I've long been skeptical of ITER making any sense given its insane cost. I mean even it succeeds, then what? Here's the truth: there's no such thing as free energy. Even if the fuel is so abundant it's actually or effectively free (eg deuterium), the energy isn't. Say it takes $50B to build a plant that produces 1GW of power, which I'll estimate at about 7TWh/year based on [1]. Let's also say it has a lifespan of 40…
MIT-designed project achieves major advance toward fusion energy
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Re: MIT-designed project achieves major advance toward fusion energy
#92I've long been skeptical of ITER making any sense given its insane cost. I mean even it succeeds, then what? Here's the truth: there's no such thing as free energy. Even if the fuel is so abundant it's actually or effectively free (eg deuterium), the energy isn't. Say it takes $50B to build a plant that produces 1GW of power, which I'll estimate at about 7TWh/year based on [1]. Let's also say it has a lifespan of 40…
Space-based solar power generation (itself "fusion power" in the loosest sense) would be great in the inner planets.
Though to open up the outer planets, Kuiper belt, Oort Cloud, and any other stars, we'll need non-solar* power: hopefully fusion, at least fission.
*Unless we want to go the stellaser route, but I'd bet we'll crack fusion before getting near K2.
Re: MIT-designed project achieves major advance toward fusion energy
#93Re: MIT-designed project achieves major advance toward fusion energy
#94These university press releases are always very positively framed. This one makes the new magnet seem incredibly promising and fusion seem like almost an inevitability now, but decades of failure have us conditioned for skepticism. What's the catch this time?
> What's the catch this time? This is D-T fusion. Which means you have to have T. Which currently comes from fission reactor and has a half life of 15 years. So the plan is to use a molten salt blanket with Be to breed T. But Be isn’t scalable for consumption, so maybe lead eventually. That’s probably do-able, it just slows down the rate new reactors can come online since Pb is not as good a neutron multiplier. Once…
Though most of the reactors do not harvest the tritium, a small number do.
CANDU operators have long been ready to make the capital investments in tritium harvesting, once demand materializes. ITER has long been seen as a potential major source of tritium demand.
Re: MIT-designed project achieves major advance toward fusion energy
#95These university press releases are always very positively framed. This one makes the new magnet seem incredibly promising and fusion seem like almost an inevitability now, but decades of failure have us conditioned for skepticism. What's the catch this time?
> What's the catch this time? This is D-T fusion. Which means you have to have T. Which currently comes from fission reactor and has a half life of 15 years. So the plan is to use a molten salt blanket with Be to breed T. But Be isn’t scalable for consumption, so maybe lead eventually. That’s probably do-able, it just slows down the rate new reactors can come online since Pb is not as good a neutron multiplier. Once…
"T is radioactive hydrogen": True, it emits low energy beta radiation, which is an electron, and is stopped by a sheet of paper. I used to have a wrist watch with a tritium dial; I haven't died of cancer yet.
Re: MIT-designed project achieves major advance toward fusion energy
#96Earlier quoted context omitted.
Yeah, any positive news on fusion progress and there always seems to be the same set of comments appear that are overwhelmingly critical of fusion development. Fusion is not well funded and imo has been let down by mismanagement of ITER, and despite this keeps making progress. I feel that fusion is one of humanity's best shots at actively reversing climate change, and it is disheartening to see such widespread pessim…
There is a species of environmentalism that would consider successful fusion or similar high tech mega scale energy source actually detrimental because you can't build one in your hippy community using old tractor parts and alternative ways of knowing. Environmentally clean energy source is not enough, it needs to be ideologically pure as well.
Re: MIT-designed project achieves major advance toward fusion energy
#97Earlier quoted context omitted.
Yeah, any positive news on fusion progress and there always seems to be the same set of comments appear that are overwhelmingly critical of fusion development. Fusion is not well funded and imo has been let down by mismanagement of ITER, and despite this keeps making progress. I feel that fusion is one of humanity's best shots at actively reversing climate change, and it is disheartening to see such widespread pessim…
There is a species of environmentalism that would consider successful fusion or similar high tech mega scale energy source actually detrimental because you can't build one in your hippy community using old tractor parts and alternative ways of knowing. Environmentally clean energy source is not enough, it needs to be ideologically pure as well.
Re: MIT-designed project achieves major advance toward fusion energy
#98I remembered that in 2018 Japanese team manage 1200 T peak power. http://www.sci-news.com/physics/strongest-magnetic-field-ach... In comparison, 20T does not look much, but again it is, I wonder with the Japanese technique what is the highest continuous magnetic field.
[0] https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Explosively_pumped_flux_compre...
Re: MIT-designed project achieves major advance toward fusion energy
#99I remembered that in 2018 Japanese team manage 1200 T peak power. http://www.sci-news.com/physics/strongest-magnetic-field-ach... In comparison, 20T does not look much, but again it is, I wonder with the Japanese technique what is the highest continuous magnetic field.
Re: MIT-designed project achieves major advance toward fusion energy
#100Earlier quoted context omitted.
> What's the catch this time? This is D-T fusion. Which means you have to have T. Which currently comes from fission reactor and has a half life of 15 years. So the plan is to use a molten salt blanket with Be to breed T. But Be isn’t scalable for consumption, so maybe lead eventually. That’s probably do-able, it just slows down the rate new reactors can come online since Pb is not as good a neutron multiplier. Once…
> But are they surmountable AND cheaper than existing nuclear or other energy sources? DT fusion solves the two biggest arguments that are always raised by nuclear energy opponents: storage of nuclear waste (it doesn't produce high-level waste) and safety (it's not perfect but it can't explode). I wouldn't call it a "meh", even if it comes off as much more expensive than fission.