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I assume I'm below average

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Re: I assume I'm below average

#91
There's a great David Bowie song about this:

'Don't believe in yourself, Don't deceive with Belief. Knowledge comes with Death's release'

I think he was trying to say: Don't assume anything, just be!

I really enjoyed reading this submission, thanks!

Re: I assume I'm below average

#92
post #69

It's quite possible for more than 50% of people to be above average drivers. If there are 100 people, and 80 of them cause no accidents, and the other 20 cause 10 accidents each, then there are 2 accidents per driver. 80% have less than average accident rate. By the same logic it's possible for most people to have a below average salary. Once extremes are possible, then averages start being less applicable. However f…

If you take the Mean. Hence the ideas of median and mode, both of which in this case would cough up 0 accidents as the "average." Importantly the majority of things talking about "percentile" are using a median for "average"

Re: I assume I'm below average

#93
post #18

Earlier quoted context omitted.

The approach I find myself taking is to keep moving the goal posts by putting myself in groups where I genuinely am below average, or at a minimum where there are prominent examples around me of people much better than me at the thing I'm trying to do. There's also something about approaching one's limits that helps distill genuine personal weaknesses and learn to either live with or work around them.

Excellent comment. I also try to put myself in groups where I genuinely am below average, and I think it accelerates my learning curve. But it's also good to be Top Dog from time to time; the teacher often can learn more than the student.

> But it's also good to be Top Dog from time to time; the teacher often can learn more than the student.

Even in those cases, I think there is an advantage to choosing people who have the potential to become better than you are. It's really gratifying to teach someone something, and then watch them grow to the point where they know more than you do on the subject.

Re: I assume I'm below average

#94
I think that is better to know exactly where you are at, rather than to assume one way or another. That way, when it comes time to use your skill (or lack thereof), you know exactly how far you can go.

The assuming that you're below average thing - it is just a reminder to be humble and to constantly work on your basics - having a beginner's mind.

Re: I assume I'm below average

#95
If you read the book "Learned Optimism," you'll see that the research shows this to be a bad strategy. All things being equal, you're more likely to succeed if you have an optimistic or best case view of things, unless the consequences of being wrong are dire. Pessimistic views tend to be more accurate, but also less successful.

Re: I assume I'm below average

#96
post #55

It's a nice attitude to have in a perfect world but what about this one? In many contexts, especially where there is high noise to signal, people will tend to believe/bet on/buy/hire/have sex with the guy who seems so (possibly over-) confident and makes lots of (possibly empty) promises over the guy who is humble and annoyingly realistic. I can't remember which firm but the leader of a cosmetics firm once said "we d…

This is actually a very good point. Know when to be bold and confident, and know when to keep your mouth shut. I've actually found a good heuristic to know when to do which. If I'm uncomfortable and insecure, it's time to be bold. And if I'm sure I'm right and the other guy's wrong, it's probably time to shut up and listen. It basically comes down to doing the opposite of my emotional response. It's not easy, but whe…

When others are fearful, be greedy. When others are greedy, be fearful. - Warren Buffett

Re: I assume I'm below average

#97
post #55

It's a nice attitude to have in a perfect world but what about this one? In many contexts, especially where there is high noise to signal, people will tend to believe/bet on/buy/hire/have sex with the guy who seems so (possibly over-) confident and makes lots of (possibly empty) promises over the guy who is humble and annoyingly realistic. I can't remember which firm but the leader of a cosmetics firm once said "we d…

Charles Revson - "in our advertising we sell hope", http://quotationsbook.com/quote/5212/ .

thanks for sharing that, it helped to find this name origin:

"Revlon was founded in the midst of the Great Depression, 1932, by Charles Revson and his brother Joseph, along with a chemist, Charles Lachman, who contributed the "L" in the REVLON name."

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Revlon

Re: I assume I'm below average

#98
I think it's better to learn how to make a realistic empirical estimation of whether you're "above or below average" whatever that means in context, and recognize when it doesn't matter at all-- like with driving skill-- than it is to just assume you're below average. You can assume you're a bad driver or assume you're a good driver and it won't likely make any difference at all in your life.

Re: I assume I'm below average

#99
post #55

It's a nice attitude to have in a perfect world but what about this one? In many contexts, especially where there is high noise to signal, people will tend to believe/bet on/buy/hire/have sex with the guy who seems so (possibly over-) confident and makes lots of (possibly empty) promises over the guy who is humble and annoyingly realistic. I can't remember which firm but the leader of a cosmetics firm once said "we d…

I've been doing this for years. The trick is to assume you're below average, but never let on.

edit: and yes, I see the irony there.

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