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Are We Living in the Roaring 20s?

awealthofcommonsense.com

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Re: Are We Living in the Roaring 20s?

#91
post #90
post #88

Earlier quoted context omitted.

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Can you elaborate? Have there been a spate of attacks in bathrooms from transgendered folks that I've missed? They are, of course, still single- gender spaces. What exactly is lost when losing a single- sex space while keeping it to a single gender?

[flagged]

Re: Are We Living in the Roaring 20s?

#93

The evidence offered is that the economy is doing well, people are traveling, and there is some technological innovation happening. As though that were unique. He then dismisses certain other, less convenient evidence, like consumer sentiment, and simply doesn't bring up any other changes in the macroeconomic climate over the last 100 years. I would like to know what about the balance of evidence is unique enough to…

I don't know what the author of the article is drinking. Me and most of my relatives are in a significantly worse financial position since 2020. Wage growth has hardly matched the wild pace of inflation. Saving money is much harder. Decent jobs are hard to come by. It feels like an erosion of the middle class.

Your experiences are anecdotal but may not be the average... the relative number of people in homelessness has reduced from the 90's to today, that is certainly good.. (It has had a slight peak recently post pandemic).

Purchasing power has climbed, hunger has reduced, I think all of these are important metrics to consider...

I think people are much more polarized and that social media has brought out terrible polarity, but it doesnt necessarily mean the average person is not living better than 30 yrs ago.

Re: Are We Living in the Roaring 20s?

#94
post #35

The evidence offered is that the economy is doing well, people are traveling, and there is some technological innovation happening. As though that were unique. He then dismisses certain other, less convenient evidence, like consumer sentiment, and simply doesn't bring up any other changes in the macroeconomic climate over the last 100 years. I would like to know what about the balance of evidence is unique enough to…

It's all the vague similarities - pandemics, wars, economic boom suspiciously looking like a bubble (be it the fact that many people can no longer afford housing, or that anyone and their grandfather is investing somehow). So nothing conclusive, but if we had conclusive metrics to point to that could indicate an economic bust is coming, we would be able to implement policies to prevent them.

isn't this pretty common to most analyses of past events and attempts to make proxy analyses for the future? If we had all of the facts organized and known we would be able to prevent all crashes, etc, would we not?

And apparently many people here on HN want to discredit the author's conclusions because they dont agree with them personally.

Re: Are We Living in the Roaring 20s?

#95

Earlier quoted context omitted.

For sure but I gotta ask, even if the young did vote who is there to vote for? The bipartisan system here is rigged IMO. Even if you vote for a less popular candidate they're usually still beholden to the party.

If the young reliably voted, for their own interests...then both parties have these things called "primaries", where their general election candidates are picked. Sometimes from a wide field of contenders, and usually with very low barriers to entry (either to vote, or to be a candidate). My understanding is that career politicians' take on the youth vote is: "If the stars happen to align, and you play it right, the…

Primaries have a weird system based on delegates, not direct votes. It's really difficult to know who you're actually voting for, I couldn't find any information on which candidate the delegates on my ballot were actually for.

Re: Are We Living in the Roaring 20s?

#96
post #95

Earlier quoted context omitted.

If the young reliably voted, for their own interests...then both parties have these things called "primaries", where their general election candidates are picked. Sometimes from a wide field of contenders, and usually with very low barriers to entry (either to vote, or to be a candidate). My understanding is that career politicians' take on the youth vote is: "If the stars happen to align, and you play it right, the…

Primaries have a weird system based on delegates, not direct votes. It's really difficult to know who you're actually voting for, I couldn't find any information on which candidate the delegates on my ballot were actually for.

At least in Michigan, the primary ballots pretty much list the actual candidates.

A few times, when things looked murkier, I've just contacted the local (city or county) party organization, and quickly gotten answers.

If that didn't work, I'd probably try contacting the League of Women Voters, County Clerk's office, or similar [non-]governmental groups that work at keeping track of such things. And some web searches, looking for primary candidates with on-line campaign info.

Re: Are We Living in the Roaring 20s?

#98
post #91
post #90

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Can you elaborate? Have there been a spate of attacks in bathrooms from transgendered folks that I've missed? They are, of course, still single- gender spaces. What exactly is lost when losing a single- sex space while keeping it to a single gender?

[flagged]

> In some jurisdictions, women's prisons have been incarcerating males who say they are women. Some of these males have then subsequently raped, sexually assaulted and even impregnated female inmates who have been forced to cohabit with them.

Do you have any citations? I’d be fascinated to read.

Re: Are We Living in the Roaring 20s?

#99
post #98
post #91

Earlier quoted context omitted.

[flagged]

> In some jurisdictions, women's prisons have been incarcerating males who say they are women. Some of these males have then subsequently raped, sexually assaulted and even impregnated female inmates who have been forced to cohabit with them. Do you have any citations? I’d be fascinated to read.

Statistically it barely registers against a backdrop of male guards raping and impregnating women in womens prison.

ie. While technically 'true' it's a massive amplification of an anti trans talking point at the expense a mauch larger real issue that's ignored .. because the propogators don't actually care about women in prison, that's just a mask of concern for the sake of the pretence.

Re: Are We Living in the Roaring 20s?

#100

The evidence offered is that the economy is doing well, people are traveling, and there is some technological innovation happening. As though that were unique. He then dismisses certain other, less convenient evidence, like consumer sentiment, and simply doesn't bring up any other changes in the macroeconomic climate over the last 100 years. I would like to know what about the balance of evidence is unique enough to…

I don't know what the author of the article is drinking. Me and most of my relatives are in a significantly worse financial position since 2020. Wage growth has hardly matched the wild pace of inflation. Saving money is much harder. Decent jobs are hard to come by. It feels like an erosion of the middle class.

The data disagrees with you. Tech isnt doing well post pandemic but average real wages are up and most people report being in a better financial position than they were pre covid.
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