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Hyperloop lays off half of its employees as it pivots away from passenger travel

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Re: Hyperloop lays off half of its employees as it pivots away from passenger travel

#91
post #17
post #6

I still don't understand why there is any interest in this concept, either for freight or passenger transport, over a regular train.

Vastly higher speeds is the reason it would be valuable if it can be made economically feasible.

Does freight need to go that quickly? Quicker than a normal high speed train? Is there enough value in the freight going faster to fund the infrastructure?

Re: Hyperloop lays off half of its employees as it pivots away from passenger travel

#92
I have a theory: I think it was a hedge against politicians potentially investing in public transport. If some brave politician comes along, doesn't need money from car manufacturers and decides to build public transport infrastructure, it will be a big financial drag on the US car market. A second Trump term could have gone that way: https://time.com/4247162/donald-trump-trains-infrastructure/.

If you were also one of the leading railway makers, it would protect you from such a thing because you could make money from government contracts to make trains instead. In the coming elections, it is very unlikely that Trump is coming back nor is the Democratic party going to win any elections at least in the next 6 years so railway isn't happening... hence this move.

Re: Hyperloop lays off half of its employees as it pivots away from passenger travel

#93
post #33

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Virgin Hyperloop uses maglev. The main difference between what they're doing and everyone else, is that they put their whole track in a giant airtight pipe, and pump air out of the pipe so the train can travel with less air resistance.

You don't really need to remove air resistance to beat Amtrak though.

[deleted]

Re: Hyperloop lays off half of its employees as it pivots away from passenger travel

#94
post #72

Earlier quoted context omitted.

There is presumably a reason they are cargo companies and not passager transport companies. Unless Amtrak has a government enforced monopoly?

Because all the US passenger rail companies went out of business. Amtrak was essentially created out of the wreckage to maintain some passenger rail service. (It's a very complicated history.) Amtrak makes almost all of its money on the Northeast Corridor which it then basically throws away in the rest of the country.

Arguably Amtrak was intended to dismantle the remains of passenger rail, and its persistence 50 years later was not foreseen.

Re: Hyperloop lays off half of its employees as it pivots away from passenger travel

#95

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Glossing over the fact that almost all the railways in the US are privately owned by cargo companies which prioritize their cargo over transport. Huge reason Amtrak struggles so much

There is presumably a reason they are cargo companies and not passager transport companies. Unless Amtrak has a government enforced monopoly?

Amtrak was created to relieve the freight companies' of the legal requirement to offer passenger service.

> Railroad corporations operated under charters received from the states, [...] These charters usually vested the railroad with a public mission and some pub- lic responsibility. Railroads were chartered to carry passengers and freight, for which they were incidentally permitted to charge fares.

> AMTRAK has not, during its brief existence, attempted to operate its own trains with its own personnel, but has instead chosen to rely upon contracts with the railroads. The result has been the immediate freeing of railroads from the passenger deficit. AMTRAK has also created a type of cost-plus subsidy, with no incentive to the operating railroad to improve services or control costs. The results are generally what one would expect.

https://scholarship.kentlaw.iit.edu/cgi/viewcontent.cgi?arti...

I've heard it said Amtrak was designed to fail so that freight would have no competition. It seems to me this is the case, since anytime Amtrak tries to expand (or even re-establish service as in Mobile-New Orleans), the freight companies immediately go to court to prevent being forced to share their infrastructure.

Re: Hyperloop lays off half of its employees as it pivots away from passenger travel

#96
post #6

I still don't understand why there is any interest in this concept, either for freight or passenger transport, over a regular train.

Because the current passenger rail “system” in the US is horrendous.

The limitations are financial (both building the tracks and acquiring at some new right of ways) and geographical (a lot of distances in the US are quite big and most people won't take a train if it's a lot slower than flying).

Re: Hyperloop lays off half of its employees as it pivots away from passenger travel

#97
post #82

A lot of people seem to be confused. Elon does not have any companies working on a hyperloop. He kicked off the idea and released a white paper with some very early engineering work seemingly put together by a group of engineers working at SpaceX and Tesla[1]. He never had any plans to commercialize it himself and was releasing it as "open source" for anyone else to take up. Several companies sprang up to pursue the…

What about TBC and the Las Vegas plans? It's not a Hyperloop as originally explained but uses the name - and seems to be par for the course in terms of Elon proposing products that aren't exactly delivered the way they were marketed.

Re: Hyperloop lays off half of its employees as it pivots away from passenger travel

#98

There are a lot of reasons standard rail in the US is cargo centric. Profit and a much easier customer service case are big ones. Also, sending cargo in a new transportation system is much easier and less lawsuit prone than people. An old story in the US since the post office basically made airplane travel viable via postal contracts.

Radio too, Marconi suggested to the Italian Post they use radio for mail.

Didn't hear that one, good to know. China Clipper: The Age of the Great Flying Boats by Robert Gandt talks a lot about the Postmaster General and those postal contracts in the US. I came away from the book with a distaste for Pan Am given some of the stunts they pulled. It basically details that having the postal contract was the only way to make regular flights profitable in the early aviation years. To the point, many routes started as postal only.

Re: Hyperloop lays off half of its employees as it pivots away from passenger travel

#99

Hyperloop’s lack of scalability makes it even less suitable for transporting cargo than passenger travel.

Define the scalability that you speak of.

Obviously there is no hyperloop system yet so we can't speak about real life stats but the idea of hyperloop is a pod that goes really fast because of the vacuum.

Change "pod" to "shipping container".

So if you can send one shipping container after another at, say, 400 mph, what exactly would be scalability problem. It would clearly be faster that rail and therefore having a higher throughput.

Re: Hyperloop lays off half of its employees as it pivots away from passenger travel

#100
post #33

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Virgin Hyperloop uses maglev. The main difference between what they're doing and everyone else, is that they put their whole track in a giant airtight pipe, and pump air out of the pipe so the train can travel with less air resistance.

You don't really need to remove air resistance to beat Amtrak though.

Any new form of passenger transit isn't just competing with Amtrack, it's also competing with airplanes which fly at around 440-550 mph.

Let's say you want to go from SF to Seattle, a distance of about 800 miles. If you had a typical high-speed maglev train (250 mph), the trip would take about 3 hours. On an airplane, the actual transit would take a little under 2 hours, so if you get to the airport an hour early that's 3 hours total. (Personally I never show up to the airport more than 20 minutes early for domestic flights.) So for any trip longer than that, airplanes beat even high-speed maglev trains on speed. Of course there are factors besides raw speed to consider, like comfort and cost, but speed is an important one.

The bigger your country is, the more the fixed-cost of airline security is amortized over the distance traveled. If you don't have to travel very far, trains make sense. In Japan the population density is 10x higher than in the US, so trips tend to be much shorter. In the US, which is very spread out comparatively speaking, planes are much more compelling. So US trains need to either be really fast, or really cheap and comfortable, to be worth it.

The fastest maglev trains can go quite a bit faster than 250mph, by the way. For example Japan is constructing its "L0 series" which will have a top speed of around 375mph, and at this point you do compete with planes. Building one of these seems a lot more realistic than anything Hyperloop, but it's not like these superfast maglevs are anything conventional either, so I don't see the harm in experimenting with fun tech like vacuum-sealing the train.

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