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Price of FSD will rise to $15k in North America on September 5th

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Re: Price of FSD will rise to $15k in North America on September 5th

#91
post #70

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Tesla promised Level 5 autonomy in all conditions by 2020. People paid a lot of money based on that promise.

Yeah, the timeline was over-promised. That's a different issue.

It's the same issue. There is no double standard. Taking advance payment and being 5+ years late is something any company would get massive criticism from, if not sued.

Re: Price of FSD will rise to $15k in North America on September 5th

#92
post #3

That is quite substantial inflation correction. Is Tesla struggling for money or can the finally deliver fully working product?

Musk once argued that once full self-driving works, it would be more profitable for Tesla to use these cars for an own taxi service than it would be to sell them to customers. They plan to raise the price even more the closer they (claim to) get to their goal.

I don't understand it at all myself. Assuming you wanted the car to drive 10 hrs a day on average (because of low overnight demand, random charging, maintenance, etc.) a FSD Tesla vs. a new Hyundai Ioniq with a human driver would have the same total costs after 2-3 years (when the hourly salary of the human driver finally makes the Ioniq more expensive). That's what Tesla is talking about competing with in the robo-taxi market.

Re: Price of FSD will rise to $15k in North America on September 5th

#93

Paid 7k for mine, I enjoy it. When I buy my next Tesla wouldn’t pay for it though. The thing that would make it worth buying at this price is when I can send the car 200 miles away to like go pick up my parents or something. Anything short of not being in the car though is just a party trick.

Do you actually have FSD? My understanding is most people who paid for it haven't been allowed to actually install the software yet.

Re: Price of FSD will rise to $15k in North America on September 5th

#94

Earlier quoted context omitted.

If phantom braking is reproducible, ie it happens at the same place and time(because sun angle) you should report it to Tesla. Or post a YouTube and link on Twitter. In 15k miles of mostly autopilot, I have had phantom brake happen once or twice. I’m in the Bay Area. It happened when it couldn’t tell wether the shadow of over cross bridge from a physical object. What is your experience?

>It happened when it couldn’t tell wether the shadow of over cross bridge from a physical object. Who could have predicted that just relying just on cameras was not a good solution ? Definitely not the hundreds of researchers that told Musk that a LIDAR was necessary.

Idk why people preach this a gospel. There are billions of living things, some of which ( peregrine falcon, cheetah etc)do high way speeds and do fine relying on optics. The only animals that rely on sonar are those that live in the dark. There are insects with pea brains which rely on vision. I’m not saying it is proof that only vision works, but to argue against it requires more than platitudes.

Re: Price of FSD will rise to $15k in North America on September 5th

#95
post #81

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Rent it for a few days and you will see

Renting a tesla for a few days will cost more than I paid for my current car. Admittedly it's 22 years old, but it still does what I need.

Yeah, can’t argue against that. Tesla may not be for everyone, but it’s a damn fine commuter car just because of autopilot.

Re: Price of FSD will rise to $15k in North America on September 5th

#96
post #48

I recently rented a 2022 Model 3 from Hertz for 9 days. It didn't have the FSD option available, but it did have the preview of what the system would see. Based on that alone, I was alternately impressed and terrified of what the FSD experience would be like. It was mostly accurate in showing other vehicles, but some of their trajectories when turning in front of me looked like a really bad video game with weird orie…

Autopilot has basically been shelved for the past 2 years as they've been working on FSD, which will replace the current AP stack. Go have a look on Youtube, there are thousands of videos where you can see the visualizations, it's night and day. To save you the click, here's one released today with the latest version: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=jCTssX2VdKA

That's crazy then. Is the hardware different, or just the software? I was under the impression that FSD was just basically paying for the software feature. It definitely looks much more dialed in, but still there's a lot of weird glitches with object permanence and physics failures that make me wonder how well this will always work.

I was a little concerned with how fast the car was going on Lombard when the pedestrian darted across. It worked out ok, but if the person had tripped, or dropped something and stopped to pick it up, it would have been harder to stop.

I skimmed through the whole video, but I didn't see any traffic light recognition of anything more than red, amber, green. Are there videos with more complex traffic lights? It's interesting that they managed to drive in that area without going through any of the weird intersections with cable car or Muni traffic lights.

Is the autopilot preview meant to help sell FSD?

Re: Price of FSD will rise to $15k in North America on September 5th

#97
post #48

I recently rented a 2022 Model 3 from Hertz for 9 days. It didn't have the FSD option available, but it did have the preview of what the system would see. Based on that alone, I was alternately impressed and terrified of what the FSD experience would be like. It was mostly accurate in showing other vehicles, but some of their trajectories when turning in front of me looked like a really bad video game with weird orie…

What's the rationale for renting an EV? Isn't it more troublesome because you probably won't have a charger in whatever place your staying, so you can't charge it overnight?

Re: Price of FSD will rise to $15k in North America on September 5th

#98
post #81

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Renting a tesla for a few days will cost more than I paid for my current car. Admittedly it's 22 years old, but it still does what I need.

Yeah, can’t argue against that. Tesla may not be for everyone, but it’s a damn fine commuter car just because of autopilot.

I have driven a friend's model 3 and while yes its nice, I feel like I would get more value for my buck with the driver assist in for example modern Toyotas.

But I'm also perfectly happy driving my decades old Honda so what do I know.

Re: Price of FSD will rise to $15k in North America on September 5th

#99
post #17

It's shocking to me that anyone would pay for this. Tesla has been selling fsd since 2014, and nearly a decade later they aren't that much closer. Between the low reliability, low build quality, and scammy practices, Tesla has turned their lead into a vulnerability. Once other manufacturers catch up to the battery range, Tesla will have their lunch eaten. And I say this as someone who has owned a Tesla for over 8 yea…

It would seem the market (and more current engineering and design reviews) disagrees with you!

The market considered NFTs highly valuable too, until it didn't.

Re: Price of FSD will rise to $15k in North America on September 5th

#100
post #67
post #24

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Does it work in rain, snow, and/or night? How about country roads and roads without clearly marked lanes or misleading lane lines? It's like hiring a plumber who can only flush toilets, not install them. Self driving in pristine conditions is a party trick. Until it can do the hard part, it's nowhere near human-level.

FSD handles those situations well, compared to Waymo etc, because FSD doesn't depend on pre-mapping. Waymo depends on pre-generated 3D maps and it fails if there's a discrepancy. That's why Waymo works only on small areas and uses cherry-picked routes. See this example, where the map data is completely wrong: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=4gTV9SlutU0

Compared to anything else that also doesn't work, ok. But that is not the yardstick to apply, is it?

Does it actually work in the real world is the yardstick to apply.

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