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“Toward the Year 2018”, a speculative book from 1968

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Re: “Toward the Year 2018”, a speculative book from 1968

#91
post #18
post #4

Earlier quoted context omitted.

The world feels wildly futuristic? Can you explain? I was born in 1966. Computer games and the special effects in movies look better, but to claim the world looks wildly futuristic is an exaggeration.

How about a "robot" beating the world's best chess player after 1/2 days worth of training or the ability to virtually cure HIV/AIDS (that certainly seemed impossible in the eighties) or music without instruments or singers and only wildly flashing lights (the value of EDM is debatable, but it would certainly feel futuristic to someone from the 60ies) or the ability to speak in real time video to someone on the other…

Your music example is a great one for shpwcasing how little things change. Sure the sound is different but everyones still bopping along to a 4/4 rock beat

Re: “Toward the Year 2018”, a speculative book from 1968

#92
post #76
post #65

Earlier quoted context omitted.

It isn't like helicopters were unknown in 1968.

When I walk down the streets of NYC, I keep seeing private helicopters flying to and fro, along with police helicopters. I don't think it was the case in 1968 yet. Also, small personal radio-controlled helicopters with cameras, often seen in SF from 1960-70s, are a thing for many years now, known as "drones".

In 1968, the USA used helicopters in lieu of light trucks all over Vietnam, thousands upon thousands. Getting an heli ride was a mundane experience for a conscripted grunt. If anything the practice scaled down a lot since due to proliferation of MANPADs. But point is, a helicopter was not something mind blowing or novel on the scale of a flying car.

Nor would an RC model shatter anyone's imagination then, another common thing. If anything, a non-controlled, autonomous or semi autonomous drones that are appearing now would be far more impressive.

Re: “Toward the Year 2018”, a speculative book from 1968

#93
post #6

Does anyone know of a recently written book that tries to predict the world fifty years from now?

Well if you believe Kurzweil, we'll have achieved a technological singularity by that point.

It's been a long time since I read him, but wasn't he putting the date for creating an AI with the intellect of a human at 2029?

Re: “Toward the Year 2018”, a speculative book from 1968

#95
post #92
post #76

Earlier quoted context omitted.

When I walk down the streets of NYC, I keep seeing private helicopters flying to and fro, along with police helicopters. I don't think it was the case in 1968 yet. Also, small personal radio-controlled helicopters with cameras, often seen in SF from 1960-70s, are a thing for many years now, known as "drones".

In 1968, the USA used helicopters in lieu of light trucks all over Vietnam, thousands upon thousands. Getting an heli ride was a mundane experience for a conscripted grunt. If anything the practice scaled down a lot since due to proliferation of MANPADs. But point is, a helicopter was not something mind blowing or novel on the scale of a flying car. Nor would an RC model shatter anyone's imagination then, another com…

Sure, the military had lots of helicopters. Also, portable radios, intercontinental aircraft, and space rockets.

These were not a relatively affordable part of daily life, though. Now if I'm in a crunch, and the roads / subways get clogged down for some reason (not a rare event), I can theoretically quickly get from my office to JFK airport on a helicopter for $100 (more like $30 from 1968), if I share the flight with 3 other people. Also, for the same money I can get a half-decent RC quadcopter with a homing ability and a camera that spies from 1968 would kill for.

No flying cars, though. Blame air safety regulations.

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