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Bitcoin Tumbles as PBOC Declares Initial Coin Offerings Illegal

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Re: Bitcoin Tumbles as PBOC Declares Initial Coin Offerings Illegal

#91
post #17

Aren't ICOs more of an altcoin phenomenon? How does this impact upon Bitcoin? To me It looked like Bitcoin just bounced off a psychological ceiling at 5000USD. It has done this with various round number levels in the past. It makes a bit of sense if you consider people are inclined to think something like "I'll sell when it reaches $5000" There also seems to be a tendancy to use evocative language (collapse,tumble,co…

There's weird stuff going on with Tethers, which are supposedly pegged to the dollar and fully backed, being created apparently out of nothing when Tether has no US banking arrangements, and these being used to prop up margin trading on Bitfinex. The price then goes up on Bitfinex, then on other exchanges.

The upshot is: every time margin gets too deep on Bitfinex, another batch of Tethers is created out of thin air, and the price gets a pump. Bitcoin's recapitulated the history of finance, and now it's got to Quantitative Easing.

It's amazingly tangled, I'm trying to put together an explainer blog post, but Bitfinexed has the best coverage of the pieces:

https://twitter.com/Bitfinexed

https://medium.com/@bitfinexed/

Re: Bitcoin Tumbles as PBOC Declares Initial Coin Offerings Illegal

#92
post #17

Aren't ICOs more of an altcoin phenomenon? How does this impact upon Bitcoin? To me It looked like Bitcoin just bounced off a psychological ceiling at 5000USD. It has done this with various round number levels in the past. It makes a bit of sense if you consider people are inclined to think something like "I'll sell when it reaches $5000" There also seems to be a tendancy to use evocative language (collapse,tumble,co…

What is an ICO?

Magic beans from bubble machines. People buying tokens that are literally defined as being worthless, and trading them on exchanges as fast as possible. https://davidgerard.co.uk/blockchain/icos-magic-beans-and-bu...

Re: Bitcoin Tumbles as PBOC Declares Initial Coin Offerings Illegal

#93

Earlier quoted context omitted.

People don't buy and sell ICO tokens with fiat, they do it with bitcoins. If a bunch of people want to sell their ICO tokens for fiat, they first end up with a bunch of bitcoins, and then they need to sell bitcoins for fiat. This pushes the price of bitcoins in fiat down. It's a temporary phenomenon, but the price going down can make the price fall farther, because there are a bunch of amateur traders who think it's…

> there are a bunch of amateur traders who think it's a good idea to buy when the price is rising and sell when it's falling. professional traders and asset managers do this exact same thing.

That's called momentum trading and it's not a bad idea in a market where most traders aren't setting a price… aka, all public markets especially this one. Who needs fundamentals?

Re: Bitcoin Tumbles as PBOC Declares Initial Coin Offerings Illegal

#94

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Altcoin hasn't referred to Bitcoin forks in years.

I've seen the term fall out of usage. Years ago, when Bitcoin made up 90% of the cryptocurrency market cap, and nearly every other cryptocurrency was a fork of Bitcoin, with a name that was some variation of *coin (e.g. Litecoin, Peercoin, Dogecoin, Novacoin, BBQcoin) it made sense. Not so much now anymore, with Bitcoin's market cap under 50%, and original projects being its major competitors.

Market cap is a poor way to measure each coin. You can create your own coin premine 1 million of them. Sell a few for ~5 dollars and claim it has a market cap of 5 million dollars.

Re: Bitcoin Tumbles as PBOC Declares Initial Coin Offerings Illegal

#95
post #17

Aren't ICOs more of an altcoin phenomenon? How does this impact upon Bitcoin? To me It looked like Bitcoin just bounced off a psychological ceiling at 5000USD. It has done this with various round number levels in the past. It makes a bit of sense if you consider people are inclined to think something like "I'll sell when it reaches $5000" There also seems to be a tendancy to use evocative language (collapse,tumble,co…

There's weird stuff going on with Tethers, which are supposedly pegged to the dollar and fully backed, being created apparently out of nothing when Tether has no US banking arrangements, and these being used to prop up margin trading on Bitfinex. The price then goes up on Bitfinex, then on other exchanges. The upshot is: every time margin gets too deep on Bitfinex, another batch of Tethers is created out of thin air,…

> ... which are supposedly pegged to the dollar and fully backed, being created apparently out of nothing ...

Amateur here, but how is that not a contradiction?

Re: Bitcoin Tumbles as PBOC Declares Initial Coin Offerings Illegal

#96
post #60

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Are you sure that's the case for non-US crypto startups? Also, there are some ERC20 tokens that have better liquidity with the BTC pairing.

It's true of almost all ICOs launching ERC20 tokens because on Ethereum you can write code that automatically turns your ETH into ERC20 tokens. A couple pages of code and it all just happens on the blockchain by itself. If you take bitcoin contributions, you need something offchain to track who contributed what, and issue a bunch of minting transactions. Some ICOs do that, but if it's ERC20 that's generally in additi…

Most SNT trading is against BTC on the Bittrex exchange. It's 5x the trading as against ETH.

https://coinmarketcap.com/assets/status/#markets

Re: Bitcoin Tumbles as PBOC Declares Initial Coin Offerings Illegal

#97
post #68

Earlier quoted context omitted.

There's no fundamental difference. Currently there are implementation differences but those will go away. Eventually Ether will be ERC20 compliant.

>Eventually Ether will be ERC20 compliant. Citation? Ether is privileged on Ethereum. It's what mining gets you, it's what transaction fees are paid in, if proof-of-stake comes around, it will be what's staked, and any transaction can include some. I don't expect any of these to change.

I think the reference is EIP 101: Crypto Abstraction which is planned for the Serenity release.

https://github.com/ethereum/EIPs/issues/28

Re: Bitcoin Tumbles as PBOC Declares Initial Coin Offerings Illegal

#98
post #2

why does it feel like every time bitcoin goes up, the chinese government has some sort of announcement to bring it back down? see: last time when they prohibited banks from buying/selling cryptocurrencies. does someone there hope to earn some quick $$$ from shorting bitcoin (profit motive), or are they doing it to cool down a bubble (protect chinese investors motive)?

Because Bitcoin and ICO are the main mechanism to get money out of China, with overseas cash withdraw very limited for Chinese citizens, with 50% of millionnaires in China wanting to leave ( http://bit.ly/2uzYLyu ) (and the other 50% already having left probably), and with Chinese government cracking down on real estate/insurance tactics to move money out. But it's really doubtful they can prevent bitcoin from transf…

>Because Bitcoin and ICO are the main mechanism to get money out of China

No bitcoin and ICO's are a mechanism to get money out of China. Shady HK pawn shops, "family" vacations with strangers (the limit on money moved is per person) and straight up smuggling in bodily crevices are still far more popular. Right now China makes more on bitcoin than it loses because 70% of mining happens in China. So long as this remains true China will not ban bitcoin. Everything else is just noise and FUD.

Re: Bitcoin Tumbles as PBOC Declares Initial Coin Offerings Illegal

#99

Earlier quoted context omitted.

People don't buy and sell ICO tokens with fiat, they do it with bitcoins. If a bunch of people want to sell their ICO tokens for fiat, they first end up with a bunch of bitcoins, and then they need to sell bitcoins for fiat. This pushes the price of bitcoins in fiat down. It's a temporary phenomenon, but the price going down can make the price fall farther, because there are a bunch of amateur traders who think it's…

To go from altcoins to fiat, one needs to first buy Bitcoin with altcoins, then sell Bitcoin for fiat. Why would this not be price neutral for Bitcoin?

No. Because volumes at different price points, and spreads, differ. Not transitive.

Re: Bitcoin Tumbles as PBOC Declares Initial Coin Offerings Illegal

#100
post #48

Earlier quoted context omitted.

>>Aren't ICOs more of an altcoin phenomenon? ICOs are an Ethereum phenomenon. Ethereum isn't a fork of Bitcoin's codebase and thus isn't an altcoin.

It is an alternative coin. Hence "altcoin."

No because it is based on a different generation of the blockchain design. The same way that iOS is not an alt-blackberry.
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