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BYD quarterly sales beat Tesla for first time

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91–100 of 126 posts

Re: BYD quarterly sales beat Tesla for first time

#91
post #78

Earlier quoted context omitted.

They're now mostly in the form of tax rebates and cheap loans these days. According to the Nikkei ( https://asia.nikkei.com/Spotlight/Datawatch/China-s-hidden-s... ) : "BYD received a total of 37.1 billion yuan in tax rebates over the five-year period, nearly four times the 9.3 billion yuan it received in subsidies. Additionally, BYD has secured long-term bank loans at interest rates between 2.05% and 2.98%, lower th…

Thanks for the information! So, if the subsidies are in the form of tax rebates and subsidized loans, is it safe to say, the full economic benefit of these subsidies as a percentage of vehicle sales revenue is single digits? If so, it seems like there's little reason to doubt that BYD would be immensely successful in the US without tarrifs.

Decent analysis:

https://threadreaderapp.com/thread/1804530313957106091.html

TLDR about $2000 per vehicle in 2024, trending to $0 per vehicle in next 5 years. Meanwhile PRC selling cars abroad for 2x+ domestic (i.e. 10-20k over), aka manifestly not dumping prices. BYD (and a few other PRC NEV makers) are successful because they used subsidies the way it should be used - to commoditize manufacturing to ModelT levels (500usd per unit vs when competition was 2000usd).

Re: BYD quarterly sales beat Tesla for first time

#92
post #18

Earlier quoted context omitted.

The issue with the tariff approach is that they generally apply to countries that actually have an auto industry, but not all countries have one. Countries without tariffs will enjoy lots of competition and cheap prices, while established automakers with tariff protections will be squeezed out. I don't see how it's possible to stop China, even if rich western countries band together.

The problem is when it's not fair competition. Certainly Tesla has received government subsidies, but I expect their numbers to pale in comparison to whatever money the Chinese government has directly and indirectly poured into BYD. Flooding foreign markets with your heavily-subsidized cars in order to kill your competition is great for you, but not so great for competitors in the market of sale.

> The problem is when it's not fair competition. Certainly Tesla has received government subsidies, but I expect their numbers to pale in comparison to whatever money the Chinese government has directly and indirectly poured into BYD.

Then we should provide more government subsidies to US automakers for making EVs. The good in having more people driving cars that are more energy efficient and use cleaner energy would outweigh the costs of the subsidies.

Re: BYD quarterly sales beat Tesla for first time

#93
post #18

Earlier quoted context omitted.

The problem is when it's not fair competition. Certainly Tesla has received government subsidies, but I expect their numbers to pale in comparison to whatever money the Chinese government has directly and indirectly poured into BYD. Flooding foreign markets with your heavily-subsidized cars in order to kill your competition is great for you, but not so great for competitors in the market of sale.

I don't disagree with you that it's unfair, but from the perspective of a country without an industry to lose, they have everything to gain from a race to the bottom. How does a rich, car-exporting country convince a less rich and car-importing country to not buy that inexpensive car from China and instead buy a more expensive one? Tariffs can't address this issue.

I don't think it matters. As long as the US has a strong base of car companies serving its own market. It needs this manufacturing capability to lean on during a large scale conflict.

Imagine how much better off Ukraine would be if it had had car factories it could have turned into tank factories.

Re: BYD quarterly sales beat Tesla for first time

#94
post #67
post #52

This has been a long time coming. I don't agree with a few of the other commenters on the efficacy of tariffs, I think it will just punish US consumers while allowing Tesla to grow fat on state largesse.

Well mr musk's election escapades don't look so stupid now, do they?

Right now it looks like a coin toss. He could well end up worse off. I'm not sure he thinks these things through thoroughly enough.

Re: BYD quarterly sales beat Tesla for first time

#95
post #82
post #49

Earlier quoted context omitted.

For me it’s not so much about the tariffs. Personally, I have concerns about driving a network connected car that is ultimately controlled by one of my country’s main geopolitical adversaries. There is a nonzero chance that if war breaks out between them, best case they spy on me or brick some functionality, and worst case they weaponize a software update to do something malicious. EDIT: Just to clarify, I would love…

Isn't that a good thing? Personally, I would much rather be spied on by the CCP than the NSA.

What a foolish remark.

Re: BYD quarterly sales beat Tesla for first time

#96
post #89
post #73

Earlier quoted context omitted.

That seems crazy to me unless we're prepared to rebuild our infrastructure to allow a majority of the populace to live car free. Otherwise completely eliminating our auto industry would be an enormous national security risk.

> Otherwise completely eliminating our auto industry would be an enormous national security risk. But I have been told zealous adherence to free market dogma will guarantee national security, without explicitly considering it! [Also, I'm being sarcastic. I thought people would pick up on the double-standard in my original comment, but I guess free marketers can be that kooky sometimes. Everyone should realize by now…

Do any free market absolutists actually say these things, or are you just attacking a strawman?

I assumed they would say something like tariffs=bad, unless it's to overcome market manipulation by some state actor.

Re: BYD quarterly sales beat Tesla for first time

#97
post #58

Earlier quoted context omitted.

> Only reason they wouldn't take off outside China is the astronomical tariffs the West are putting on Chinese cars (100% in the US). Yeah, due to Chinese state subsidies and other assistance, China has a competitive advantage in automobile manufacturing as well as in many other areas. The US needs to show its commitment to free market principles and lets its auto industry die already.

It would probably be better for the consumer.

Better for the consumer in the brief period before they are ripped off repeatedly due to lack of competition after the subsidies are not passed to the consumer.

Re: BYD quarterly sales beat Tesla for first time

#98
post #2

https://archive.ph/VtIMd

Somewhat related but FT being $75/month is a bit absurd IMO

It's the only newspaper with much of a connection to objective, fair, non-selective reportage. And it knows that.

Your alternative is a Bloomberg terminal. How much are they, again?

Re: BYD quarterly sales beat Tesla for first time

#99

Earlier quoted context omitted.

you are comparing a sedan and suv though. byd seal is a better comparison to model 3

Allright, byd seal 46k euros, 570km wltp, 82.5kwh battery tesla model 3, rwd, long range, 46k euros, 702km wltp (18" wheels), 78.1kwh battery Tesla has quite impressive effiency... at same price with less battery...

Tesla had to get the price down because of BYD.

Competition is good!

Re: BYD quarterly sales beat Tesla for first time

#100
post #65

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Historically the value was in knowing how to build reliable, clean burning, engines. China never managed to catch up to other countries in terms of making combustion engines (it is incredibly hard, and from what I grok they were a generation or two behind), but EVs are mechanically much simpler. What's more, BYD is following Tesla's playbook of vertical integration and making components inhouse to save money vs outso…

They also invested early in battery technology. China was able to build a competitive battery industry with state support and little environmental protection.

The world is still waiting on a huge battery revolution to happen. It looks like it will actually happen Really Soon Now, and there are multiple technologies vying for first place. I hope someone with industry experience drops in and explains what is going on, because I haven't seen a comment like that here on HN for a couple years now. :-D

But honestly whoever gets 2x the density at the same cost will win, and it may be that incumbent advantages don't end up meaning much. AFAIK China's advantage isn't in much cheaper batteries, it is in cost savings everywhere else in making EVs.

For example, VW released a $60k USD EV minivan with mediocre range, and they thought that was a good idea. That sort of acceptance of mediocrity is why traditional automakers are going to get hammered into the ground, except instead of Japanese automakers teaching the lesson, this time it will be Chinese automakers. (Irony: At one point it was VW who helped teach American automakers the same lesson....)

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