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Intangible investment behaves differently

gatesnotes.com

91–93 of 93 posts

Re: Intangible investment behaves differently

#91

Earlier quoted context omitted.

https://i.ebayimg.com/images/g/azAAAOSwD99av12v/s-l1600.jpg There's a shrink-wrapped cardboard package that contains Windows 98. It's the size of a cereal box, and at least as colorful. Today, I'd be intensely annoyed if I had to wait for and pay for a large box to ship - I'd much prefer an instant download, but the box was much more tangible than an email with a download link and license key.

At the time of Windows 98 you probably wouldn't have wanted to download the damn thing. If you are of a younger generation, you may not believe it, but many of us in those days made do with something called dial-up connections to the internet. I well remember downloading the StarOffice - precursor to LibreOffice - suite in the days before it was taken over by Sun, meaning 1999 at the latest. Took a little over five h…

Ah, when downloads were overnight affairs. And every morning a Christmas, spoiled only by a reset connection.

Re: Intangible investment behaves differently

#92
post #68

Who exactly isn't paying attention? Gates never says. I don't know anyone who is reasonably educated in business/economics who doesn't understand the software/publishing business model, which is taught... literally everywhere. I seriously have no idea what he's arguing against. Even with the supply curve, real-world commercial software virtually always has unit costs. It generally takes marketing and/or sales to acqu…

I was first annoyed at the amateur level of analysis in this piece. "Um, it's 2018, open source software runs production workflows in every single business; if you don't realize yet that every industry in the world is being reduced to becoming a commodity machine to run business rules & agreements as fluid software, then you're about 5 years behind the curve." Then I realized it was written by Bill effing Gates. And…

YMMV, but aside from anyone that started in the Google & Facebook area, huge swaths of the economy are still dominated by closed source software.

From personal experience, this covers: any kind of software-driven hardware, health care, tax, CAD, POS, finance, transportation, & retail.

They're changing. But I'd estimate most Top 500 companies are at 0-25% open source migration of core business processes.

Re: Intangible investment behaves differently

#93

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Why is it that when the price drops, consumers would want to buy more and producers would necessarily want to produce less? If I was a company director and the price of the commodity that I produced dropped by a lot, I would work harder to produce more of the commodity to offset the lower profit margins; that way I could earn the same bonus at the end of the year in order to make the payment for the mortgage on my ya…

Ah, I think you have the same misconception as Gates in the post, of confusing the concepts of "points along the curve" with the curve itself. > Why is it that when the price drops, consumers would want to buy more and producers would necessarily want to produce less? I would phrase it as when the price is lower, there are more consumers who would buy, and fewer producers to sell. To take the demand curve, for exampl…

Makes more sense how you explain it, thanks.
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