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Guess the daily Wordle in one try using the tweet distribution

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Re: Guess the daily Wordle in one try using the tweet distribution

#91
post #71

Earlier quoted context omitted.

ARTSY MODEL CHUNK here. It's not optimal, but it is pleasing to me in an aesthetic sense.

I vary up my starting words to keep things interesting. Common ones for me are: MEATY, BISON, CHUMP, GROUP From yesterday's post on the state of the art, I tried SALET, but still took me 4 tries to get today's wordle.

I've had fun with MUSTH.

Re: Guess the daily Wordle in one try using the tweet distribution

#92
post #71
post #69

Earlier quoted context omitted.

I always lead with STOAE so people don't have issues guessing my first one at least. I also tend to follow with UNLID if STOAE has zero or one hits.

ARTSY MODEL CHUNK here. It's not optimal, but it is pleasing to me in an aesthetic sense.

Given the situation we are in I start with VIRUS, PEACH always

Re: Guess the daily Wordle in one try using the tweet distribution

#93
post #9

My favourite part of this is accounting for some fake grids. Kudos! I have been so curious lately as to whether this was possible. EDIT: The next question is which (if any) of these signals can be removed and still get it in 1 guess. Or if there are any other signals. Or how many tweets are needed (is 50 enough? 10? or 1000? 10k?)

This uses ~2-3k tweets per day for most days, which seems to be more than enough. According to https://twitter.com/WordleStats/status/1486021209015963649 there's about 250k daily tweets per Wordle right now, so this is about a 1% sample coming from whatever the Twitter search API returned when I ran that query. The simulated distributions it's comparing to are based on 1000 runs per 5-letter word. Anecdotally, 250 wa…

This is a cool project, but I wanted to tell you that your evaluate_guess function is wrong.

    evaluate_guess(answer="crest", guess="erase")
    "MYNYM"
Many people misunderstand this but it's not how the rules actually work. Correct here would be MYNYN, because there is only one E in the correct answer. There must be a 1-1 correspondence between any 'M' letter in the guess and the letter in the answer. This is similar to the rules for the game "Mastermind".

Re: Guess the daily Wordle in one try using the tweet distribution

#95
post #71

Earlier quoted context omitted.

ARTSY MODEL CHUNK here. It's not optimal, but it is pleasing to me in an aesthetic sense.

I vary up my starting words to keep things interesting. Common ones for me are: MEATY, BISON, CHUMP, GROUP From yesterday's post on the state of the art, I tried SALET, but still took me 4 tries to get today's wordle.

If you stick with one starting word, and that word is in the set of possible Wordle answers, then some day, one day, if you keep playing forever, you are guaranteed to get that magical 1/6.

This is not quite the same as the lottery-player's fear that they change their lucky numbers and then those numbers come up the next week... the lottery has no memory, so it really doesn't change your odds when you change your numbers. But Wordle's drawing words from a finite pool.

Of course, if your go-to starting word is NOT in the set (looking at YOU overly optimized people who play crazy words like STOAE that are almost certainly not in the answer set...) then by sticking with that you're guaranteeing you'll never do better than 2/6...

Re: Guess the daily Wordle in one try using the tweet distribution

#96
post #69
post #4

My metagame is guessing my friend's guesses.

I always lead with STOAE so people don't have issues guessing my first one at least. I also tend to follow with UNLID if STOAE has zero or one hits.

AROSE for me. 5 of the top 6 most-frequent letters. But hard mode, so next depends.

Re: Guess the daily Wordle in one try using the tweet distribution

#97

This is your regular reminder that today's word, and all the upcoming ones, are located in the Wordle minified JS.

It's too easy to cheat at Wordle, even if you don't know what html/javascript is. Just open a new browser, solve it there, and enter the solution in your main browser.

In the age of intrusive anti-cheat software and byzantine security measures, the fact that Wordle doesn't attempt to prevent cheating is something I find weirdly charming.

Re: Guess the daily Wordle in one try using the tweet distribution

#98

What are the "⬛ squares taking social media by storm"?

That was my question and it's still not answered well here. I guess people post the colors that led up to their solution but no the actual letters. Might be good to add it to the original post for clarification. I play Wordle but didn't quite get what they were using for source data.

It wasn't obvious to me when I first started playing Wordle, but you can actually share an emoji-fied version of your game (without the letters) by clicking "Share" when the statistics window pops up. I didn't think to do that at first, but when I noticed everyone on social media posting their Wordles with the exact same format, I figured it had to be buried in the game somewhere.
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