embraer jets all use Pratt & Whitney engines which is the hardest part to replace.

> they can’t compete against the Chinese for the anti-Western market.

All Chinese jet airplanes use Western engines and other systems[0][1]. China can't sell them on the anti-Western market just like Russia wasn't allowed to sell Tu-204SM with PS-90A2 engines co-developed with Pratt & Whitney[2].

[0] https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Comac_C909

[1] https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Comac_C919

[2] https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Aviadvigatel_PS-90#PS-90A2

Re: Half of Russia's A320/A321neo Fleet Grounded Amid Engine Issues and Sanctions

#97

Post by tim333 »

blashyrk wrote: post #85
lawn wrote: post #73

Earlier quoted context omitted.

They can follow the leads of Japan and Germany. Unconditional surrender, with a complete cultural restructure and admitting to the atrocities, and prosecuting everyone responsible is a good start. But of course, that won't happen anytime soon.

But that would imply Russia becoming a neo-colony of the US, like the two mentioned countries. Which I don't think would ever happen, I think Russia would chose MAD over that if forced to make that choice. Russia under Yeytsin was already drifting towards becoming something like that, and has been firmly going in the other direction ever since

I'd dispute that Germany and Japan are neo-colonys of the US. Where are the colonial governors?

Re: Half of Russia's A320/A321neo Fleet Grounded Amid Engine Issues and Sanctions

#98

Post by tim333 »

lawn wrote: post #74
tehjoker wrote: post #54

Why don't we just do a peace deal? Over a million have died over nothing so far.

All Russia have to do is back away you know. What? They don't want to? Then maybe we can just forget about the genocide, give Russia time to rebuild their forces and recover their economy, so they can repeat the process in a couple of years? (While allowing them to continue their genocide on occupied territory. But at least we don't have to read about it!)

The things a mess though. It might be better to have some sort of freeze and then figure something to stop them repeating the process.

Re: Half of Russia's A320/A321neo Fleet Grounded Amid Engine Issues and Sanctions

#99

Post by tim333 »

loeg wrote: post #16

Great to see sanctions working. Withdraw from Ukraine and sanctions end.

They are pretty half arsed in terms of getting Russia to withdraw. Now if they blockaded Russia's oil exports that could bankrupt them but the whole policy from the start seems to be drip feed everything so Russia wins slowly.

Re: Half of Russia's A320/A321neo Fleet Grounded Amid Engine Issues and Sanctions

#100

Post by thodin »

protomolecule wrote: post #95
thodin wrote: post #87

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Russia officially built only one SSJ in 2024 – RA-89192. But in fact it was originally built in 2022 and it is probably the last SSJ-100 ever produced.

>last SSJ-100 ever produced Yes, of course. The version of SSJ-100 with Russian-made engines and other systems is called SJ-100. [0] https://www.uacrussia.ru/ru/aircraft/lineup/civil/superjet-1...

There is no such thing as an SSJ-100 with Russian-made engines, period. Airlines cannot buy them, and you cannot fly them. Even the MC-21 is slightly more realistic, but it is also not available to any airline.

We have been hearing this never-ending story of "aircraft will be available in 2 years" for a very long time. :)

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