Earlier quoted context omitted.
> I just don't think enough attention has been paid to the data, and too much the model. I wholly agree. Everyone is blinded by models - GPT4 this, LLaMA2 that - but the real source of the smarts is in the dataset. Why would any model, no matter how its architecture is tweaked, learn about the same ability from the same data? Why would humans be all able to learn the same skills when every brain is quite different. I…
> It was the data, not the model It's both . It's clearly impossible to learn how to translate Linear A into modern English using only content written in pure Japanese that never references either. Yet also, none of the algorithms before Transformers were able to first ingest the web, then answer a random natural language question in any domain — closest was Google etc. matching on indexed keywords. > how are AIs goi…
How does an AI language model devise an experiment and observe the results? The language model is only trained on what’s already known, I’m extremely incredulous that this language model technique can actually reason a genuinely novel hypothesis.
A LLM is a series of weights sitting in the ram of GPU cluster, it’s really just a fancy prediction function. It doesn’t have the sort of biological imperatives (a result of being complete independent beings) or entropy that drive living systems.
Moreover, if we consider how it works for humans, people have to _think_ about problems. Do we even have a model or even an idea about what “thinking” is? Meanwhile science is a looping process that mostly requires a physical element(testing/verification) to it. So unless we make some radical breakthroughs in general purpose robotics, as well as overcome the thinking problem I don’t see how AI can do some sort tech breakout/runaway.